ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Stormcenter]

Very impressive looking I must say.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Is this moving WSW??? Bands seem to be moving WSW with time
on this radar. I saw other angles and estimated a west movement.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

Some rain bands have been moving through Tampa Bay,
Sarasota, and Fort Myers over the past few hours containing
gusty winds and light to moderate rain.

[AL Chili Pepper]

Splitting hairs, but here's the last 3 VDMs. Basically meandering about to the NW.

28 deg 52 min N
080 deg 22 min W

28 deg 56 min N
080 deg 20 min W

28 deg 59 min N
080 deg 27 min W

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Ohh gotcha so NW movement.

[TideJoe]

Very impressive looking I must say.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Wow..... it's looking a lot better than earlier today. She has an outside chance at 60-65 knots before crossing back over.

[dixiebreeze]

Numbers climbing:

20/2345 UTC 29.0N 80.6W T3.5/3.5 FAY -- Atlantic Ocean

[dixiebreeze]

Numbers climbing:

20/2345 UTC 29.0N 80.6W T3.5/3.5 FAY -- Atlantic Ocean

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Tropical Storm Force winds extend out 145 miles from the center,
wow that could cover the entire North half of the peninsula. But most
of that wind is east of the center.

[x-y-no]

Yep... don't touch the EURO with a 10 foot pole, even if deveine assistance provided to the model

It is wonderful for the mid latitudes. However, if has been worse than the reputation that the Canadian has (and most of the Canadian's rep is UNDESERVED) with some of its solutions so far this season (especially with how it spins everything into a monster)

Well, it nailed this stall on the Florida coast on the 12Z run Sunday. So it does have it's moments.

[Brent]

Anyone think this might become a hurricane tonight?

[Javlin]

Numbers climbing:

20/2345 UTC 29.0N 80.6W T3.5/3.5 FAY -- Atlantic Ocean

Do not know if this is what Luis was tring to show NHC 80.3',best track 80.5' and Dvorack 80.6';could just be the way each measures?

[TideJoe]

Anyone think this might become a hurricane tonight?

It'll get close. The big question is if and when the west (or even south of west) movement starts. If Fay stays over water stalled until tomorrow sometime, she might be the healthiest she's ever been for her trip across Florida and possibly into the GOM.

[Stangfriik]

Here in Deland, we're finally feeling the extent of Fay even though it's just decent gusts and a lot of rain.

http://www.weather.com/weather/map/inte ... ayer=radar

[dixiebreeze]

Numbers climbing:

20/2345 UTC 29.0N 80.6W T3.5/3.5 FAY -- Atlantic Ocean

Do not know if this is what Luis was tring to show NHC 80.3',best track 80.5' and Dvorack 80.6';could just be the way each measures?

Dvorak Current Intensity Chart


CI MWS MWS MSLP MSLP Saffir-Simpson
Number (Knots) (MPH) (Atlantic) (NW Pacific) Category
1 25 KTS 29 MPH (Approximate)
1.5 25 KTS 29 MPH
2 30 KTS 35 MPH 1009 mb 1000 mb
2.5 35 KTS 40 MPH 1005 mb 997 mb
3 45 KTS 52 MPH 1000 mb 991 mb
3.5 55 KTS 63 MPH 994 mb 984 mb
4 65 KTS 75 MPH 987 mb 976 mb 1 (64-83 KTS)
4.5 77 KTS 89 MPH 979 mb 966 mb 1 (64-83 KTS); 2 (84-96 KTS)
5 90 KTS 104 MPH 970 mb 954 mb 2 (84-96 KTS); 3 (97-113 KTS)
5.5 102 KTS 117 MPH 960 mb 941 mb 3 (97-113 KTS)
6 115 KTS 132 MPH 948 mb 927 mb 4 (114-135 KTS)
6.5 127 KTS 146 MPH 935 mb 914 mb 4 (114-135 KTS)
7 140 KTS 161 MPH 921 mb 898 mb 5 (136+ KTS)
7.5 155 KTS 178 MPH 906 mb 879 mb 5 (136+ KTS)
8 170 KTS 196 MPH 890 mb 858 mb 5 (136+ KTS)


CI -- Current Intensity
MWS -- Mean Wind Speed
MSLP -- Mean Sea Level Atmospheric Pressure in Millibars
More Information about the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Categories

[artist]

this is what I have been told - treat them like everything is normal. Don't tell them everything will be alright - that will only re-enforce their fear they are already having. You can also give them a benedryl if you have any. Our 51 lb. dog can take 2 every 4 hours as needed per the vet. This helps them to calm down and sleep through the worst of it if need be. Hope this helps.

Thanks Artist. We don't baby him, even though it is hard not to. Actually did some research and ran across a couple of sites that say to rub him with a dryer sheet. I did that last night and again this morning and it seems to be working. It has something to do with the electricity and pressure changes that dogs feel. I was skeptical but it is working so far, which I am glad, I am not crazy about giving him any drugs without talking to the vet.

How is he doing? I am going to try that next time. Thanks for that info. I don't either but one of ours has allergies so bad it is either that or the poor dog would be on steroids all the time. Thus why he suggested to use the benedryl for that as well.

[CrazyC83]

Dvorak numbers mean nothing when you have Recon out there.

[HURAKAN]

[sweetpea]

He is still doing fine. I am really surprised, getting alot of wind howling, thunder, lightning and it is pouring and he is just laying on his pillow under his blanket. And it is just oging to get worse here tonite and tomorrow. Normally he would be under my feet, panting and shaking like a leaf. Think I will be buying stock in dryer sheets.

[tolakram]

This station south of Daytona, closer to the center.

[Dean4Storms]

One has to wonder if she sits there long enough with the long fetch of easterly winds from the pressure gradient to the NE if it might not pull in some of the warmer SST's out in the Gulf Stream into her center?