ATL: IKE Discussion

[mahicks]

Sunset here

OMG!! call me crazy, but that is absolutely beautiful!!!!

[jinftl]

would track a bit west push reds and purples into galveston bay...that is a huge difference if so

FYI: Current SLOSH models can be accessed at this FTP site:

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/surge/

Galveston SLOSH model is here:

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/surge/Latest/i48_gl2.gif

MAX SLOSH:

BTW, it seems the storm is tracking a little west of this? Or is that pretty much dead on?

[fasterdisaster]

The Houston reporter just said that in the morning it will look like nothing happened except the debris in your yard.

[Sanibel]

Deepest core band moving on Galveston.

Large dry slot in NE core quadrant.

[Janie2006]

I do declare, sometimes I think this "pack mentality" people have causes more trouble than all natural disasters combined. The run on gasoline supplies is just another example. There wasn't a shortage, but now I can't be sure...all because of unreasoning panic.

Gah.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Sunset here

OMG!! call me crazy, but that is absolutely beautiful!!!!

Except those tall trees in sustained ~70 mph winds inland will be falling on homes...

[Annie Oakley]

Anyone else well outside of Texas, experiencing HUGE lines at gas stations and panic that there will be no gas? It's crazy around here. My local station in the town I'm in had lines out to the road at 10pm (usually pretty empty) People are going crazy. Saying they heard it's going to be $5 a gallon and gas cashiers are agreeing?? I haven't heard of this but if it's the case glad I filled up just now.

No runs in south FL - but a nice spike from $3.75-$3.79 up to $3.99.

My local gas station posted the same price for all 3 grades of gasoline-in courtesy to a shortage last night-in other words-you got the best grade for the least price....that was very generous of them-if you see gas prices escalate and seem gouging-call toll free to your State Attorney General's office (toll free) immediately-this will be reported and stopped!

[gtalum]

I gassed up this evening (had to, was on empty). The price was $3.59, the same as yesterday, and there was only one other person getting gas. Panic isn't everywhere.

[fasterdisaster]

Someone was swept out to sea from Corpus Christi and declared dead by the Coast Guard...didn't catch the whole story.

Is this the first US Ike-related death?

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Yup, seems like us in FL still have our wits about us. Granted we might get our gas via Port Everglades that might have another route or two and don't rely totally on the Gulf coast for it.

Jumped from $3.77 to $3.99 midday though.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Someone was swept out to sea from Corpus Christi and declared dead by the Coast Guard...didn't catch the whole story.

Is this the first US Ike-related death?

I think maybe the boy that died when the tree fell on him could be.

Anyone in the Keys die?

[fasterdisaster]

Still 110 on this advisory, has 2 more hours to become Cat 3, so one advisory.

[capepoint]

Cantore has taken shelter in the lee of his hotel. Still has on the goggles tho.

[mtm4319]

Still 110 on this advisory, has 2 more hours to become Cat 3, so one advisory.

From the NHC Discussion:

IKE STILL HAS ABOUT A 6-HOUR WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN
INTO A 100-KT MAJOR HURRICANE. EQUALLY IMPORTANT...HOWEVER...IS THE
EFFECT THAT STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL HAVE ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.
WIND DATA FROM LAND-BASED DOPPLER RADARS AND AIRCRAFT DROPSONDES
INDICATE THAT WINDS NEAR CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH...115 KT OR 130 MPH
...EXIST JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE. THERE COULD BE A
REPEAT OF DAMAGE TO WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE STRUCTURES SIMILAR TO WHAT
OCCURRED DURING HURRICANE ALICIA IN 1983. THE PEAK WIND SPEED AND
VARIOUS WIND RADII WERE HELD HIGHER THAN OUR INLAND WIND DECAY
MODELS ARE PREDICTING DUE TO THE MUCH LARGER SIZE OF IKE.

[lantanatx]

Corpus christi drowning - 3 injured, 1 missing
Looky-loo & friend swept off by wave, two rescuers seriously injured

http://www.caller.com/news/2008/sep/12/man-missing-water-packery-channel/

[jinftl]

very unusual...only a matter of time before we find a way to get in the news here in south florida.

for people in gas panic mode....take some comfort in this report from cnn that oil prices didnt skyrocket today..

Even as Ike threatened the Gulf Coast region, oil prices remained near five-month lows, because the oil market has been fixated on the global economic slowdown chipping away at demand for pricey energy. Crude prices have fallen more than $46 from the record-high of $147.27 a barrel, set July 11.

Yup, seems like us in FL still have our wits about us. Granted we might get our gas via Port Everglades that might have another route or two and don't rely totally on the Gulf coast for it.

Jumped from $3.77 to $3.99 midday though.

[O Town]

His outflow has just gotten crazy over the last 3 hours or so, looks like he stuck his finger in a light socket.

[jrtalon]

I was curious, usually storms tend to weaken when approaching the coast but this one seems to be strengthening could a strong cat. 2 strengthening to a Cat. 3 be more damaging wind wise then a weakening Cat. 4 to strong cat. 3 making landfall? thanks.

[capepoint]

msnbc reporter on galveston seawall showing water overtopping seawall. Reporting water rising fast.

[jinftl]

onair met was saying a windshift to the s-se would mean the difference in billions of dollars of damage....indicative of where eye is in relation to bay

msnbc reporter on galveston seawall showing water overtopping seawall. Reporting water rising fast.