ATL: IKE Discussion

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Sabanic
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11421 Postby Sabanic » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:21 pm

Definitely have to feel for the poor folks in Lake Charles. They are going to have an awful night also!!
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11422 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:21 pm

Image
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11423 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:22 pm

gtalum wrote:
LAwxrgal wrote:I fear a Katrina NO Superdome and Convention Center situation repeating itself, of course, I hope not.


If the high school is low-lying, it would be worse. At least everyone survived at the Superdome.


Yep, it's going to be dark, xtremely windy, raining and this 20 foot storm surge with large battering waves on top of that.

There is a potential for a large number of deaths here.

IF you are in Galveston and surrounding areas, and you stayed, please take an axe, chainsaw, sledgehammer into your attic when the surge chases you into your attic, then you at least stand a chance to punch a hole in the roof to get out.
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MiamiensisWx

#11424 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:23 pm

Latest reconnaissance position (per another site):

http://www.gscape.com/images/wx/ike/ike_recon_120908_08.jpg

It does confirm a NW wobble.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11425 Postby NEXRAD » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:26 pm

The leading core rainbands will begin to move onshore from around Cameron, Lousiana, southwest to Sabine Pass and Galveston Island during the next 1 to 2 hours. Wind gusts of 50 to 70 mph will be likely along the immediate coast with these first bands, based on surface observations and radar imagery. As the bands work inland, they will have the potential of producing wind gusts of 40 to 60 mph.

- Jay
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#11426 Postby Janie2006 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:27 pm

Current level of water at Galveston (Pleasure Point) is 8.74 feet and rising fast. Nobody should be outside in this. It won't be very much longer now before hurricane force winds reach the coastline....and the peak surge following that.
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Re:

#11427 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:27 pm

HURAKAN wrote:KHOU showing pictures. Really smart guy that chained his truck to the two trees. If the wind is strong enough to pick up your car, what do you think will happen to the trees!!!

Darwin award!


that rivals the Floridians that still think masking tape is effective, this guy chained it to the trees to keep it from floating away so that should be his first clue to hop in his truck yesterday and drive away.
Last edited by jlauderdal on Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11428 Postby fasterdisaster » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:28 pm

Unfortunately it looks like he's trying to do some last minute strengthening. That said, even if he doesn't, the surge is going to be catastrophic.
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Re: Re:

#11429 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:29 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:KHOU showing pictures. Really smart guy that chained his truck to the two trees. If the wind is strong enough to pick up your car, what do you think will happen to the trees!!!

Darwin award!


that rivals the floridians that still think masking tape is effective, this guy chained it to the trees to keep it from floating way so that should be his first clue to hop in his truck yesterday and drive away.


How can we forget masking tape! You get cut by broken glass flying through the air and it gets stuck to you because of the tape. :lol:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11430 Postby ajurcat » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:29 pm

gtalum wrote:
LAwxrgal wrote:I fear a Katrina NO Superdome and Convention Center situation repeating itself, of course, I hope not.


If the high school is low-lying, it would be worse. At least everyone survived at the Superdome.

The high school is about 6 to 8 blocks from the seawall maybe a couple more. It is more in the 'central' area of town. Galveston does not have anything bigger that could hold more people. Unfortunately, it is a shelter of last resort.
I grew up there and my heart is breaking but have to be strong waiting for the storm to hit me in Houston.
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#11431 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:30 pm

Got to wonder how the Bayou will handle this, already upto near 9 feet and thats before the rains have really set in either...
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11432 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:30 pm

Image
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#11433 Postby tj1855 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:30 pm

Could somebody post the link to the local tv stations. All 4 included would be great
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Re:

#11434 Postby Txdivermom » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:30 pm

jacindc wrote:Did the Galveston guy in the press conference just stay that they estimated that 40% of the population has stayed?

(I'm not saying that's what he said--it's what I thought, but I was only half listening)


Yes, and they also have said people who are staying in really bad places should write their social security number on their arm with a marker so they can be identified if they don't make it. :eek:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11435 Postby jinftl » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:30 pm

Friend from NW Houston sent me a text, 'where is this huge 300 mile windfield'

I hope no one is letting their guard down in inland locations...it is coming.....cat 1 sustained will be hard to avoid....gusts higher.
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#11436 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:31 pm

2115Z GOES IR imagery:

http://img152.imageshack.us/img152/5792/ikesep12081fy5.jpg

Structure has slightly improved with stronger convection and a defined eye (per radar and satellite data).
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11437 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:31 pm

ajurcat wrote:
gtalum wrote:
LAwxrgal wrote:I fear a Katrina NO Superdome and Convention Center situation repeating itself, of course, I hope not.


If the high school is low-lying, it would be worse. At least everyone survived at the Superdome.

The high school is about 6 to 8 blocks from the seawall maybe a couple more. It is more in the 'central' area of town. Galveston does not have anything bigger that could hold more people. Unfortunately, it is a shelter of last resort.
I grew up there and my heart is breaking but have to be strong waiting for the storm to hit me in Houston.


They should be watching this before doing such insane things...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QemSuEkqBlE
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Re:

#11438 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:31 pm

tj1855 wrote:Could somebody post the link to the local tv stations. All 4 included would be great



http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html
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Re:

#11439 Postby Deathray » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:31 pm

tj1855 wrote:Could somebody post the link to the local tv stations. All 4 included would be great


http://flhurricane.com/ikecoverage.html
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11440 Postby NEXRAD » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:32 pm

Per my SLOSH data maps, Kitwin H.S. and Ball H.S. at Galveston sit at around 9.8 feet elevation.

- Jay
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