ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[beachlover]

thanks, I will!

Can someone please tell me where I should post a question about a specific area and forecasting from the pros here? I am co-chair of the beach restoration on Cape San Blas, Florida. I obviously am concerned about Fay's track. I also have a new webcam on the house here, which is 1000 feet from the active restoration point. We don't have ABS on it yet (my husband was bringing it down tomorrow but now he's waiting to see if we're stopped or delayed). I don't want to post a link unless that's approrpriate either. Anyway, where can I ask for professional opinions on what we'll see here? I do the blog for our restoration project and people will begin to ask me questions about what will happen and I want to be informed. I apologize if this is not where I should post. Thanks in advance for any asssitance. Laurel

The best place to ask questions of the Pro Mets is in the Tropical Analysis Forum.

Good Luck,
Lynn

[plazaglass]

I am in Jacksonville, within walking distance to the beach. I think this storm has filed for homestead exemption, been given a street address and is now able to receive mail.

[fci]

Gainesville, FL

Considering that UF was rated the #1 party school in the country; Fay may stay awhile.
Besides it is "rush week" so she might want to join a sorority since she may be here in Fl for about 4 years!

[mutley]

but where would she be likely to go after that? does anybody think she may eventually do another boomerang and re-cross the florida peninsula from west to east??

I think all guesses are equal at this point.

[LSU2001]

Doesn't the rainfall amouint now beat out Allison? I believe 30" for Melbourne. Also, it seems there was a system recently that maintained its structure all the up Oklahoma. Anyone remember what system that was? I'm guessing Fay is going to be a retired name.

Erin I believe is the system you are talking about. She really "reorganized over Ok. City. Wildest thing I ever saw.
Tim

[amanda]

Gainesville, FL

Considering that UF was rated the #1 party school in the country; Fay may stay awhile.
Besides it is "rush week" so she might want to join a sorority since she may be here in Fl for about 4 years!

hmmm, now fay's stall near daytona beach is making more sense to me... SPRING BREAK!!!!

[jaxfladude]

The "real flooding rains" are still a few hours away for my area, today's rains are on the weaker side of Fay...

The TV Mets keeping saying that, ouch....

[Sanibel]

Suppose it will eventually slough over and crumble west - and probably slowly at that.

[killah]

This has been a really weird storm to follow. I usually lurk but I know some people here from other forums. I am adding this post, although this forum doesn't need any more posts because there seemed to be an unusually silent night out there when I walked my dog here in New Orleans. There wasn't ANY wind tonight, it didn't rain today or yesterday which was the first time in god knows how long. It was just a hot and humid August night.

Look, I don't know how to tell where storms are going to go. However, I have lived here long enough to know when a storm is starting to get close. We have had so much rainy weather in New Orleans this summer, it is surprising to see no significant amount of rain in the area for 2 days.

I feel the calm before the storm is at hand. That and the Bears were moving the ball on offense with their first team and with a roookie RB from Tulane.

[deltadog03]

See some deep REDS on ir.....Looks very close to the coast.

[fasterdisaster]

What's the record for most landfalls a storm has made? Anyone know?

[Agua]

The "real flooding rains" are still a few hours away for my area, ...

Or maybe "a few days away" ...

[Extratropical1]

Fay seems to have moved NW north of Gainesville as on the water vapor loop. Is this an illusion?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

[fasterdisaster]

Looks like Fay is already reorganizing YET AGAIN as she moves back on to the coast.

[jdray]

The "real flooding rains" are still a few hours away for my area, ...

Or maybe "a few days away" ...

shh..... don't give Fay any ideas.....


our southern hospitality only goes so far.

[TexasSam]

Highest known tropical cyclones amounts for the lower 48 since 1976

Below is a list of the top ten highest known storm total rainfall amounts from individual tropical cyclones across the lower 48 since 1976. Much of the rainfall information was provided by the National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, North Carolina.

1. 1219 mm/48.00 inches Amelia 1978
2. 1143 mm/45.00 inches Claudette 1979
3. 1033 mm/40.68 inches Allison 2001
4. 977 mm / 38.46 inches Georges 1998
5. 932 mm / 36.71 inches Danny 1997
6. 707 mm / 27.85 inches Alberto 1994
7. 652 mm / 25.67 inches Allison 1989
8. 649 mm / 25.56 inches Dennis 1981
9. 635 mm / 25.00 inches T.D. #1 1992
10. 611 mm / 24.06 inches Floyd 1999[1]
from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_tropical_cyclone_rainfall_climatology

[jasons2k]

Dr. Lyons showed the WV loop and showed the SW winds ahead of Fay - even if she makes it into the GOM he was very pessimistic for any intensification - he said, in fact, Fay could weaken while over the GOM if she goes back over water....

Anyway, the story now is the flooding. JAX is going to get pounded overnight, unfortunately. A very intense feeder band has setup shop over Duval County and shows no signs of leaving soon.

[LowndesCoFire]

So if the winds are sustaining at 60 who exactly is getting those winds? or is it all offshore?

[fasterdisaster]

Is this an illusion?

Yes

[jaxfladude]

The "real flooding rains" are still a few hours away for my area, ...

Or maybe "a few days away" ...

I know.....Deport Fay I Say.....

Dr. Lyons showed the WV loop and showed the SW winds ahead of Fay - even if she makes it into the GOM he was very pessimistic for any intensification - he said, in fact, Fay could weaken while over the GOM if she goes back over water....

Anyway, the story now is the flooding. JAX is going to get pounded overnight, unfortunately. A very intense feeder band has setup shop over Duval County and shows no signs of leaving soon.