ATL: IKE Discussion

[rockyman]

New NHC 5 day forecast:

96 hours: 25.0n 85.0w
Max wind 90 kt...gusts 110 kt.

120 hours: 26.5n 87.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.


Previous 5 day forecast:

96 hours: 24.5n 84.0w
Max wind 90 kt...gusts 110 kt.

120 hours: 26.0n 86.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.

[southerngale]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Why does the NHC keep mentioning South Florida. This is clearly not a South Florida threat anymore:

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

Because South Florida is in the cone. Any forecast shifts to the right could put South Florida in trouble. You know this.

[Tom8]

I think Ike's got some plans to visit the Caribbean...

That ridge folks is following Ike and pushing even more WSW..

Maybe a Yucatan or Mexico landfall bypassing the US all together?

I think it will be wery dengerous for Cuba then it turn to Gulf and to Alabama and north Florida

[rockyman]

[DESTRUCTION5]

This is some kinda sick Joke for LA residents...

[Weatherfreak000]

The trend is definitely bringing this storm more West...im not gonna be very comfortable if the GFDL keeps shifting west as well.

[cpdaman]

may want to follow the conditions in the turks and caicos here, wind should be picking up soon (so long as ike keeps moving lol)

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78114.html

23 gusting to 32 - monster to there east or eeese

[sunnyday]

In regards to the question about why S Fl is still mentioned by the NHC, and the answer that a shift right in the forecast could cause trouble for the area, could someone please explain what changes could cause a shift to the right? Thank you.

[cycloneye]

Its moving WSW at 15 mph per 5 PM Advisory,I dont see the slowdown.

[Brent]

Gets VERY close to the Caribbean on that track. On the other hand it's also close to the Straits of Florida most of the time. Tough call.

[Patrick99]

Amazing, how we seem to keep "dodging the bullet" while the N Gulf seems to get more than its fair share.

[Weatherfreak000]

Gets VERY close to the Caribbean on that track. On the other hand it's also close to the Straits of Florida most of the time. Tough call.

Yeah definitely.

I'm inclined to believe it just may make it too...definitely bad news because then it would maintain itself.

[deltadog03]

I don't see much change in that track from 11am to 5p....That looks about the same just further out in time. GFS is actually a bit SW of that point (attm). I think thats a good overall spot right now. Euro goes WAAY west from there....GFS goes N then NNE from there.

[dhweather]

Amazing, how we seem to keep "dodging the bullet" while the N Gulf seems to get more than its fair share.

Northeast Florida and Georgia are in the nearly untouchable zone as well. Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle have been pummeled in the last decade.

[Praxus]

Unbelievable that N.O. could be evacing again so soon.

[KWT]

Indeed Ike does get very close to the Caribbean, indeed I'd guess it would be getting good inflow from the Caribbean if that track is right. IF it holds the westerly trackfor just a little longer it would make it out into the Caribbean on that track.

Interesting to note for the first the GFDL is to the north of the NHC offical track.

I see they are still expecting a major hurricane, much depends on how much it weakens over Cuba and also now...whether it gets in the Caribbean or not...

[TSmith274]

Alright yall... you got me! Joke's on me!! You can stop now. Seriously.

Hah... a major hurricane coming straight at us in Louisiana only days after Gustav! Haha... how gullible do you think we are? Now lets see the real forecast map.

[dhweather]

Alright yall... you got me! Joke's on me!! You can stop now. Seriously.

Hah... a major hurricane coming straight at us in Louisiana only days after Gustav! Haha... how gullible do you think we are? Now lets see the real forecast map.

Hugs n' Kisses


Love,

Rita

[tolakram]

[HURAKAN]