ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[deltadog03]

You watch..that ULL will jet infront of 94l and provide great outflow.

[Texas Snowman]

Certainly not implying that 94L will be a hurricane, let alone one of Katrina's magnitude, but didn't Katrina finally get its act together when remnants of one depression combined with remnants of another?

Kind of the old "It's not how it starts the race that matters, it's how it ends the race that matters."

Also, while 94L hasn't done anything yet, the fact that everyone is still talking about it five days down the road is something to note (it doesn't seem to want to go away), not to mention the convection blossoming around what appears to be a developing center.

My .02 cents worth, I wouldn't batten the hatches down anywhere just yet, but I certainly wouldn't write this thing off either.

Tx Snowman

[cpdaman]

dang that ULL is pimping out 3 circulations

in all seriousness it appears that in the near future the ULL would be getting a bit to close for comfort for 96L unless i am missing something.

[Innotech]

94L is definitely developing a pretty significant LLC. Theres no questioning it at this point. Its obvious.

[cheezyWXguy]

dang that ULL is pimping out 3 circulations

in all seriousness it appears that in the near future the ULL would be getting a bit to close for comfort for 96L unless i am missing something.

well, the ULL looks to be picking up some speed, so if it keeps ahead of the storm, all i can see it doing is providing the weakness and enhancing outflow.

[HURAKAN]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

94L is definitely developing a pretty significant LLC. Theres no questioning it at this point. Its obvious.

Recon shows no LLC. This won't have a LL defined enough to be upgraded before it slams into centeral America.

[kurtpage]

94L is definitely developing a pretty significant LLC. Theres no questioning it at this point. Its obvious.

Recon shows no LLC. This won't have a LL defined enough to be upgraded before it slams into centeral America.

keep telling yourself that and maybe it eventually come true....I just do not see it....

In my completely unprofessional ameteur opinion this will form something (TD / Hurricane) by Sunday evening - Monday morning.

[CalmBeforeStorm]

94L is definitely developing a pretty significant LLC. Theres no questioning it at this point. Its obvious.

Recon shows no LLC. This won't have a LL defined enough to be upgraded before it slams into centeral America.

There was no circulation center when recon was in. There is now.

[HURAKAN]

[cheezyWXguy]

94L is definitely developing a pretty significant LLC. Theres no questioning it at this point. Its obvious.

Recon shows no LLC. This won't have a LL defined enough to be upgraded before it slams into centeral America.

Ok its getting pretty obvious that you really dont want this to develop...I dont want a big storm either, but it seems like "anti-wishcasting."
1. This is NOT going into central america...it looks like central yucatan at furthest south.
2. Recon was out earlier and didnt find a closed llc, but that was while the center was trying to reform and there wasnt much evidence of a llc. Now, there are many more low level clouds, circling around in all directions. I dont know if it has formed completely yet, but it wont be long, and certainly wont take 4 days at this rate.

[Derek Ortt]

the circulation is probably at mid levels

we'll need to wait for the evenign QS pass

[deltadog03]

Derek, your prob. right...I mean, we can all clearly see it. IMO this is really all this wave needed. Now, if it maintains this, and shear numbers are close to being right. This may really take off.

[Sanibel]

The circulation is the same one we've been talking about for several days. It's always been there. It just hasn't been able to get all the way around because it has been fighting conditions. The look of the storm on the far shot tells you everything. The center is starting to reflect in the mid-level meaning it is finally starting to wrap.

14.8N-72.5W

The whole question what the ULL does to it. It could prevent tonight's Dmax and really throw things off until 94L works its way past it.

[senorpepr]

Ok whos going to break out the "Need more RECON" image with Walken....

You can thank me later...

[Derek Ortt]

Derek, your prob. right...I mean, we can all clearly see it. IMO this is really all this wave needed. Now, if it maintains this, and shear numbers are close to being right. This may really take off.

its always had a well-deifned MLC. It just never had a well defined LLC. The closest it came was Sunday when it mor resembled a shear line

[senorpepr]

I dont want a big storm either, but it seems like "anti-wishcasting."

That has to be a first... someone being called an "anti-wish caster".

[srainhoutx]

I wondered if that was coming.

[hurricanetrack]

Cow bell baby! Needs more cow bell. Always a nice day when a Walken photo can show up on the ole s2k!

[DESTRUCTION5]

I dont want a big storm either, but it seems like "anti-wishcasting."

That has to be a first... someone being called an "anti-wish caster".

If you look up this definition you would find ---"Frank2"