ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6781 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:54 pm

jasons wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:I cant remember the member who always posts the radar images with where the center has gone on radar when a hurricane is approaching..would be nice to have that tonight


That was me, sorry I've been at work all day, and pretty busy too.


There you are! thanks!
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6782 Postby Texashawk » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:55 pm

jasons wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:I cant remember the member who always posts the radar images with where the center has gone on radar when a hurricane is approaching..would be nice to have that tonight


That was me, sorry I've been at work all day, and pretty busy too.


So perhaps I'm not crazy after all... I was beginning to wonder if I was the only idiot on the boards... :D
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#6783 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:56 pm

Dolly is really taking advantage of that weakness before it builds back in. Good news for Brownsville though.
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#6784 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:59 pm

Yep I totally agree Derek, I've been fearing a slight southerly adjustmenet, the N.eyewall of a strengthening cat-1/2 hurricane square into a pretty densely populated region could cause some real havoc, at least to the north that region shouldn't be hit quite as severely.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6785 Postby Cape Verde » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:00 pm

There's talk about putting a wind farm facility on either the King Ranch or the Kenedy Ranch, I forget which. Even though environmentalists claim to love renewable energy, they've successfully blocked it so far even though it's on private property.

It would have been interesting to see how much electricity the windmills would have generated from Dolly.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6786 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:00 pm

pressure is like clock work now....


17:06UTC
Minimum pressure: 990mb

18:45UTC
Minimum pressure: 988mb

20:20UTC
Minimum pressure: 986mb

22:00UTC
Minimum pressure: 984mb

23:36UTC
Minimum pressure: 982mb

at this rate tomorrow morning at 12z it will be 966mb
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6787 Postby Innotech » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:03 pm

My original prediction, when Dolly was just a frustrating 94L in the eastern Caribbean, was a borderline Cat 3 iinto Corpus Christi. Interesting to see how far off my prediction this will be. This has been a truly fascinating storm to track.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6788 Postby carversteve » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:04 pm

When is the next advisory? And what are the projected wind speeds..any guesses? Now that the MB's are dropping pretty steady.
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#6789 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:07 pm

I have to admit Dreeze its been strengthening about the same rate for a little while now, I see no reason why it can't keep on strengthening at that rate for at least the next few hours if not for a while longer
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#6790 Postby Yankeegirl » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:09 pm

Well i just stepped outside and the weather here is SOOOOOO nice! There is hardly any humidity and there is a nice breeze... It almost doesnt feel like a July evening in Houston... Almost wants to make me go play putt putt!!
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6791 Postby Chacor » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:10 pm

carversteve wrote:When is the next advisory? And what are the projected wind speeds..any guesses? Now that the MB's are dropping pretty steady.


Intermediate has just been issued. No change, 65 kt.
Last edited by Chacor on Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6792 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:10 pm

There is really no reason why it couldn't be strengthening right up to landfall. I really pray that people are taking Dolly seriously and be prepared!
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#6793 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:11 pm

TS force winds now reaching Brownsville.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6794 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:12 pm

To demonstrate how reading a radar image can take a keen eye, here's a 00Z radar with the NHC's 00Z position marked by crosshairs (24.9N/95.7W). Note that the eye isn't that giant opening, it's the small area on the southwest side of the large opening. That's what you need to track.

Image
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#6795 Postby paintplaye » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:12 pm

Looks like this thing has taken a north jog for the last couple of frames. Brownsville is looking better and better.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6796 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:15 pm

57,do you think that Corpus Christi will be more affected than Brownsville if the present movement continues?
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Re:

#6797 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:15 pm

paintplaye wrote:Looks like this thing has taken a north jog for the last couple of frames. Brownsville is looking better and better.


See my image above. From the current center, Brownsville is at 306 degrees. That's just about the current heading, a little less than that, actually.
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Re:

#6798 Postby wx247 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:16 pm

fact789 wrote:TS force winds now reaching Brownsville.


Highest winds I have seen are 30 mph. Where are they reporting this?
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Re: Re:

#6799 Postby paintplaye » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:16 pm

wxman57 wrote:
paintplaye wrote:Looks like this thing has taken a north jog for the last couple of frames. Brownsville is looking better and better.


See my image above. From the current center, Brownsville is at 306 degrees. That's just about the current heading, a little less than that, actually.



O ok.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#6800 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:57,do you think that Corpus Christi will be more affected than Brownsville if the present movement continues?


I see it moving right toward Brownsvile. See my post above about the actual eye position on radar. Heading since 18Z fix on last advisory 307 degrees. Heading to BRO 307 degrees.
Last edited by wxman57 on Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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