ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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CajunMama
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#9001 Postby CajunMama » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:06 pm

When you consider that it's for the safety of the children it's not a bad idea. If they wait until the morning to cancel you have 1000's of parents looking to find someone to watch their kids if the parent still is required to go to work. I know here that the daycares follow the public schools decision on weather days and may do the same thing in palm beach.

We've had flooding rains here and they let school off too late. We had to go pick up our kids at school that day and my kids were in a private school across town. I had to drive in water past my car door to get my kids.
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Evil Jeremy
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Re: Re:

#9002 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:06 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:Jim Cantori is the only person on TV who is talking about this eastward motion, and admitting that he does not know what is going on.


is he on location somewhere?


Naples. He is going to be on after the next commercial break I believe.
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Re:

#9003 Postby jhpigott » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:06 pm

Bgator wrote:Looking at radar, the little swirl that made it look like it was going east is not the center, the actual center looks to be where the NHC put it. Maybe...lol

Also, can a pro met comment on the radar not looking as good as earlier.


as tolakram just mentioned, KYW is reporting a north wind . . therefore the center is to the east of KYW which is east of the NHC line
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#9004 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:07 pm

Yeah Sanibel looks like the models have once again under-estimated the trough digging down just like so often, how many times do we see systems end up being slightly east of thier predicted landfall?
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#9005 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:07 pm

i have no idea where the center is anymore off that radar loop
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Re: Re:

#9006 Postby Shockwave » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:07 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:Jim Cantori is the only person on TV who is talking about this eastward motion, and admitting that he does not know what is going on.


is he on location somewhere?


He's in Naples, FL while Mike Sidell's was in KW and Abrams is somewhere on the east coast of FL.
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Re:

#9007 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:08 pm

RL3AO wrote:Just for some perspective, 21mb in two hours would be more (maybe the same) as what Wilma did at peak intensification. If this guy had any logic, he would know that 977 couldn't possibly be true.


EXACTLY!

Logic would dictate...but logic doesn't make ratings.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9008 Postby jinftl » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:08 pm

http://www.wfor.com is CBS4



GreenSky wrote:[quote=\\\"hurricanefloyd5\\\"]Greensky Do you have that live stream so I can hear reports from that area and one from fort meyers would be good too

just visit nbc6.net and cbs4.com

google searching for miami news stations would also help

local10.com might also be really good, since Max Mayfield works for them during hurricane weather coverage.[/quote]
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MiamiensisWx

#9009 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:10 pm

I think the NE turn indicated on radar is an illusion. The 12Z sounding from KMIA (Miami International Airport) indicates ridging remains in place at the low to mid levels, with westerly wind vectors aloft at the upper levels. Streamline analysis at H5-H85 does not support a long term NE turn as well. If you step back from the screen, you can clearly see that the center is nearly stationary on radar and has not displayed any significant NE movement.

Landfall near Naples, FL remains on track...
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:12 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9010 Postby D3m3NT3DVoRT3X » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:11 pm

ha! Bay News 9 talking about wobbles
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9011 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:11 pm

Why does this appear to be moving east? has the MLC been blown off the the east? We know Key West is still near the LLC, or a LLC.

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9012 Postby CourierPR » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:12 pm

Cryomaniac wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:False info gets put out for ratings.


If that could be proved, people need to be fired or maybe even charged, because it clearly could be dangerous.
If that could happen Fox News would be out of business.
On topic, note how Fay's circulation points northeast.
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Re:

#9013 Postby D3m3NT3DVoRT3X » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:12 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:I think the NE turn indicated on radar is an illusion. The 12Z sounding from KMIA (Miami International Airport indicates ridging remains in place at the low to mid levels, with westerly wind vectors aloft at the upper levels. Streamline analysis at H5-H85 does not support a long term NE turn as well. If you step back from the screen, you can clearly see that the center is nearly stationary on radar and has not displayed any significant NE movement.

Landfall near Naples, FL remains on track...



Maybe you can school these guys on Bay News 9 they are sayin going NE
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9014 Postby leaf blower » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:13 pm

Is there a new centre trying to form NW of the radar convection?

It would be right under the convection on this loop

Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9015 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:13 pm

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I think it is moving almost east-northeast right now. I believe it could hit the southern side of Florida and cross it back into the Atlantic. In which case it should turn more northward after 24 hours.
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MiamiensisWx

Re:

#9016 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:13 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:I think the NE turn indicated on radar is an illusion. The 12Z sounding from KMIA (Miami International Airport) indicates ridging remains in place at the low to mid levels, with westerly wind vectors aloft at the upper levels. Streamline analysis at H5-H85 does not support a long term NE turn as well. If you step back from the screen, you can clearly see that the center is nearly stationary on radar and has not displayed any significant NE movement.

Landfall near Naples, FL remains on track...

H5-H85:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm2.html

H7-H85:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm1.html

I think it's time to inject some logic amid the "NE turn" and "977 mb" talk...

I must be the "lone voice" stating that the prospects of a SW Florida landfall near Naples remain good.
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#9017 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:15 pm

Looks like it's trying to reorganize and looks as if the center may loop up under that band to the NNW to me.
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Re: Re:

#9018 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:16 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Just for some perspective, 21mb in two hours would be more (maybe the same) as what Wilma did at peak intensification. If this guy had any logic, he would know that 977 couldn't possibly be true.


EXACTLY!

Logic would dictate...but logic doesn't make ratings.

phil ferro on miami seven has been awful the last two days
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Re: Re:

#9019 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:17 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:I think it's time to inject some logic amid the "NE turn" and "977 mb" talk...


Logic went out the window a long time ago.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#9020 Postby cpdaman » Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:17 pm

Cryomaniac wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:False info gets put out for ratings.


If that could be proved, people need to be fired or maybe even charged, because it clearly could be dangerous.


some forms of media are considered "entertainment" and can say what they wish or lie , i remember this was fought for by fox news a few years back in court, and they won, but not sure how this translates into local news channels, but there might not be any liability there either
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