ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

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TexasSam
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6361 Postby TexasSam » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:01 am

Texashawk wrote:I just thought this was an interesting graphic...

Image

If Gustav makes landfall in LA, it'll be the first August hurricane in history to do so from the general position of where Gustav is now historically... almost always historically storms in this position make landfall in Texas or MX... not saying it can or can't happen in LA, just noticing that it would be a first...


It won't make land fall in August, Monday is September...
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6362 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:02 am

TexasSam wrote:
Texashawk wrote:I just thought this was an interesting graphic...

Image

If Gustav makes landfall in LA, it'll be the first August hurricane in history to do so from the general position of where Gustav is now historically... almost always historically storms in this position make landfall in Texas or MX... not saying it can or can't happen in LA, just noticing that it would be a first...


It won't make land fall in August, Monday is September...


A few of those were probably September landfall storms as well...
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6363 Postby Texashawk » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:03 am

TexasSam wrote:
Texashawk wrote:I just thought this was an interesting graphic...

Image

If Gustav makes landfall in LA, it'll be the first August hurricane in history to do so from the general position of where Gustav is now historically... almost always historically storms in this position make landfall in Texas or MX... not saying it can or can't happen in LA, just noticing that it would be a first...


It won't make land fall in August, Monday is September...


I think it refers to any hurricane whose genesis was in August. Could be wrong, though. Still interesting nonetheless.
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#6364 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:04 am

Anyway, it looks like Gustav is now a Cat 2. The pressure will be interesting to see if it dropped.

85 kt is my guess, since the SFMR was only 76 even though FL winds support 90.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6365 Postby Texashawk » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:09 am

New satellite view...
Image

Wow... Gus should fill the Gulf nicely in a day or two. I think almost everyone on the Gulf Coast is going to get *something* from Gus- waves, riptides, wind, etc.
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#6366 Postby bostonseminole » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:09 am

060100 1944N 08046W 6969 02861 9669 +147 +090 186008 008 014 005 00
Last edited by bostonseminole on Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#6367 Postby RL3AO » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:10 am

HURRICANE GUSTAV TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
210 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008


DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
GUSTAV CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 100
MPH...155 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES GUSTAV A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
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Re:

#6368 Postby Texashawk » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:11 am

bostonseminole wrote:060100 1944N 08046W 6969 02861 9669 +147 +090 186008 008 014 005 00


"And I'm free....
Free fallin'...."

:eek:
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AL Chili Pepper
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6369 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:11 am

how much longer on the satellite eclipse?
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#6370 Postby Just Joshing You » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:14 am

EDIT: Someone posted the same
Last edited by Just Joshing You on Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#6371 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:14 am

bout 30 mins
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6372 Postby cpdaman » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:15 am

its over about..........now 215am.....so 15 min we should have some new images on fast updating sites
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6373 Postby Solaris » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:18 am

Airport Grand Cayman metars past 3 hours
MWCR 300600Z 36025KT 9999 -RA BKN014CB OVC100 27/25 Q0994 NOSIG
MWCR 300500Z 36025KT 9999 LGTN BKN014CB OVC100 27/24 Q0995 NOSIG
MWCR 300400Z 02023KT 9999 RA BKN014 OVC100 27/26 Q0996 NOSIG

consistent with the reports from the other Cayman stations, sustained winds around 25 mph, gusts 50 mph, peak 63 mph
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#6374 Postby funster » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:21 am

Gustav has a weird horizontal eye.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6375 Postby cpdaman » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:21 am

Texashawk wrote:
TexasSam wrote:
Texashawk wrote:I just thought this was an interesting graphic...

Image

If Gustav makes landfall in LA, it'll be the first August hurricane in history to do so from the general position of where Gustav is now historically... almost always historically storms in this position make landfall in Texas or MX... not saying it can or can't happen in LA, just noticing that it would be a first...


It won't make land fall in August, Monday is September...


I think it refers to any hurricane whose genesis was in August. Could be wrong, though. Still interesting nonetheless.


lets run this for september , if you have it handy
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Re: Cat. 2 Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6376 Postby Evac3 » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:24 am

Why is the 2 am only saying 85 mph?
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Re: Cat. 2 Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6377 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:27 am

Evac3 wrote:Why is the 2 am only saying 85 mph?


Because the eye pass wasn't made until around 2:20am, and the winds in the northern eyewall were found around 2:06am...whereas the 2am advisory went out about 10 minutes before those winds were found. Regardless, they've issued the update product now so it's all good.
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#6378 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:27 am

eclipse over

Image
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Re: Cat. 2 Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6379 Postby Evac3 » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:29 am

So what is it REALLY now?
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Re: Cat. 2 Hurricane Gustav in NW Caribbean Sea

#6380 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:30 am

Evac3 wrote:So what is it REALLY now?


90kts, a Cat 2...969mb pressure.
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