ATL IKE: Models Discussion

[Windy]

Wow. Looks like it wants to have that trof pick it up at the end of the run. Wouldn't that be a kicker.

[HouTXmetro]

Apples and Oranges, Gustav was a different synoptic set up.

[Ivanhater]

I mentioned this earlier today..watch the progression of the trough cause the GFS run ealier may have been sniffing out a stronger trough...

[Ivanhater]

162

[PTPatrick]

for what its worth....0z NAM was a good bit more north and east this time and its showing the trough slightly deeper into WY on Thrusday morning in stead of Western montana. 84 hr GFS position not far off NAM, BUT WHATS more important is that their pictures of the trough are both deeper and slightly faster come Thursday morning. The GFS had the main energy in Idaho and has it in WY now on the 0z run thursday morning.

[superfly]

Going to Pensacola, moving NE.

[ROCK]

its going to send it back to FL..... wow...it sure did take the long way around to go there.....

[HouTXmetro]

Still plenty of time but my concern for a direct hit where I live has dropped quite a bit with this latest GFS run. Hopefully I now can get some sleep for the remainder of the week.

[cycloneye]

Picked up by trough.

[deltadog03]

Now, just remember...This could easily change....We are really gonna have to wait another day or 2 before we really know what that trof might do...We have to get that into the upper air network so we can have a better idea...

[Nederlander]

just checked out the models... and S2K officially has my attention (again) for the next week

[Wx_Warrior]

Look @ the temps in Nebraska...Some 50s....This trough is too strong not to dip down. Now, where it picks up Ike, remains to be seen. I think tomorrow night we'll know!

[Stormcenter]

I'm still sticking with the outside "possibility" of a FL. panhandle final landfall.

[cycloneye]

Now, just remember...This could easily change....We are really gonna have to wait another day or 2 before we really know what that trof might do...We have to get that into the upper air network so we can have a better idea...

And the other thing is how Ike comes out of Cuba in terms of organization and intensity.

[PTPatrick]

Like I said guys...we are supposed to have 60s in Denver Thursday... after a coupld days of 80s so somethings coming down.

[TTheriot1975]

Dont the models shift east at night? Just wondering..and yes I would be thankful for this to go east..but not for LA/MS area...they just had a hit

[Stormcenter]

This back and forth with some of the models is just ridiculous.

[Brent]

Picked up by trough.

Don't like this run.

and a week from now? UGH.

[PTPatrick]

Hopefully this situation would pan out for a sheared lopsided NE moving system.

[superfly]

Yup, landfall near Pensacola, FL.