ATL Tropical Depression GUSTAV - Model Runs

[Ivanhater]

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/extreme/ ... _anim.html

[Ivanhater]

GFDL

[Wx_Warrior]

Nice find 'hater...tired of seeing the same ol same ol plots. better visual.

[ronjon]

18Z HWRF

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2008082718-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

18Z GFDL

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2008082718-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

[HouTXmetro]

GFDL further East, HWRF continues toward SW LA.

[HardCard]

am I the only one that noticed that the gfs in the run has to at 144knots..... Cat 5? Ouch!

[DESTRUCTION5]

am I the only one that noticed that the gfs in the run has to at 144knots..... Cat 5? Ouch!

LOL...GFDL

[Nederlander]

am I the only one that noticed that the gfs in the run has to at 144knots..... Cat 5? Ouch!

Thats what HWRF has it at too

[Sjones]

18Z HWRF

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2008082718-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

18Z GFDL

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2008082718-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

The HWRF Model has been consistent for what seems to be the past 24 hours or so. SETX/SWLA. Not sure how reliable it is, but I know it has been consistent.

WX Warrior Check Your PM's Pls

[sunnyday]

I read with interest a short statement someone made about the storm slowing down and being impacted by mountains, two things that could alter its path. The people in SE FL don't have to worry about this storm, right? Thank you for taking the time to answer.

[deltadog03]

WSW we go I see!!

[dwg71]

18Z HWRF

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2008082718-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

18Z GFDL

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2008082718-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

The HWRF Model has been consistent for what seems to be the past 24 hours or so. SETX/SWLA. Not sure how reliable it is, but I know it has been consistent.

WX Warrior Check Your PM's Pls

THe 12Z run had it going NNE at the end towards SE LA. It has been fairly close to GFDL most of the time. It has not been consistant on SE TX at all.

[Wx_Warrior]

Delta...I've been away from the board (sports editor)...411 on WSW?

[sunnyday]

Now that the storm is a mere 45 mph (half of what it was yesterday), is it likely to dissipate?

[HouTXmetro]

Delta...I've been away from the board (sports editor)...411 on WSW?

Wxman predicted a WSW yesterday. I think? Oh, some models did too.

[Jagno]

WSW we go I see!!

Is this your professional opinion as well? Please share your thoughts.

I pray that this intensity HWRF is very unreliable with this run.

[Sabanic]

Hell I pray that all the runs are unreliable, but unfortunately if Gus can hold together some area of the Gulf Coast is more than likely going to have to deal with it.

BE PREPARED !!!!!

[deltadog03]

GFDL and HWRF have this moving WSW for a bit...I can see that happening for a short term...The winds pushing on this have just torn this up.

[Portastorm]

If Gustav's LLC and MLC are dislodged ... I wonder if this means that the system will be now steered more by lower-level flow and maybe in the shorter term we should pay attention to the BAM suite. Thoughts?

[jeff]

I have been suggesting a WSW motion for the past day now, based on the high position over S FL and the NW Caribbean. I think NHC is slightly too far north in the short term...and they are now right of most of the guidance in the NW Caribbean. Those that suggest an eastern trend continues...the 12z and 18z trends have been westward and I would think the models are going to shift west as the center moves W and posisble WSW...now if that chnages the final landfall position...it is still up for debate as now there is this possible stalling or great slowing in the N Gulf some models are showing.

WXMAN57...may have abandoned his S TX idea a tad early.