ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[hurricanefloyd5]

Let's pray everyone gose to bed and wake up in the AM to NOT see a cat.2/3 Hurricane!!!!!!!!!!

[drezee]

I am curious to why they did not fly through the center? That 71 kts would be from the N quad not NE...

[KWT]

PTrackerLA, yep totally agree with you lets hope this system doesn't really strengthen in the next 12hrs because if the eyewall really wraps around and the eye clears out then we could well see another 10-20mb drop, hopefully not though because if we do see that we are looking at possibly cat-2 but either way this is looking odds on to come into Texas as at least a category 1 hurricane

[RL3AO]

Won't matter much in any place but the statistics, but will it be an Mexico hurricane or a Texas hurricane at landfall?

[JPmia]

seems to me the center is filling in with precip...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[PTrackerLA]

Won't matter much in any place but the statistics, but will it be an Mexico hurricane or a Texas hurricane at landfall?

Tough call but I'm thinking north of the border with this one. Ironic that a landfall just south of the border could be alot more damaging given the population centers.

[jhamps10]

Won't matter much in any place but the statistics, but will it be an Mexico hurricane or a Texas hurricane at landfall?

it's going to have to make it a hard hard hard left soon for it to be a mexico hurricane. the northern part of the CDO is just even with the border now.

[hurricanefloyd5]

I THINK IF THEY ARE LATE ISSUING AN adv. THEN SOMETHING BIG IS HAPPENING LIKE RIGHT NOW THEY MIGHT BE IN THE PROCESS TO BE UPGRADING dOLLY INTO A HURRICANE!!!!!!!!!

[KWT]

I'd guess right now its going to be a Texas hurricane but stil lcould go either way I suppose...

Also I'm noting that the 40-50kts surface estimates from recon are streching a fair way to the north of the center s othe windfield may have expanded a little bit.

[gatorcane]

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She seems even further Right of the current forecast point. I expect a slight shift right in the cone and track at 5 with an announcement that she has gotten much better organized and is a CAT 1 hurricane with a potential to become a mid CAT 2 before it is all done.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[raindrops68]

Let's pray everyone gose to bed and wake up in the AM to NOT see a cat.2/3 Hurricane!!!!!!!!!!

Im thinking not alot of people are going to be sleeping soundly or maybe even sleeping at all LOL. I know Ill be up late. Love watching hurricane's make landfall.

[Cat5x]

That ULL is still robbing the circulation from Dolly on her south side. If you look at the satellite loops you can see then the circulation goes around the west side, then wsw, it gets sucked south into the ULL instead of wrapping back around the south side to the ese etc...

pesky little ULL

[Ed Mahmoud]

Re: Mexico vs Texas-

If this doesn't bend back more West soon, this could be the first hurricane to hit Texas in over 10 months!

[Texashawk]

Judging from the BRO radar, it really, really seems unlikely at this point that landfall will be south of there. Actually, it seems to be heading (slowly) about 345 or so. Worrisome for Corpus, anyone?

[drezee]

From Vortex message!!!

Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 65KT (74.75MPH 120.4km/h)

[HurricaneHunter914]

Let's pray everyone gose to bed and wake up in the AM to NOT see a cat.2/3 Hurricane!!!!!!!!!!

Im thinking not alot of people are going to be sleeping soundly or maybe even sleeping at all LOL. I know Ill be up late. Love watching hurricane's make landfall.

I don't think she'll be making landfall till tomorrow morning, if she continues this NW movement. I usually wake up at 9:30 so I hope she won't make landfall before then.

[KWT]

Breaking news:

DOLLY, AL, L, , , , , 04, 2008, HU, O, 2008071306

[jhamps10]

ok so some directional points here on the system from the latest VDM and distances, note this is where GRlevel3 puts the city nametag.

Brownsville is 305* from the vdm site 157 miles away
Corpus is at 329* and 229 miles away
Kennedy county, the middle of the counties coastline 320* some 202 miles out.

from where I see it it is moving right now between 310 and 320 degrees, does anyone see different movement direction?

[RL3AO]

Breaking news:

DOLLY, AL, L, , , , , 04, 2008, HU, O, 2008071306

Not a surprise.

[KWT]

jhamps10, yep the interesting one is the Brownsville estimate, so we need 305 degrees for it to hit there and 157 miles away, so stil lget a little while left over water it seems, probably 15hrs or so I reckon.