ATL Tropical Depression GUSTAV - Model Runs

[DESTRUCTION5]

The Euro wipes the Bahamas off the map.

A visual would be nice Scorp..

[Scorpion]

[Scorpion]

[lebron23]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8082112!!/

[JPmia]

Here you go :

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... date!step/

[SWFLA_CANE]

Thx for the link and visuals. This run is further north then the previous. I guess we will see what furture runs have in store. It seems strange that both Euro and CMC are so much in sink.

[Scorpion]

Euro takes it down to 960 mb, which is about as low as a global will go.

[Wx_Warrior]

WOW...Prayers to Florida that this doesn't pan out...Fay then Gustavo Mendoza. This could be the BIG East Coaster JB has harped about!

[DESTRUCTION5]

Take this as a grain of salt but JB said US is in for a Barrage of possible Major strikes over the next 3 weeks...

[KWT]

Well I think the ECM will grab peoples attention in a big way. I suspect if the high does weaken then the CMC is probably more possible then the ECM but its interesting to see they both have that sharp northerly hook, I think thats been rather overdone but we shall see.

The ECM if taken at face values suggests a pretty powerful hit.

[Brent]

That would be a horrific nightmare track for Florida.

BTW, is this really 94L? I thought it was the wave behind it and now I'm confused.

[gatorcane]

does the monster Euro hurricane move through SE FL or does it recurve just before Florida?

[jlauderdal]

Take this as a grain of salt but JB said US is in for a Barrage of possible Major strikes over the next 3 weeks...

pound of salt, we cant get a handle on a 5 day track let alone the next three weeks, however if that euro verifies he might be on to something, its pouring in FLL right now, FAY lives here too

[SWFLA_CANE]

Recurves prior SFLA landfall and impacts north Fla and Georgia. This will change 1000 times (if it even happens at all), its still 10 days out.

[Blown Away]

That's funny, good 1 Brent!

That looks like it will eat the state of Florida!

[JPmia]

does the monster Euro hurricane move through SE FL or does it recurve just before Florida?

looks like it heads to SC/GA area...but this too will change. Looks like we're in for one hell of a season.

[x-y-no]

does the monster Euro hurricane move through SE FL or does it recurve just before Florida?

The synoptics look like a South Carolina hit to me ...

But given that this is 10 days out, I wouldn't get too excited yet.

[KWT]

Brent, yep thats 94L for certain, very impressive how it develops into such a powerful hurricane!

I think those runs will get everyones attention!

[gatorcane]

does the monster Euro hurricane move through SE FL or does it recurve just before Florida?

The synoptics look like a South Carolina hit to me ...

But given that this is 10 days out, I wouldn't get too excited yet.

Thanks.

It's interesting to note that the GFS does not show the monster Euro hurricane and the 500 MB flow at day 10 would not suggest a Florida hit due to the blocking ridge across the GOM extending across the Florida peninsula. Looks like a SE US or recurve off East Coast of US. Am I reading the GFS 500MB correctly?

[SWFLA_CANE]

does the monster Euro hurricane move through SE FL or does it recurve just before Florida?

The synoptics look like a South Carolina hit to me ...

But given that this is 10 days out, I wouldn't get too excited yet.

Thanks.

It's interesting to note that the GFS does not show the monster Euro hurricane and the 500 MB flow at day 10 would not suggest a Florida hit due to the blocking ridge across the GOM. Looks like a SE US or recurve off East Coast of US. Am I reading the GFS 500MB correctly?

Until yesturday this was going south of cuba so I'm sure it will change again.