TC Bertha

[HURAKAN]

Bermuda should really keep an eye on Bertha, especially after the recent adjust to the west of the track:

Previous:


Current:

[KWT]

Yeah Derek I heard someone say they weathered Fabian fairly well despite it being a much stronger hurricane then this one...at least for now anyway.
I suppose they must be used to close calls and a few hits.

[cycloneye]

Eye opening?

[Thunder44]

I don't see an eye opening, Luis. Latest Microwave imagery doesn't show a discernable eye either. It's few hours old, however:

[cycloneye]

You are right Thunder,that was cloud movement in the past frame.

[KWT]

It hasn't got a bad shape to it though, there is some SE shear now on it and you can see the shear swing round a little bit in direction if you watch the longer length loops.

[Thunder44]

Here's a new Microwave image:

[HURAKAN]

There may be some shear from the south but the LLC is under the convection. It looks decently organized.

[HURAKAN]

Not bad.

[HURAKAN]

Looking pretty nice now.

[HURAKAN]

In the image there is the hint of an eye although there is no eye visible yet.

[cycloneye]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 JUL 2008 Time : 111500 UTC
Lat : 23:42:11 N Lon : 56:48:39 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.4 / 995.4mb/ 53.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
3.2 3.2 3.2

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.2mb

Center Temp : -57.3C Cloud Region Temp : -54.1C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

[SkyDragon]

[mutley]

Definitely seems to revving back up.

[HURAKAN]

[KWT]

Oh yeah there does seem to be hints of an eye there right in the middle of the deep, that should be watched I think as it looks a little suspect!

[Thunder44]

I think we are just seeing thinner clouds over the eye, from the sunrise this morning.

[KWT]

Even if that is the case Thunder it still looks a lot better then it did 12hrs ago and the structure has recently started to look much better and more like it did when it was stronger, I wouldn't be surprised if some slow strengthening has started to occur.

[HURAKAN]

[tolakram]

Still not in great shape.