ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

[superfly]

Luis wasn't recon leaving for Hanna at 9am?

They just took off about 10 minutes ago.

[Trader Ron]

LOL the whole Jupiter island is shutterd up...But on the same token thier all in nantucket in thier 4th homes...[/quote]


You never know . Nantucket could take a whack from Hanna.


Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.[/quote]

[CourierPR]

It looks like S FL or at least anyone south of Melbourne won't have to worry about Hanna unless the synoptics change or the high building will be stronger than expected.I'm watching this but I'm not as stressed now as I was days ago when it was more of a threat to S FL.

She still appears to be moving west and I would wait before I gave the all clear signal.

[storms in NC]

And we don't need her rain either.

The lake is already above average. Tomorrow water management will get together and probably pour some water out of the lake. Here we go again.

Why do they keep doing that? leave the lake alone. If God didn't want want in it there would be none. I have fished that lake more than once. Use to be a great fishing there. Had a place there. If I had a nickle for all the times I had fish there I would be rich living in the Islands

[wzrgirl1]

It looks like S FL or at least anyone south of Melbourne won't have to worry about Hanna unless the synoptics change or the high building will be stronger than expected.I'm watching this but I'm not as stressed now as I was days ago when it was more of a threat to S FL.

I'm still under stress because she keeps moving west, which keeps making the possiblity for a SE/ SF hit higher...

I wouldn't dare think that we in SoFLa are quite out of the picture yet.

yep still in the cone....until we are out of it....I won't rest

[gtsmith]

It looks like S FL or at least anyone south of Melbourne won't have to worry about Hanna unless the synoptics change or the high building will be stronger than expected.I'm watching this but I'm not as stressed now as I was days ago when it was more of a threat to S FL.

where's the disclaimer???

[wzrgirl1]

what do the dvorak numbers have to be in order to be classified as a cane?

[Blown Away]

It looks like S FL or at least anyone south of Melbourne won't have to worry about Hanna unless the synoptics change or the high building will be stronger than expected.I'm watching this but I'm not as stressed now as I was days ago when it was more of a threat to S FL.

Wow, I wouldn't make that statement at this point. The odds of a hurricane landfalling from the E or SE from Melbourne to Savannah are so low, so I'm betting w/ the odds heavily in my favor based on climatology there will be a different result. IMO, Melbourne South or S.C. north!

[feederband]

Asked a few people around here about Hanna this morning...2 didn't know about her 1 thought it broke up and was no longe there...Gus has all the attention..

[KWT]

Hanna is looking increasinglg good, I can well believe the 3.5 Dvorak estimates, I'm very interested in what recon reports show, expect it will be a strong TS by the time they get there unless the center suddenly becomes exposed thanks to another bout of wind shear.

[mawolf3]

S FL completely out of TWC's cone.

[boca]

It looks like S FL or at least anyone south of Melbourne won't have to worry about Hanna unless the synoptics change or the high building will be stronger than expected.I'm watching this but I'm not as stressed now as I was days ago when it was more of a threat to S FL.

where's the disclaimer???

It looks like S FL or at least anyone south of Melbourne won't have to worry about Hanna unless the synoptics change or the high building will be stronger than expected.I'm watching this but I'm not as stressed now as I was days ago when it was more of a threat to S FL.

[b]The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[gatorcane]

S FL completely out of TWC's cone.

TWC "cones" are very small and the NHC cone should be used.

[Grease Monkey]

But there was a weather discussion that was posted around 5am that stated even a slight westerly deviation from the current track can make a big difference on Hanna making much further southernly track.

[KWT]

boca, a little too early to say that, for now it does look like there will be enough of a weakness to guide Hanna off to the NW but who knows these things do sometimes change. I think the whole SE coast should keep a very close eye on Hanna.

I'm increasingly confident that at one point in its life Hanna will be a hurricane given conditions should improve for Hanna once Gustav is inland at last.

[captain east]

But there was a weather discussion that was posted around 5am that stated even a slight westerly deviation from the current track can make a big difference on Hanna making much further southernly track.

And it looks like she's taking that slight westerly deviation if you asked me.

[mawolf3]

gator - I usually dont pay attention to TWC but watching Gus coverage and noticed how different their Hanna cone was and wondered why.

[gatorcane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Considering Hanna is moving WSW and seems to be losing lattitude --- and the shear is blowing strong North to South....I don't see Hanna making a sharp NNW turn, sorry.

I'm leaning towards a solution closer to the UKMET and ECMWF.

That means I'm on board with Florida in the target zone, including the entire SE coast of Florida and E Coast of Florida, yes I said it.

[CourierPR]

S FL completely out of TWC's cone.

TWC "cones" are very small and the NHC cone should be used.

Apparently, TWC has a limited graphics budget and can't make a larger cone. Back to Hanna- she is a rather large storm.