ATL: IKE Discussion

[BOPPA]

bocadude85 - How do you know this ???

"relax this most likely will not hit miami as a cat 4 or 5"
Quote from Bocadude85

[Stephanie]

relax this most likely will not hit miami as a cat 4 or 5

Do you have anything to back this up?

[jlauderdal]

If it maintains its current speed and ends up hitting SE Florida, looks like it would strike between 3 and 6 am as a category 4-5. Sounds familiar. This **** better recurve.

since you have it narrowed down to a 3 hour time period for landfall can you let me know if it will hit broward,dade or palm beach so i can prepare accordingly, thanks

No need to be a jerk. I'm just going by the map on weather underground. I'll post it in a second if you'd like.

thats ok, i know the website but thanks for your prediction

[wzrgirl1]

let's focus on the subject....no need to throw darts, I think some are a little tense with good reason of course

[Bocadude85]

bocadude85 - How do you know this ???

"relax this most likely will not hit miami as a cat 4 or 5"
Quote from Bocadude85

i said it was not likely not that it was impossible

[cycloneye]

BREAKING NEWS=BEST TRACK at 00:00 UTC upgrades the winds to 105 kts and pressure down to 956 mbs:

AL, 09, 2008090400, , BEST, 0, 218N, 533W, 105, 956, HU,

[Patrick99]

Yeah, I'm surprised that there seems to be such a lax consensus on this board as to it missing Florida. Seems premature to make that forecast, to say the least. Yeah, I suppose it could recurve east of Florida - wouldn't be the first time - but it could also recurve right over Florida.

[Trader Ron]

If it maintains its current speed and ends up hitting SE Florida, looks like it would strike between 3 and 6 am as a category 4-5. Sounds familiar. This **** better recurve.

since you have it narrowed down to a 3 hour time period for landfall can you let me know if it will hit broward,dade or palm beach so i can prepare accordingly, thanks

There's only been 3 Cat 5 landfalling Cyclones. I'll take those odds.

[RL3AO]

AL, 09, 2008090400, , BEST, 0, 218N, 533W, 105, 956, HU, 34, NEQ, 140, 100, 75, 120, 1008, 185, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, IKE, D,

105kt from ATCF. If organization continues, it will probably be higher at advisory time.

[jdjaguar]

Finally, a long tracker with a nice, clear eye. None of that interaction bizz. It's like having a clear night to view the pleiades. Was beginning to think Bertha was going to be my only one...

glad you are enjoying his rapid development.

some of us in harms way would rather it dissipate.

As it stands now...I may be looking at a CAT 4 for either my location, or more urgently, my mother who lives out on a barrier island.

I too get excited over theses Canes..weather is in my blood...but lets not forget the terrible toll they exact.

It is my sincerest hope that Ike spins up to CAT 5 to satisfy the watchers and fishes out...

I dont know where your location is, but considering there are barrier islands from the Keys to Cape Cod that could be anywhere. Trufully everyone from Bermuda to the GOM may be looking at a storm of any size (Ike in this case) to their location or that of their loved ones

I think the excitment on the boards you are seeing is in direct relation to the science and the intrest behind these phenominae... Nobody is by any means -removed- a major storm anywhere at this point. I think the discussion is focusing on comparasion of this storm to other history makers in the past.

fair enough.

mom is in vero beach. for the record.

[punkyg]

The eye is starting to clear out again!

Ike sure is turning into a donut.

so do you think Ike might run into hanna or is she lifting out and ike won't come in contact with her?

[Just Joshing You]

I bet this takes a serious run at Cat 5 by tomorrow.

[Aristotle]

Does anyone else not see this thing smack dead on into Hanna. It blows me away. I know the fujiwara effect exists but is bases of gravitational bodies. If one body is moving at Haul ass 10 west and the other body is moving at a skip north west Fujiwara can forget it. Ain't going to happen. Does anyone else not see this.

Ike gonna Bi-0tch slap Hanna, and get messed up in the process. Its like a 90 pound black belt fighting a 300 lb street guy. sure the black belt is gonna win. but it ain't gonna be pretty!

[jlauderdal]

Yeah, I'm surprised that there seems to be such a lax consensus on this board as to it missing Florida. Seems premature to make that forecast, to say the least. Yeah, I suppose it could recurve east of Florida - wouldn't be the first time - but it could also recurve right over Florida.

if it hits we know the three hour time period so at least that much is settled..

[CrazyC83]

At this rate, we might have a Cat 4 by the 11 pm advisory. My guess is 110 kt now with the rate of intensification.

[wzrgirl1]

hey he has a 1 in 8 chance of being right

[miamijaaz]

thats ok, i know the website but thanks for your prediction

It wasn't a prediction buddy. I see the weather underground map that shows a cat 4 in the central bahamas Monday at 2 pm. I'm a little concerned. Aren't you?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Hurricane Ike will now further pump an already
strengthening ridge to its north, and that strength
is indicated by the rate at which that ridge is steering
Hurricane Ike and now Tropical Storm Hanna. The synoptics
are very concerning right now. At this rate of intensification, this
may rival Isabel or Floyd in strength, or hit at least category 4 and
possibly category 5 for a period of time. The high forward
speed is an indicator of a strengthening ridge. East coasters
check your hurricane plans.
Paths: Cuba to Florida Keys to North Carolina) trackwise.
That ridge is STRONG, and I do not see a recurvature with this one.

This does remind me of Hurricane Isabel/Floyd (that is my current gut feeling on
track perhaps...)- Too early to tell, still could do a Frances...

[UpTheCreek]

Ike gonna Bi-0tch slap Hanna, and get messed up in the process. Its like a 90 pound black belt fighting a 300 lb street guy. sure the black belt is gonna win. but it ain't gonna be pretty!

[Ptarmigan]

Wow, Ike is now a major hurricane. Quite impressive! It would not surprise me if it becomes a Category 4 or 5 hurricane.