ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[jdjaguar]

the current GFS has a "Hurricane David" feel to it

oh thats just great..another David (1979 was it?). Evacuation is near impossible in that event.

Hopefully it will not spin higher than CAT 1

[storms in NC]

Just looked at the loop and it seem to be moving WNW well more like West with a jog to the north. But at less you can see her moving now and not sitting. You will see it swing back to the east again in the models. Maybe Tomorrow we should have a good fix on her. JMO

[meteorologyman]

this is my personel oppinion but if there is a possible chance of Major Hurricane along EC florida or further up, evacuations need to take into an effect. If everyone waits for it form to that classification it would practically be just about on us.

[cpdaman]

appears to be ever so slightly drifting WSW


cuban radar doesn't help that much but..

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... axw01a.gif

[cpdaman]

tropical storm watches / hurricane watches may be posted at 11pm for east coast florida

wether it is 15 or 25 miles off the coast, that is MUCH to close to brush off in anyway

[meteorologyman]

Convection continues to blow
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-vis.html

[carversteve]

I know it's accuweather......but they have a cat 2 off the florida georgia coast...making landfall in SC!...The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products....

[carversteve]

Convection continues to blow
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-vis.html

Saw Ike in that visible..He is looking good..ok back to Hanna.

[CourierPR]

Just looked at the loop and it seem to be moving WNW well more like West with a jog to the north. But at less you can see her moving now and not sitting. You will see it swing back to the east again in the models. Maybe Tomorrow we should have a good fix on her. JMO

What evidence do you have for an east model swing? They have been swinging west.

[tolakram]

Hanna obliterated that shear axis, ... refrain from fighter reference ... It was fun finally being able to visit the board and reading the poof thoughts just a few hours ago.

[miamijaaz]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

[jdjaguar]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

you don't. you can't.

and that has always been the white elephant in the room.

[cpdaman]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

WoW

continues to at least sustain if not blossom thru 1240 imagery

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... &itype=vis

RECON almost there

that trough also is showing signs of not coming further south, meteorology man i await your

1pm score card check, though i would caution you to wait a little longer with the verdict

[Pebbles]

wow.. this is the little storm that could. Check out this wide atlantic water vapor loop (the whole situation is pretty amazing to me between the 4 storms). Pretty easy to see what's going on here.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html

[meteorologyman]

I know exactly what u mean cpdaman I was getting ready to write but my senses told me to wait just a moment and then tou comment me. let me tell you these last 4 hours have been exciting.

so much for our 24 hour shearing it turned out be like 6 hours

[gtalum]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

I'm not sure a small cat 1 running up the coast would develop a significant surge or require massive evacuations.

[gtsmith]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

WoW

continues to blossom thru 1232 imagery

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... &itype=vis

RECON almost there

that trough also is showing signs of not coming further south, meteorology man i await your

1pm score card check, though i would caution you to wait a little longer with the verdict

been interesting watching recons winds..they were pretty much north the whole flight and then as it got between long island and rum cay they are trending NE...

[CourierPR]

tropical storm watches / hurricane watches may be posted at 11pm for east coast florida

wether it is 15 or 25 miles off the coast, that is MUCH to close to brush off in anyway

Was this in the NHC discussion or is it your opinion?

[fci]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

I'm not sure a small cat 1 running up the coast would develop a significant surge or require massive evacuations.

That is presuming that she attains a Cat 1 status again.

[jdjaguar]

This run up the eastern seaboard better not pan out. How exactly do you evacuate all low-lying areas from Miami to SC?

I'm not sure a small cat 1 running up the coast would develop a significant surge or require massive evacuations.

That is presuming that she attains a Cat 1 status again.

and further presuming she stays at CAT 1 status.

NHC did say that Hannah was expected to restrengthen after the shear relaxed, and would continue to strenghten all the way until landfall.