ATL: IKE Discussion

[HarlequinBoy]

725,000 customers without power. KHOU.

[WxGuy1]

Geraldo just said gust of 135....unreal.

I say BS

I have to agree, but when the east half of that eye wall comes around again, I would not disagree. Of course he needs to tie himself off to that palm nearby...

Geraldo's anemometer is most likely reporting in km/hr, not mph. He's said gusts to 120-130 several times, and that has to be 120-130 km/hr. There is no way he's getting 120-130 mph gusts right now (not w/ the winds parallel to the shore like they are right now). A tad farther to the NE of Galveston (in on-shore flow) has the best chance to see 120 mph gusts.

[Aristotle]

They are showing the water ON the seawall blvd...NOT lapping onto it...wouldnt that make the surge ALREADY at 16-17 ft?

No, I've tried to tell people, but the seawall is only 10 FEET above sea level. Erosion has caused this in the last century.

That is totally and patently incorrect the Seawall varies between 15-17 feet. Your welcome to go and search that fact.

[capepoint]

To me, it looks like Ike has corrected to a NW movement after a jog to the N or NNW that may have saved Houston and Galveston billions of dollars in damage. Again, there is a big difference between the right-front and the left-front part of Ike. Example: RECON is reporting very large swaths of 95-105 kt winds at FL to the NW of the center, while winds to the SW of the center are largely 65-75 kts at FL. Coincident with that will be a huge difference in the surge. In fact, in the left-front quad of the storm will see offshore winds that will actually act to drive the surge DOWN instead of up. Damage will likely still be very, very bad, but that may have been a wobble for the ages for those in Galveston. ENE and NE winds continue near Houston, which is not forcing the water into the bays like was forecast when it looked like Ike would hit SW of Galveston. So, surge in and around Houston may well be less than anticipated as well.

That's what I suspected with that wobble. Just like Ivan for Mobile (and for wind purposes, Katrina for New Orleans). Just a few minutes here or a few miles there... amazing how close things can come sometimes to the absolute worst-case scenario and just miss.

Amazing????....or divine intervention

[fasterdisaster]

He's moving to the WNW again so it looks like he'll hit a little west of downtown Galveston on the east end and due south of Bayou Vista.

[fasterdisaster]

They are showing the water ON the seawall blvd...NOT lapping onto it...wouldnt that make the surge ALREADY at 16-17 ft?

No, I've tried to tell people, but the seawall is only 10 FEET above sea level. Erosion has caused this in the last century.

That is totally and patently incorrect the Seawall varies between 15-17 feet. Your welcome to go and search that fact.

It was BUILT 15-17. Tell me, if the seawall is 16 feet then why is 12 foot surge gushing over it?

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Are there any live videos of that area still working???

Been no power for hours now. 725,000 without power now. I doubt much internet is working at all from there.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

why is 12 foot surge gushing over it?

Waves.

[jinftl]

as someone wisely said...the dope is probably reading km/hr...makes perfect sense

Geraldo just said gust of 135....unreal.

I say BS

The deception that they are putting on the air should be against the law.

[capepoint]

msnbc interviewing Josh in the DOW right now.

[Category 5]

Geraldo just said gust of 135....unreal.

I say BS

The deception that they are putting on the air should be against the law.

How many false wind reports from Geraldo alone have we had tonight? I agree there needs to be laws against this. Such misinformation is inexcusable.

[tolakram]

Looks like Ike is dumping into the bay now, didn't quite get east enough.

[mtm4319]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The eye is the size of Galveston Bay... and Ike might just put the entire bay inside the eye at once.

[southerngale]

At 11:53pm cdt - Beaumont/Port Arthur, SE Texas Regional Airport

E 48 G 76 MPH

[jasons2k]

Rain finally starting here, winds gusting close to 50mph, and somehow I still have power. It flickered once about a hour ago...

[HarlequinBoy]

Good night guys, I wish I could keep watching but I have work at seven. Weekend jobs blow.


I really do hope everything will be as good as possible when I wake up. Best wishes Texans!

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Anyone watching the yachts on KHOU? Thats about a 50 footer about 30-50 tons and its thrashing around like crazy.

[Aristotle]

No, I've tried to tell people, but the seawall is only 10 FEET above sea level. Erosion has caused this in the last century.[/quote]

That is totally and patently incorrect the Seawall varies between 15-17 feet. Your welcome to go and search that fact.[/quote]

It was BUILT 15-17. Tell me, if the seawall is 16 feet then why is 12 foot surge gushing over it?[/quote]

Lol, Have you ever been to Galveston?.......I go every year.

2-Because the Ocean has something called waves. If the surge was at 10 feet and the wall was 10 feet the Waves would be breaking over Geraldo himself. Saavy?

and F Because I fish off the Seawall every year. And I know approximately how many rocks I have to climb down off the Seawall. and it ain't no 10 feet.

Any other questions?

Thought Not!

[Jason_B]

How many false wind reports from Geraldo alone have we had tonight? I agree there needs to be laws against this. Such misinformation is inexcusable.

And how exactly you know this is false? It's a ctegory 2...you can get category 3 gusts.

[jinftl]

will parts of city of houston be west of eye....could be west, directly over, or east...

Looks like Ike is dumping into the bay now, didn't quite get east enough.