ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[dixiebreeze]

I'm stocking up on water, etc.. this afternoon. Just a hunch.

[poof121]

Those coordinates on the VDM have to be wrong. That's puts it right of the coast of the Yucatan.

[RL3AO]

[Smurfwicked]

Don't rely on The Weather Channel for tropical updates.Last hour the guy said it was still a tropical wave and was headed over the Yucatan.Must be reading the same info from yesterday

Yeah that Lyons guy, the "hurricane specialist"... I seen him say that too, maybe we need to email him the link to this forum so he can be more up to speed with whats really going on.

[RL3AO]

We will for sure have a TS Warning for the Caymen Islands (kinda late, the convection is right over them ). Wonder if we will have anything else.

[poof121]

Okay, Floater two on NHC's site has the lat/lons all messed up. Thanks.

[O Town]

Anyone got a cam link on the Caymans?

http://caymanchillin.com/caymanchillin-live.htm
http://www.caymanislandswebcams.com/

[ROCK]

Ed, there is plenty of heat potential in the GOM.....

I sure hope you dont have wear that THONG!!!!! You better start working out ED....AT least get down to 175lb......


http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

[canegrl04]

Don't rely on The Weather Channel for tropical updates.Last hour the guy said it was still a tropical wave and was headed over the Yucatan.Must be reading the same info from yesterday

Yeah that Lyons guy, the "hurricane specialist"... I seen him say that too, maybe we need to email him the link to this forum so he can be more up to speed with whats really going on.

This is a better place for tropical info than twc.How pathetic is twc?

[weatherguru18]

Don't rely on The Weather Channel for tropical updates.Last hour the guy said it was still a tropical wave and was headed over the Yucatan.Must be reading the same info from yesterday

Yeah that Lyons guy, the "hurricane specialist"... I seen him say that too, maybe we need to email him the link to this forum so he can be more up to speed with whats really going on.

This is a better place for tropical info than twc.How pathetic is twc?

Get it right...it's The Commercial Channel

[Sanibel]

Those coordinates on the VDM have to be wrong. That's puts it right of the coast of the Yucatan.

Totally agree. A hazard guess says somewhere near 16.7N - 83-84W (oops! No-brainer gaff edit)


Don't sweat it. The ULL distortion should yield and a center will show tonight.

Off for a bike ride in the hot sun and drenching humidity (feels tropical here).

[cpdaman]

I'm stocking up on water, etc.. this afternoon. Just a hunch.

but your in tampa bay right?

[sgastorm]

We will for sure have a TS Warning for the Caymen Islands (kinda late, the convection is right over them ). Wonder if we will have anything else.

I would not be surprised if sometime today they put up warnings for the Yucatan and western Cuba.

[deltadog03]

I am not a big fan of TWC anymore either, but don't knock Dr. Lyons. He is very smart and a very good tropics guy. He is just giving the latest looks from the model runs!

[weatherguru18]

Can we expect a big shift in the models being that the center has initialized further north than the models thought?

[Sanibel]

Edited last post: Meant 83-84W not 80-81W.

[jasons2k]

Looking at the visible loops I can pick out the LLC. It is near 18N 84W. It is southwest of most of the convection - almost exposed - but I can clearly pick it out.

[robbielyn]

TWC isn't allowed to deviate from the "official" forecast so their forecasts are ancient. I am sure they are just as aware of the recent changes but can't jump ahead of the nhc but we can. That is why we are here. I mean anyone with an interest in weather can clearly see the exposed but closed llc. I've been an avid weather ethusiast but I can't read wind charts or buoy reports or even some of the basics of weather. But I can read the play by play satellite images and all of the players in the field that will have an impact of a system. My point? We don't have to rely on twc or nhc we can rely on the conditions that are telling us minute by minute what is happening via satellite images and other less complicated factors. Throw st2k's expert mets and unofficial experts we can know what's going to happen before the nhc puts out their final word. NHC is the final authority yes but many times we know what they are going to say before they say it. Like right now. We see the llc we know the reports of the winds speeds it will get upgraded. Now I will admit I like a pro met to confirm what I figured out for myself as they obviously know a whole lot more about the weather than I do.

[CrazyC83]

Our beloved 94L is gone

No she's just not a little girl anymore. She's becoming a woman.

This dolly won't be one to mess with quite possibly!

[KatDaddy]

Yep you really see it spinning. This make me feel better since its not further N under the deep convection. If it was under the deep convection the models would move more N.