ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

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Hurricane Cheese
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Re:

#2721 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:08 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:It does appear that Gus has made a left turn.


I'm still trying to see it, but my eyes aren't letting me! I must be hurricane-steering blind! :cheesy:

If it is turning now it should go south of Cuba into the straights towards the Isle of Youth in several days.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2722 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:09 pm

I'd like to know where people are seeing this left turn.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

Image
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#2723 Postby BigB0882 » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:09 pm

I wish I could read all these maps. I just see lines and numbers everywhere! LOL!
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2724 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:10 pm

weatherguru18 wrote:My gut has told me Mississippi for a couple days. I'm just wondering how this trough around 144 hours will play out. These winter-like troughs may protect the upper-Texas coast. However it is all speculative at this time. If there is any good news in this, it's that most everybody knows this is going to be a huge hurricane...meaning high end category. I don't think it's going to take much convincing to get people to move and take it seriously when the time arrives for evacuating.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/avnmr.vort.html



That didn't make me feel any better. That mid-level low seems to be lifting north toward AL/FL.
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#2725 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:10 pm

Hmmm its starting to move more to the WNW now it seems looking at the Vis imagery though whether its jsut the illusion of the eye vanishing or not is another matter but given the way the motion has changed in the last 6hrs from 325 to 310 it wouldn't be surprising if this is continuing to occur now.

Still would guess its around 300.
Last edited by KWT on Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2726 Postby poof121 » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:10 pm

Looks like it'll be following Haiti's peninsula. Didn't someone say there are mountains on the peninsula?
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2727 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:11 pm

New EURO about the same as 0z run...South of Brownsville..

OT: EURO has a monster east of Florida... :eek:
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Re: Re:

#2728 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:11 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Have the levees been rebuilt since Katrina?? I saw a documentary
they are building a stronger levee???


There is nothing they can do with a Cat 4 or 5.


rain is the issue with levees not wind folks
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2729 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:11 pm

tolakram wrote:I'd like to know where people are seeing this left turn.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

Image



See that's what I'm saying! My eyes seem to be telling me it's still mainly NW. But with such a small eye with this storm it is hard to pin point with the Sun shining directly down on those cloud tops in the visible
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2730 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:12 pm

poof121 wrote:Looks like it'll be following Haiti's peninsula. Didn't someone say there are mountains on the peninsula?


Turn on terrain is it isn't on already.

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&ie ... 17&t=p&z=9
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mpic
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2731 Postby mpic » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:12 pm

Just breezing in and trying to catch up. Do we have any kind of guesstimate time frame yet?
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2732 Postby WmE » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:13 pm

poof121 wrote:Looks like it'll be following Haiti's peninsula. Didn't someone say there are mountains on the peninsula?


Actually it's an island. :D And yes there are several very high peaks on Hispaniola.
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#2733 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:13 pm

THat 12z run of the GFS seems to send the mid-level low from Gus northward toward AL/FL, is that not what I am seeing?
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2734 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:13 pm

I'm not liking the reference to Lili - I lost most of my roof with Lili. Of course, I now have a brand new house thanks to Rita.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2735 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:13 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:New EURO about the same as 0z run...South of Brownsville..

OT: EURO has a monster east of Florida... :eek:


Oh the humanity :) (seinfeld reference)
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#2736 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:13 pm

Well thats the problem hurricane cheese, the eye has now gone from the Vis imagery, can still get a good indication as to where it is mind you on the higher resolution imagery, looks like 300 degrees to me now and steadily turning to the west.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2737 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:13 pm

tolakram, I am with you here. I do not see any left turn either to this point. It is amazing to sit back and read posts and how much they sway or can be convinced of something from one minute to the next.
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Re: Re:

#2738 Postby sunny » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:14 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Have the levees been rebuilt since Katrina?? I saw a documentary
they are building a stronger levee???


There is nothing they can do with a Cat 4 or 5.


rain is the issue with levees not wind folks


Storm surge is the issue with the levees.....
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in Central Caribbean Sea

#2739 Postby Comanche » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:14 pm

So I would suppose JB has this going up the East Coast to Hit NYC??? :lol:
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Re: Re:

#2740 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:14 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Have the levees been rebuilt since Katrina?? I saw a documentary
they are building a stronger levee???


There is nothing they can do with a Cat 4 or 5.


rain is the issue with levees not wind folks


Cat 4 or 5 winds pushing a storm surge into the Miss Delta is an issue for Levee's!!!!!
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