ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Bailey1777]

Why would that happen and what would that do to Ed?

Need you here Miami

[HouTXmetro]

Why would that happen and what would that do to Ed?

I have no clue.... He showed the ULL to the W/SW then another small low really close just WNW of Eduoard.

[Extremeweatherguy]

he said that it was a trough of low pressure that Edouard would follow toward Texas. I watched him too.

[Shockwave]

Dr. Lyons said that an area of low pressure formed just to the NW of Edouard....

How does that happen when you have High Pressure that is keeping Ed from going north, but yet another low has formed?

[Bailey1777]

Wouldn't that disrupt Ed?

[HURAKAN]

Strong convection over the center.

[wxman57]

The center is a bit too far out to be seen easily by LCH radar. The center is about 133nm from LCH, so the radar beam is looking at an elevation of about 20,000 feet above the surface. What you see moving northwest is a band of squalls about 30nm north of the center. Pretty strong ridge to the north should keep it moving westward and at a somewhat faster pace. GFDL picks up the forward speed to over 10 kts tonight, bringing it inland early afternoon. Doesn't look too bad. May be interesting weather here in Houston tomorrow.

[Steve]

If anybody's interested, this is a shot of the stray feeder band that moved through here about an hour ago . View is looking roughly NW from a bridge on Dumaine St. over Bayou St. John looking back toward City Park/Lake Pontchartrain.



Hey, it's the only game in town right now.

Steve

[wxman57]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc08/ATL/05L.EDOUARD/ir/geo/1km/20080805.0045.goes12.x.ir1km.05LEDOUARD.45kts-999mb-284N-916W.100pc.jpg

http://i21.photobucket.com/albums/b300/ ... zaju6e.jpg

Strong convection over the center.

The center is south of that heavy convection.

[Bailey1777]

Looks that way Wxman57, can you chime in on the low they are talking about please.

[Extremeweatherguy]

The center is a bit too far out to be seen easily by LCH radar. The center is about 133nm from LCH, so the radar beam is looking at an elevation of about 20,000 feet above the surface. What you see moving northwest is a band of squalls about 30nm north of the center. Pretty strong ridge to the north should keep it moving westward and at a somewhat faster pace. GFDL picks up the forward speed to over 10 kts tonight, bringing it inland early afternoon. Doesn't look too bad. May be interesting weather here in Houston tomorrow.

Thanks for the update wxman57. What do you think I will experience on the northern part of Galveston Island from this system?

[TampaFl]

You guys are being fooled by radar, this storm isn't moving N or NE, I see a crawl to the W....The center is slowing down due to all the bursting convection over Ed....I'd say landfall time probably will need to be pushed back to noon tom. Remember folks, Ed is being steered by a dominant High to its north, it wont bust through that high and move N or NE. The path is very very straightforward.

It jogged to the north. Recon showed it with the VDM fixes. No big deal. Radar is not showing an illusion.

[jinftl]

Dr. Lyons talking about how outflow is now 'choked' on all sides of the system...the outflow that looked like it was developing on the south and east sides has stopped so it is going to have rely on internal mechanisms only if it is going to strengthen much

[wxman57]

Looks that way Wxman57, can you chime in on the low they are talking about please.

I have no idea what they're talking about. Looks like a strengthening TS to me, moving toward the west to west-northwest.

[HouTXmetro]

Not to nit pick but it didn't jog NE... lol

[Extremeweatherguy]

Dr. Lyons talking about how outflow is now 'choked' on all sides of the system...the outflow that looked like it was developing on the south and east sides has stopped so it is going to have rely on internal mechanisms only if it is going to strengthen much

I just watched Lyons again too. He said he expects the storm to follow the trough of low pressure into the TX coast and possibly reach Cat. 1 strength by landfall. He also stressed that the area of greatest impact will be confined to a small region near where this makes landfall.

[Bailey1777]

Thanks Wxman57 hurricane party at your place tonight right?

[Sean in New Orleans]

The center is a bit too far out to be seen easily by LCH radar. The center is about 133nm from LCH, so the radar beam is looking at an elevation of about 20,000 feet above the surface. What you see moving northwest is a band of squalls about 30nm north of the center. Pretty strong ridge to the north should keep it moving westward and at a somewhat faster pace. GFDL picks up the forward speed to over 10 kts tonight, bringing it inland early afternoon. Doesn't look too bad. May be interesting weather here in Houston tomorrow.

Thanks for the update wxman57. What do you think I will experience on the northern part of Galveston Island from this system?

I doubt the weather will be particularly interesting, but, it will probably rain some. This system is pretty small, IMO.

[HouTXmetro]

Looks that way Wxman57, can you chime in on the low they are talking about please.

I have no idea what they're talking about. Looks like a strengthening TS to me, moving toward the west to west-northwest.

Dr Lyons said Ed was following a trough that developed aroun him into the upper TX coast and that another center reformation further west was possible.

[Stormcenter]

I think everyone is over analyzing Eddie. He is has definitely been moving erractically. The NHC noted this in their latest advisory. To say otherwise is contradicting them.