ATL: IKE Discussion

[Cape Verde]

Reports are that the 15 trapped at the church have tied themselves together.

I'm not quite sure what the survival logic of that is.

[BigB0882]

Definite strengthening before landfall, I am guessing a 115 or 120 mph storm, so definitely cat 3. Not that another 5 or 10 mph will matter much. The surge is already there.

[fasterdisaster]

On AVN that red is now almost a complete circle. If strengthening were to continue after the red wraps around I anticipate the eye would become rounder and the CDO would try to expand. Whether there will be enough time before landfall for all this is unknown right now.

[Brent]

HURRICANE IKE TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
700 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
ESTIMATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE AND
NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON TEXAS OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTH OF BEAUMONT
TEXAS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

KHOU is reporting 18 people on roofs in part of Galveston...officials having problems getting to them.

Are people given tickets or fined when officials have to risk their own lives to save people who have been warned in advance?

My work buddy and I were just talking about that. We concur that those in mandatory evac zones should be charged for their rescue afterwards. Make it clear what the price is ahead of time, and make it like $10k and folks will evac.

[jinftl]

did they call in and report this?

Reports are that the 15 trapped at the church have tied themselves together.

I'm not quite sure what the survival logic of that is.

[Cryomaniac]

Reports are that the 15 trapped at the church have tied themselves together.

I'm not quite sure what the survival logic of that is.

Me neither, but it keeps them all together, which is comforting I guess.

[fasterdisaster]

Galveston: 52 mph
Beaumont: 38 mph
Bay City: 29 mph
Houston airport: 28 mph

[jinftl]

FEMA & DHS stated they did not feel evacuation was effective as possible. Compare to Senator interviewed on Fox who said he is very proud of how Texans have handled this.

[Houstonia]

okay, so conditions in southwest Houston are rapidly deteriorating, although we still haven't had any rain. There's a grass fire about a half mile north of my neighborhood, and I went to the City of Houston fire department active incidents page http://cbtcws.cityofhouston.gov/ActiveIncidents/HFDIncidents.aspx and I notice there's lots of wires arcing and wires down.

I don't know how long we will have power, but at least it will be cooler once night falls.

My WeatherBug is reporting gusts to 29 miles an hour, but somehow I think it might be higher.

I will report back in an hour or so if we still have power.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

did they call in and report this?

Reports are that the 15 trapped at the church have tied themselves together.

I'm not quite sure what the survival logic of that is.

Keep the weak and tired from drowning?

[Annie Oakley]

Thanks for all the live reports and also consolidated news reports here-they are a great help.Keep 'em coming please. This is your way of helping us and we need it-nothing you report is insignificant, believe me. Great intel.....

You mets-your help is invaluable. Thanks for the long hours you put in here.

[cycloneye]

000
WTNT54 KNHC 122348
TCEAT4
HURRICANE IKE TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
700 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
ESTIMATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE AND
NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON TEXAS OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTH OF BEAUMONT
TEXAS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[HarlequinBoy]

Does anyone have a list of where damage reports will come in to? I have a link to Houston LSRs, but they're so much slower than news reports.

[fasterdisaster]

I just heard 132 counties on the Gulf Coast will feel TS-force or higher winds from Ike!

[jinftl]

Jog wnw....was at 28.2N and 93.8W an hour ago

000
WTNT54 KNHC 122348
TCEAT4
HURRICANE IKE TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
700 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
ESTIMATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE AND
NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON TEXAS OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTH OF BEAUMONT
TEXAS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[tolakram]

Wobbling back.

This is not a forecast.

[Shawee]

Just heard that 13 million people are going to get effected by hurricane Ike, amazing stat!

The entire country (and then some) will be effected...

[AL Chili Pepper]

KBTV weather monitor:

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KTXBEAUM9


hope they keep power.

[Jessie]

KHOU is reporting 18 people on roofs in part of Galveston...officials having problems getting to them.

Are people given tickets or fined when officials have to risk their own lives to save people who have been warned in advance?

My work buddy and I were just talking about that. We concur that those in mandatory evac zones should be charged for their rescue afterwards. Make it clear what the price is ahead of time, and make it like $10k and folks will evac.

Good idea--