ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[kurtpage]

74 knots at the surface found via dropsonde...check recon thread.

Eyewall drosponde:
Surface Winds (986mb) 74kts
979mb 85kts
960mb 86kts
953mb 92kts
949mb 85kts
925mb 88kts
850mb 65kts
700mb 63kts
MBL Wind 88kts

[drezee]

oh goodness this thing needs to get onshore now!!!!

[RL3AO]

Sounds like an update should be coming from the NHC soon.

[americanrebel]

74 knots at the surface found via dropsonde...check recon thread.

Eyewall drosponde:
Surface Winds (986mb) 74kts
979mb 85kts
960mb 86kts
953mb 92kts
949mb 85kts
925mb 88kts
850mb 65kts
700mb 63kts
MBL Wind 88kts

So if I understand this correctly we have a 88Kt Hurricane, which is about 100 MPH (correct?).

[cheezyWXguy]

74 knots at the surface found via dropsonde...check recon thread.

Eyewall drosponde:
Surface Winds (986mb) 74kts
979mb 85kts
960mb 86kts
953mb 92kts
949mb 85kts
925mb 88kts
850mb 65kts
700mb 63kts
MBL Wind 88kts

So if I understand this correctly we have a 88Kt Hurricane, which is about 100 MPH (correct?).

WHAT? where do you get that?

[ekal]

No. 88 knots is above the surface at 925mb. At the surface (986 mb), we have 74 knots.

[Pebbles]

new here...where do I click once I get to web site to see what your looking at?

On the left hand side.. you'll see where it say simulated radar. The boxes under there.
BTW.. this is very experimental... don't take it to heart. I only brought it up to perk up the late night discussion a bit as it tends to get quiet and the wierd landfall talk had come up.

Thanks, I am trying to learn since I am in the business of the aftermath of mother natures destruction!

Eh! Well then you probably don't want to be looking at that. It's such a weird solution that most would be floored here if something like that actually verified.

[Scorpion]

No. Surface winds are 74 kts.

[kurtpage]

Eyewall drosponde:
Surface Winds (986mb) 74kts
979mb 85kts
960mb 86kts
953mb 92kts
949mb 85kts
925mb 88kts
850mb 65kts
700mb 63kts
MBL Wind 88kts

So if I understand this correctly we have a 88Kt Hurricane, which is about 100 MPH (correct?).

WHAT? where do you get that?

000
UZNT13 KNHC 230530
XXAA 73057 99255 70959 08255 99986 26000 10574 00622 ///// /////
92566 23200 13588 85304 20205 13565 70967 11018 14063 88999 77999
31313 09608 80502
61616 AF304 1804A DOLLY OB 16
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2553N09598W 0506 MBL WND 11588 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 13071 986718 WL150 11082 075 =
XXBB 73058 99255 70959 08255 00986 26000 11850 20205 22705 14414
33696 08222
21212 00986 10574 11979 11585 22960 11586 33953 11592 44949 11585
55944 12095 66936 13098 77910 14076 88890 13577 99863 13564 11850
13565 22718 13553 33696 14066
31313 09608 80502
61616 AF304 1804A DOLLY OB 16
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2553N09598W 0506 MBL WND 11588 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 13071 986718 WL150 11082 075 =
;

Eyewall drosponde:
Surface Winds (986mb) 74kts
979mb 85kts
960mb 86kts
953mb 92kts
949mb 85kts
MBL Wind 88kts

[Pebbles]

No you want to look at the number next to where it says Surface Winds
your looking at numbers for winds that are way up in the air.

[americanrebel]

No. 88 knots is above the surface at 925mb. At the surface (986 mb), we have 74 knots.

Ok, no problem, still learning how to read all this things.

[HarlequinBoy]

It's going to be a rough day for the Brownsville metro.

[Pebbles]

Here's my dirty late night secret. A teeny tiny part of me almost wishes that 'weird' ride the coast solution would happen just to see Derek freak out.

But then I would immediately feel guilty for having wished such a thing on anyone.

Yeah, I feel kind of bad for Brownsville too. But maybe some of those desperately needing rain might get some relief. Have to try to find some sort of silver lining.

[Hurricaneman13]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 230541
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
100 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...RAINBANDS OF DOLLY CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...
140 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. SOME
FURTHER DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST
NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM BROWNSVILLE SUGGEST
THAT THE HURRICANE IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SOME
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH
THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...25.3 N...96.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[dhsgal]

Eh! Well then you probably don't want to be looking at that. It's such a weird solution that most would be floored here if something like that actually verified.[/quote]

it's ok...i drive a lifted maxed out jeep wrangler,,,,i don't like to stay between the lines....LOL
thanks again!

[HarlequinBoy]

It's very likely now that Cameron County, Texas and maybe Willacy County will have to endure the eyewall.

[zaqxsw75050]

Is it just me or the eye on the radar is getting smaller? Also, there is some green dot going around the eye. Could that be some little vortex inside the eyewall?

[wxmann_91]

Here's my dirty late night secret. A teeny tiny part of me almost wishes that 'weird' ride the coast solution would happen just to see Derek freak out.

But then I would immediately feel guilty for having wished such a thing on anyone.

Yeah, I feel kind of bad for Brownsville too. But maybe some of those desperately needing rain might get some relief. Have to try to find some sort of silver lining.

if this rides up the coast to Kenedy County, it would be a good thing b/c Kenedy County is very sparsely populated.

[RL3AO]

[Pebbles]

Is it just me or the eye on the radar is getting smaller? Also, there is some green dot going around the eye. Could that be some little vortex inside the eyewall?

Mind you I'm not a professional.. but my thoughts... yes, and mayyyybe yes. Could just be some scut too. Actually I would expect to see some eye contraction as the winds begin to catch up with the pressure.