ATL: IKE Discussion

[TexasF6]

nicer one

http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/GM/084.html

[rtd2]

So what is Ike's size say in relation to Ivan or Katrina?

actual CDO Simular to both but ivan and katrina were more stacked

[TexasF6]

He looks like he is "putting on some muscle" to quote someone earlier....check the dvorak out

[funster]

So what is Ike's size say in relation to Ivan or Katrina?

IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

With Katrina the hurricane force winds extended out 120 miles but if Ike keeps
growing he will probably reach or exceed that.

[rtd2]

He looks like he is "putting on some muscle" to quote someone earlier....check the dvorak out

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/bd-l.jpg

[KWT]

Pretty decent pressure drop according to recon, so still steadily dropping away I see despite not really packing much in the way of high winds...yet...

Inner core seems to be strengthening again as well which is probably why the pressure is going down again.

[artist]

Tornado hits Islamorada
By CITIZEN STAFF

Article Tools A tornado reportedly touched down in an Islamorada neighborhood at Mile Marker 74 just before 4 a.m. today, damaging homes, cars, boats and trees on several streets.

http://keysnews.com/

[Aristotle]

Sorry to all the doomcasters, but I just don't see IKE getting all that much strength together in time. I think he will struggle all the way into Texas.

He's already a Cat 2 and has hundreds of miles of hot water to pass over. What makes you say it won't hit major status again?

Insanity. The only thing keep this in check is the dry air and the erwc. Otherwise Poof!

[HurricaneFreak]

was wilma the biggest hurricane ever? i thought carla was

tip is the largest tropical cyclone, I know that for sure

No search wilma on the wikipedia u will see that wilma was biggest atlantic hurricane ever recorded on record...bigger than katrian or rita or carla but not Tip obviosly and they said wilma was most intense hurricane too..smallest eye recorded...but Ike is definitly not gona be a cat 5 katrina or wilma

[dwg71]

Why arent the winds matching the pressures?? I think pressures usually drop this time of day slightly. But, im seeing surface winds lately that are closer to 65KTs than 85KTS.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

Also seem to be great increases and then decreases in cloud top temps. Right now, they are warming again??

Dont know.

[Weatherfreak000]

So far Ike is big but not close to tips. We will see how big he gets.[/quote]

Why are you such a sensationalist matt? Tip was bigger then even the GOM! It's IMPOSSIBLE for Ike to get that big...there isn't even enough water to support it. I mean jesus there have been PLENTY of big GOM storms to compare here...certainly not the strongest hurricane...EVER. I'm just saying.


Anyway, Ike is still moving slower...more east and more north then projected. I wish the models would pick up on this movement...would make it a little easier to trust them.

Unlike ROCK...I don't trust the EURO. I respect how the EURO treats storms influenced by ridges...in which case the EURO will always be one of the best...I believe in more complicated high to low pressure environments the EURO fails. (Hanna being a definite example)

[RL3AO]

was wilma the biggest hurricane ever? i thought carla was

tip is the largest tropical cyclone, I know that for sure

No search wilma on the wikipedia u will see that wilma was biggest atlantic hurricane ever recorded on record...bigger than katrian or rita or carla but not Tip obviosly and they said wilma was most intense hurricane too..smallest eye recorded...but Ike is definitly not gona be a cat 5 katrina or wilma

I'm pretty sure Gilbert was larger than Wilma.

[CrazyC83]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 102108
XXAA 60217 99244 70860 08146 99954 27200 17563 00917 ///// /////
92278 26000 19563 85026 24011 20552 70711 12800 21539 88999 77999
31313 09608 82100
61616 AF303 2009A IKE1 OB 13
62626 EYEWALL 135 SPL 2447N08593W 2103 MBL WND 19064 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 20552 954724 WL150 18067 076 =
XXBB 60218 99244 70860 08146 00954 27200 11850 24011 22739 18200
33715 17600 44697 11800
21212 00954 17563 11946 18564 22938 18572 33931 19563 44904 20060
55882 20553 66850 20552 77697 21538
31313 09608 82100
61616 AF303 2009A IKE1 OB 13
62626 EYEWALL 135 SPL 2447N08593W 2103 MBL WND 19064 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 20552 954724 WL150 18067 076 =

Am I reading this right - 954mb with 63 kt winds? That would be 948mb at the surface.

[rtd2]

Why arent the winds matching the pressures?? I think pressures usually drop this time of day slightly. But, im seeing surface winds lately that are closer to 65KTs than 85KTS.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

Also seem to be great increases and then decreases in cloud top temps. Right now, they are warming again??

Dont know.

65k was in the SE wall wasnt it? give it time the winds will pick up to the MB drop

[soney]

Hurricane Watch from Cameron to Port Mansfield,Texas,Where is Port Mansfield located,North of Corpus Christi or south?

Port Mansfield is south of Corpus Christi, about halfway to Harlingen/Brownsville.

[Sanibel]

Pressure keeps dropping now more fast,from 958 mbs to 951 mbs in last pass.

Loop current translating to strength. Here comes Ike Texas.

[dwg71]

Sorry to all the doomcasters, but I just don't see IKE getting all that much strength together in time. I think he will struggle all the way into Texas.

He's already a Cat 2 and has hundreds of miles of hot water to pass over. What makes you say it won't hit major status again?

Insanity. The only thing keep this in check is the dry air and the erwc. Otherwise Poof!

Its a cat 2 in name, but recon doesnt show winds that strong in any recent passes.

[terrapintransit]

Wouldn't this big pressure drop trending indicate RI? It's just a question, not trying to start a war..

[baitism]

Why arent the winds matching the pressures??

Some of it probably the sheer size of the storm. You need lower pressures to generate the same amount of wind you would in a smaller storm.

[rtd2]

H. 952 mb
I. 10 C/ 3049 m
J. 16 C/ 3049 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E09/10/8
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 2009A IKE1 OB 12
MAX FL WIND 93 KT NE QUAD 18:33Z