ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[DESTRUCTION5]

In the case of Miami-Dade, you could have classes but you would expose children to strong gusts and heavy rains found in the squalls that will be moving over the county tomorrow.

Yeah I can understand the reasoning for Miami-dade... What do you think about PBC schools on tuesday? Depending on the track it takes, the northern part of the county could be affected.

Im no pro or anything but unless track is shifted E id say school goes as scheduled...

[HURRICANELONNY]

I haven't been watching much of Fay. When I turn on the T.V. It's all FAY. Alittle over hype. What else do you expect from the news. As for my location in Hollywood FL. The way FAY is being sheared right now. Most of the rain and wind will come my way. It could change. In the world of the Tropics. I'm not doing really any prep. for this storm. The season is just beginning. More to come..

[KWT]

Does appear at the moment to be moving closer to the coast now and not parallel... at least from this loop... which is what it needs to do to remain on NHC track..

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

Yep starting to close in on Cuba, still only slightly more north than the coast though I think and still clearly WNW at the moment.

Convection still bursting away on that eastern side, once shear eases off somewhat when it gets north of Cuba I'd imagine we will see that convection develop over the center and possibly deepen the system quite neatly.

DESTRUCTION5, yep would have huge rains in that case and also possibly a slow moving hurricane, not great!

[MGC]

Fay appears right on NHC track per the satellite loop.....MGC

[HURAKAN]

In the case of Miami-Dade, you could have classes but you would expose children to strong gusts and heavy rains found in the squalls that will be moving over the county tomorrow.

Yeah I can understand the reasoning for Miami-dade... What do you think about PBC schools on tuesday? Depending on the track it takes, the northern part of the county could be affected.

Is always better safe than sorry.

[jlauderdal]

In the case of Miami-Dade, you could have classes but you would expose children to strong gusts and heavy rains found in the squalls that will be moving over the county tomorrow.

Yeah I can understand the reasoning for Miami-dade... What do you think about PBC schools on tuesday? Depending on the track it takes, the northern part of the county could be affected.

9 milion kids all texting each other with a group prayer, i just scared my daughter and her friends telling them its going to texas, biggest people I disagree with in the world live in sofla

[Myersgirl]

School is on tomorrow here in Fort Myers

[canegrl04]

Just heard on NBC news that the NHC is now saying Fay could become a cat 2 hurricane

[KWT]

Yeah I think its pretty close to the NHC track as well MGC, maybe a touch south but not by a lot really.

Convection now bursting just a short distance east of the center and the center is now totally under light convection, very interesting to see and suggests that relative shear is still lowering as it slows down.

[Sanibel]

Slow d-max happening. I think the 31* waters are slowly pushing back against the ULL shear which will become more and more favorable as Fay turns right.

Yes, MGC. Right down the line.

[HURAKAN]

A - B: 88 miles

C - D: 26 miles

It makes a difference.

[alienstorm]

Here is a better radar out of Cuba

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

[lbvbl]

In the case of Miami-Dade, you could have classes but you would expose children to strong gusts and heavy rains found in the squalls that will be moving over the county tomorrow.

Yeah I can understand the reasoning for Miami-dade... What do you think about PBC schools on tuesday? Depending on the track it takes, the northern part of the county could be affected.

9 milion kids all texting each other with a group prayer, i just scared my daughter and her friends telling them its going to texas, biggest people I disagree with in the world live in sofla

yeah you have no idea

[artist]

shocked to see that broward schools are closed. Palm Beach county schools are in session for tomorrow, but will have a meeting to discuss plans for tuesday. What do you guys think will happen with that. If they have broward schools closed it seems to me theres a good chance of PBC doing the same for tuesday.

I doubt it having lived here for 7 years. Not unless there is a dire threat - ie hurricane strength winds expected do they usually close schools.

[wxwonder12]

steve weagle on nbc 5 said watches or warnings could extend further up the east coast even though we are not in the cone anymore in pbc and close areas

[Steve]

>>Actually it was an out of season cold front which rarely dips as far south as that one did; I remember it like yesterday.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Charley

Shows what is described as a mid-tropospheric trough - which you can see across the eastern Panhandle and Big Bend (as noted, I said a boundary was there). If you watch the eye landfall on the satellite on the link, you can see how it almost gets pulled in and hooks as the circulation catches the land. Clearly the storm was going to move NE short of that trough washing out or whatever, but it did so further south than if it would have ridden up closer to the boundary (clearly seen in the still photo). You might be entirely right as the land interaction thing is a theory I have which will have to be tested again should a strong and deepening storm be moving close to the West Coast of Florida and catch a piece of land with the circulation. Again, not swearing by this, but that slight hook in is suspicious (to me anyway).

[HURAKAN]

[cpdaman]

as of latest ramdis i really can't see the spin/llc that i was following , anyone else

looking at radar i wouldn't be surprised if she tucked back in toward 80.0 west, the brite yellow echoes on the north side of LLC (on radar) coincide with the latest t-storm blow up over 80 west on ramdis

have a look

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

aric you see this right? is this a trend sliding toward deeper convection

[AdamFirst]

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

Call me wrong but I sware I see a northwest/north-northwest movement...

I wish we could change speeds on these loops

[Emmett_Brown]

Here is a better radar out of Cuba

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

Thanks for the link. Last few radar frames show the center starting to wrap up. Continuing to slowly organize.