ATL: IKE Discussion

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dhweather
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#11541 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:30 pm

Wow, the Governor, Lt. Governor, Senator Cornyn just said the damages could run upwards of $85 billion. Already estimating 150,000,000 tons of debris to be removed. :eek:
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Hurricanewatcher2007
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11542 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:30 pm

attallaman wrote:Sorry to bother you but my internet just came back on after being down for four hours, my cable TV is still out, what's the latest on Ike? Has Ike started moving inland yet? Has the hurricane strengthened or has it lost some of it's strength?


hasn't strengthened yet but based on radar data and sat images looks like its about to. Still up to about 8 hours before landfall.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11543 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:30 pm

I wonder if govt officials in Galveston and surrounding areas followed "the line", as the Houston metro area first went into the 3 day cone at 8, then clearly at 11pm on Tuesday. I know that in SoFla they evacuated the keys of visitors starting Saturday morning just before they entered the 3 day cone.

This nonsense of "it took a turn" is just crazy - they were even in the 5 day cone for quite some time. From what I can tell they waited until the watch was up for 24 hours before ordering evacs.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11544 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:30 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
516 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...NEW IBERIA...JEANERETTE...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
WEST CENTRAL ST. MARTIN PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES ST. MARTINVILLE...
WESTERN ST. MARY PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...FRANKLIN...BURNS POINT...
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN VERMILION PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT


*AT 510 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 9 MILES EAST OF
BURNS POINT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 69 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
FRANKLIN BY 525 PM CDT...
BALDWIN AND 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHARENTON BY 530 PM CDT...
JEANERETTE BY 535 PM CDT...
NEW IBERIA AND LYDIA BY 540 PM CDT...
7 MILES SOUTH OF ST. MARTINVILLE BY 545 PM CDT...

Last edited by Ed Mahmoud on Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11545 Postby NEXRAD » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:30 pm

attallaman wrote:Sorry to bother you but my internet just came back on after being down for four hours, my cable TV is still out, what's the latest on Ike? Has Ike started moving inland yet? Has the hurricane strengthened or has it lost some of it's strength?


Ike remains offshore and at 105 mph intensity. Satellite and radar imagery, however, show the storm is better organized than earlier, and some strengthening remains a possibility.

- Jay
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11546 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:31 pm

Things have gone downhill quickly in Lafayette, easily gusting over 40 just now with heavy rain in squalls. Tornado warnings going off all around us, hopefully we avoid any of that. Good luck everyone to my west :eek: .
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attallaman

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11547 Postby attallaman » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:31 pm

Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:
attallaman wrote:Sorry to bother you but my internet just came back on after being down for four hours, my cable TV is still out, what's the latest on Ike? Has Ike started moving inland yet? Has the hurricane strengthened or has it lost some of it's strength?


hasn't strengthened yet but based on radar data and sat images looks like its about to. Still up to about 8 hours before landfall.
Thank you very much for the update.
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#11548 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:32 pm

dhweather wrote:Wow, the Governor, Lt. Governor, Senator Cornyn just said the damages could run upwards of $85 billion. Already estimating 150,000,000 tons of debris to be removed. :eek:


Sadly doesn't surprise me, would challenge Katrina's top place!
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#11549 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:32 pm

Houses in the seabrook area reported with water inside and people trapped as per one of the local Houston/Galveston tv stations.
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#11550 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:32 pm

ruht-roh shaggy - watching doppler - looking like the eye is tightening up.....
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11551 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:33 pm

attallaman wrote:
Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:
attallaman wrote:Sorry to bother you but my internet just came back on after being down for four hours, my cable TV is still out, what's the latest on Ike? Has Ike started moving inland yet? Has the hurricane strengthened or has it lost some of it's strength?


hasn't strengthened yet but based on radar data and sat images looks like its about to. Still up to about 8 hours before landfall.
Thank you very much for the update.


Your very welcome! Hopefully we can get this thing in land before it can strengthen to much more!
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#11552 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:34 pm

Station 42361 - Auger - Garden Banks 426

Houston, we have a problem. We need a new weather station! The anemometer has not reported since 315 CDT.

Link: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42361
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11553 Postby tifanij » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:34 pm

This site has been extremely helpful to someone in Houston wondering what the real story is. I'm 26 so I was technically here for Alicia but this will be my first real hurricane experience. Just want to say thanks for all of the very intelligent opinions.

About those who decided to stay in Galveston - I never would have stayed. I'm nervous about staying in Houston. BUT, keep in mind these people waited 18 hours when evacuating for Rita - just to get to HOUSTON, only 50 miles away. There were over a hundred deaths just related to evacuation. Plus, had Rita actually hit Galveston/Houston, these people would have been stuck in a car on the highway instead of the comfort of their homes. So while their decision is not the smartest IMHO, I guess I understand. Best of luck to them!
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#11554 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:35 pm

Image

Tightening up.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11555 Postby jinftl » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:35 pm

New Orleans area update

A storm surge model produced by the Center for the Study of Public Heath Effects of Hurricanes at LSU predicts surge from Ike will reach near 10 feet on the east bank of the Mississippi River in Plaquemines Parish and could reach that high in southeasternmost St. Tammany Parish.

The National Weather Service has predicted up to 9 feet of surge on east-facing coastlines in the New Orleans area through this evening.

According to the state Office of Coastal Protection and Restoration, widespread flooding is occurring at Shell Beach, Yscloskey, Alluvial City, Delacroix and Hopedale in St. Bernard Parish, all outside levees.

In Plaquemines Parish, contractors hired by the parish are sandbagging levees in the Caernarvon and Braithwaite areas that experienced breaching during Hurricane Gustav last week. An earlier report of a six-foot-wide breach today in a non-federal parish levee near the towns of Caernarvon, Scarsdale, White Ditch and Braithwaite was false, officials acknowledged later.

However, there has been some minor overtopping of that levee, but the flooding is being contained officials said. As of 11:45 a.m., no reports of flooded homes had been reported in that area.

The state has opened a siphon at the Caernarvon Freshwater Diversion Project that usually moves Mississippi River water into wetlands so storm surge in the marshes can flow into the river. Officials are closely monitoring the levels in both the river and the nearby marshes.

On the parish's West Bank, meanwhile, Plaquemines officials are pessimistic about winning a fight against overtopping of a levee in Pointe Celeste. With higher tides later tonight, however, officials fear that fight will not be successful.

In New Orleans, water continues to rise along Lake Pontchartrain, but may be dropping in the Industrial Canal. At the Industrial Canal lock, the water was at 8.56 feet at noon, down from 9.27 feet at 9 a.m.

Floodgates have been closed at the mouths of the London Avenue and 17th Street canals, and no significant flooding is expected in the city, state officials said.

In Jefferson Parish, flooding is reported in Lafitte, where the Pontchartrain Levee District is sending sandbags to protecte critical areas. Grand Isle reported surge flooding covering the island, and water levels may be higher than experienced during Hurricane Gustav on Sept. 1

Floodgates have been closed throughout the parish, including at Company Canal and the Harvey Canal.

Neighborhoods along the north shore of Lake Pontchartrain in St. Tammany Parish began flooding Friday morning. The Mandeville lakefront and areas near Slidell such as Eden Isles, Coin du Lestin and Lakeview Drive were swamped by rising water encroaching from the lake Ike's winds pushed through from the southeast.

Numerous roads and bridges were closed from Madisonville to the Slidell area.

In Terrebonne Parish, flooding is reported in the towns of Isle de Jean Charles, Montegute, Pointe Aux Chenes, Cocodrie and Dulac, with parish levees overtopped at several locations.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11556 Postby weatherman21 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:35 pm

Infrared Satellite at 22Z:
Image

Close Infrared at 22Z:
Image
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Re:

#11557 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:36 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Station 42361 - Auger - Garden Banks 426

Houston, we have a problem. We need a new weather station! The anemometer has not reported since 315 CDT.

Link: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42361



Excellent use of that line! :lol:
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#11558 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:36 pm

KHOU reporting that the storm "has come to a dead stop over the past hour".

Maybe their HD Doppler fell over
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11559 Postby Praxus » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:37 pm

Convection around the eye is increasing...yikes.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11560 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Fri Sep 12, 2008 5:37 pm

Holy anti-56k weatherman21! I've got 6mb cable and those pics took 2 minutes to load!
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