ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Sanibel]

Thanks Tolakram. It's nice to know someone knows how to read the visible satellite.


Shade air temperature Sanibel 83*. Agitated breezes from SE. Hazy sun but overcast now. Obvious weather to SE.

[Jevo]

The storm cells just offshore Broward County are beginning to show signs of weak rotation. The current spinning cell will be moving towards the Central and North Broward County coast, heading towards Oakland Park, Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, and Pompano Beach.

- Jay

hey nexrad are you using GRL3? if so do you know where street files can be found?

[RL3AO]

1000mb extrapolated from the NOAA flight

[Sanibel]

Took some boxes of stuff up from garage floor (surge level). Still have 15 minutes of potted plants and furniture from front porch. Mostly done now except for evacuation stuff in car. No formal notice from town yet.

[tolakram]

Seems like the center you've put there ios a touch too far east according to the vortex message, probably why it loos like the center has relocated to the east but in fact the center is actually a little to the east of where you placed it, vortex showed 23.54N 81.30W.

That's quite possible. I stared at that loop far too long. In motion you can see the convection spiraling off NE of the center. The rapid image frequency really brings this storm alive visually.

[CrazyC83]

1000mb extrapolated from the NOAA flight

Catching up to the winds which I think are 55 kt. It might be a bit lower on the next pass.

[KWT]

Decent pressure drop now down to 1000mbs, does show Fay is slowly organising, still got to wonder if hurricane strength is possible, indeed whilst shear is still displacing the convection the LLC is pretty potent and with convection nearby it must slowly powering up.

[Noles2006]

1000mb extrapolated from the NOAA flight

Catching up to the winds which I think are 55 kt. It might be a bit lower on the next pass.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think that's how it works...

Winds catch up to pressure falls... but not the other way around....

[Jevo]

Downtown Duval Street (Key West) is starting to Flood.. only a matter of time before its on the sidewalks

http://www.liveduvalstreet.com/

[tolakram]

Key West winds shifting again. Goodness. Faulty readings or polluted by a current storm moving through?

[NEXRAD]

The storm cells just offshore Broward County are beginning to show signs of weak rotation. The current spinning cell will be moving towards the Central and North Broward County coast, heading towards Oakland Park, Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, and Pompano Beach.

- Jay

hey nexrad are you using GRL3? if so do you know where street files can be found?

I'm old-fashioned and used to use a worn atlas, but now use either google maps or my hurricane software suite, which has street-detail maps.

Jay

[KWT]

Also i agree the structure is looking far better now, its evolved somewhat since 12hrs ago with convection now totally wrapping around the center (at least at the mid-levels anyway) and this looks like it maybe allowing an inner core to start develop.

[Meso]

You are right with the winds catching up to the pressure drop, the pressure falls and then the winds follow.

[CrazyC83]

1000mb extrapolated from the NOAA flight

Catching up to the winds which I think are 55 kt. It might be a bit lower on the next pass.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think that's how it works...

Winds catch up to pressure falls... but not the other way around....

That is usually correct, but the previous estimates had 1002-1003mb with FL winds of 62 kt and SFMR of 59 kt, which are high for the intensity (typically a 55 kt storm has a pressure around 992-995).

[drudd1]

Osceola, Lake, and Seminole county schools in Central Florida have announced they will be closed tomorrow (Tuesday).

[Sanibel]

Forward speed on the move. Mid level trying to drag LLC more east.

[StJoe]

Downtown Duval Street (Key West) is starting to Flood.. only a matter of time before its on the sidewalks

http://www.liveduvalstreet.com/

You can check out Hogs Breath as well

http://hogsbreath.com/hogcam/

[cpdaman]

Key West winds shifting again. Goodness. Faulty readings or polluted by a current storm moving through?

just checked back on, what makes you think they are faulty seems it is going just east of there

[JonathanBelles]

Alachua
TS Wind Watch

Baker
TS Wind Watch

Bradford
TS Wind Watch

Brevard
TS Warning (south)
TS Watch (north)
NASA is closed

Broward
TS Warning
TS Wind Warning
Tornado Watch
FAU closing on Monday at noon
County Government offices at noon on Monday
Broward County libraries will be closed all day on Monday
Broward County parks will be close at noon on Monday
Animal Care shelters in Pompano and Fort Lauderdale will be closed on Monday
Broward County public schools will be closed on Monday
Hollywood Christian Academy will be closed on Monday


Charlotte
Hurricane Warning
Voluntary Evacuation

Citrus
None

Clay
TS Wind Watch

Collier
Hurricane Watch
TS Wind Warning
TS Warning
Tornado Watch
Voluntary Evacuation of those west and south of US 41
No School on Tuesday
All Government is closed

Columbia
TS Wind Watch

DeSoto
Hurricane Warning

Duval
TS Watch
TS Wind Watch

Flagler
TS Wind Watch
TS Watch

Gilchrist
TS Wind Watch

Glades
TS Wind Warning
Tornado Watch

Hamilton
TS Wind Watch

Hardee
Hurricane Wind Watch
No School Tuesday

Hendry
TS Wind Warning
Tornado Watch

Hernando
No School Tuesday

Highlands
---Hurricane Wind Watch
---No School Tuesday
---Sandbags available at the EOC, 6850 W. George Blvd, Sebring, Sheriff’s Tower Road Monday at noon (up to 25 bags)
---Shelters---
Will open Monday evening 8/18/08 at 1800 hours
Avon Park Recreation Center – 207 E. State Street, Avon Park
Woodlawn Elementary School in the cafeteria – 718 Fielder Blvd, Sebring
Lake Placid High School – 202 Green Dragon Drive, Lake Placid

Hillsborough
Hurricane Watch
No School Tuesday
Local State of Emergency

Indian River
TS Watch

Lake
TS Wind Watch
No School

Lee
Hurricane Warning

Manatee
Hurricane Warning

Marion
TS Wind Watch

Martin
TS Watch
No School

Miami-Dade
TS Warning
TS Wind Warning
Tornado Watch
Sandbags are available in the City of Homestead
11th Judicial Circuit of Florida will be closed on Monday
No School Monday
Tolls: Suspended on Turnpike Ext. NB, Homestead to Miami-Dade line

Monroe
Hurricane Watch
TS Warning
Tornado Watch
Local State of Emergency
Evacuation of all visitors
No School Monday or Tuesday
City and County offices closed Monday
Sheriffs office is closed Monday and Tuesday
---Shelters to open at 7pm---
Key West High School on Flagler Avenue in Key West
Sugarloaf School on Crane Boulevard, just off the bayside of the 19 mile marker of Highway U.S. One
Stanley Switlik Elementary School at 3400 Overseas Highway in Marathon
Coral Shores High School, mile marker 90 on Highway U.S. One in Islamorada
Key West Airport will close at 10am

Nassau
TS Watch
TS Wind Watch

Okeechobee
TS Wind Watch

Orange
TS Wind Watch

Osceola
TS Wind Watch
No School

Palm Beach
TS Warning
TS Wind Warning
Tornado Watch
FAU closing on Monday at noon

Pasco
none

Pinellas
Hurricane Watch
St. Petersburg College is closed on Monday
Sandbag information: http://www.pinellascounty.org/emergency/sandbags.htm
Eckerd College is closed
All school is closed Tuesday
Local State of Emergency
Mandatory evacuation of Level A areas at 6am
Shelters will open at 6am
Government will be closed Tuesday

Polk
Hurricane Wind Watch
---Special Needs Shelters open Monday--- (pre register at (863) 534-5600 )
* Haines City Adult Day Care Center – 751 Scenic Hwy,
* Haines CityLakeland Adult Day Care Center – 1200 Southern Ave., Lakeland
* Polk County Health Department (PCHD) Bartow Specialty Unit – 1255 Brice Blvd., Bartow
Sandbags will be available at
* Golfview – 2902 Hwy 60 East in Lake Wales
* Jan Phyl – 333 American Spirit Blvd in Winter Haven
* Providence – 8936 Hwy 98 N in north LakelandWillow Oak – 4210 Willis Road in Mulberry
*Maximum of 30 sanbags
No School Tuesday or Wednesday

Putnum
TS Wind Watch


Sarasota
Hurricane Warning
Local State of Emergency
Mandatory Level A Evacuation
Shelters will open after 5 p.m. Monday

Seminole
TS Wind Watch
No School

St. Johns
TS Wind Watch
TS Watch

St. Lucie
FAU closing on Monday at noon
TS Watch
No School

Suwannee
TS Wind Watch

Union
TS Wind Watch

Volusia
TS Wind Watch


Updated Watches/Warnings 8-18 12:50p
Closures/Evacs 8-18 3:30pm

I am watching too many counties, so these updates are going to take awhile

[KWT]

Region of lowest pressure a little further north and also east of the last one, I think the LLC is about to ready to tuck under the MLC again given that...we saw that happen yesterday as well when the shear eased off for the first time.