ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

[Nexus]

Thank you for the .gif, very interesting.
The intense convection to the west of the storm while it was just north of the Cayman Islands seemingly played a major role in developing the perfect eye that came together just south of Cuba. The convection we are seeing now is eerily similar.

[KWT]

Yep Nexus the next 2-3hrs are key, if it can reorganise enough then when it gets over the loop current for about 6-9hrs its got prime time to deepen, should see RI occur during that period.

[carolina_73]

It's off to the races again. Looks like the NE is about to close off.

[rockyman]

hurricane warnings--cameron to al/fl borderf

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... ml#a_topad

[Skeetergirl]

[Nexus]

VDM 959 mb last pass, down 1. Fairly steady state the last few.

[TCmet]

small eye now clearing out. lets see if/how it stabilizes.

[Harry Cane]

What is this massive hysteria? The storm is still 48hours away and is probably going to hit as an average storm for the season.
I went around some news sites and it's like Armageddon is to descend on the US.
I understand ratings are important but to scare people like that is rather unprofessional.

[xironman]

Finally a closed wall kn the last VDM, still says that it is ragged though. Pretty obvious from radar and satellite that Gus has regained his eye, and maybe his core is ready for some strengthening again.

[Nexus]

They report closed wall, but ragged eye.

[HollynLA]

What is this massive hysteria? The storm is still 48hours away and is probably going to hit as an average storm for the season.
I went around some news sites and it's like Armageddon is to descend on the US.
I understand ratings are important but to scare people like that is rather unprofessional.

Wow........ all I can say is Wow!

[TCmet]

Last few frames also look like Gustav is trending toward annular... at least the southern half. However, maybe just an illusion of shear reducing southern outflow?

[bahamaswx]

What is this massive hysteria? The storm is still 48hours away and is probably going to hit as an average storm for the season.
I went around some news sites and it's like Armageddon is to descend on the US.
I understand ratings are important but to scare people like that is rather unprofessional.

No, it is 'probably' going to landfall as a major hurricane, and is forecast to landfall as a category 4, neither of which are 'average'.

[Hurricane Cheese]

What is this massive hysteria? The storm is still 48hours away and is probably going to hit as an average storm for the season.
I went around some news sites and it's like Armageddon is to descend on the US.
I understand ratings are important but to scare people like that is rather unprofessional.

Obviously you don't remember a little storm called "Katrina" ...if Gustav hits NOLA in it's current state, even weaker as a Cat 3, it will flood the city... BOTTOM LINE.

The levees haven't been rebuilt enough to withstand a major hurricane without at least some flooding of the city occurring.

[bahamaswx]

Last few frames also look like Gustav is trending toward annular... at least the southern half. However, maybe just an illusion of shear reducing southern outflow?

Wouldn't the tiny eye go against that hypothesis?

[TCmet]

Last few frames also look like Gustav is trending toward annular... at least the southern half. However, maybe just an illusion of shear reducing southern outflow?

Wouldn't the tiny eye go against that hypothesis?

I was referring to the lack of rainbands on the entire southern half of the storm. But you're right, annular hurricanes tend to have a larger than average eye size. So perhaps this is just a shear effect. Or perhaps the eye size will grow.

[Harry Cane]

You are missing my point.
Of course you need to be prepared and evacuate areas and people, BUT if you go around some of the news sites, most of the journalists are just talking rubbish, unecessarily scaring people with information which is not true.
Listen to CNN or other sites and tell me if they know what they are talking about.
There are experts in Miami, and that's where the information ought to come from or from this site becasue there are many people who know what they are talking about....
That's my point
Capisci?

[Jason_B]

Is it me or on this current motion this looks like a direct hit on NO?

[ColdFusion]

Well I tried to forget about this thing and get a good nights sleep, but I just couldnt. Good to see it dropped to a Cat 3 though. Lets hope it doesnt get any better.

[Cryomaniac]

You are missing my point.
Of course you need to be prepared and evacuate areas and people, BUT if you go around some of the news sites, most of the journalists are just talking rubbish, unecessarily scaring people with information which is not true.

Any examples?

I do kind of see your point though, Ray Nagin isn't helping matters with his public statements though.