ATL: IKE Discussion

[O Town]

I dunno if this is temporary strengthening or not, but hes looking like hes about to get busy.

[crazycajuncane]

I work in New Iberia where they are expecting Tropical Storm Force winds tomorrow. The last I heard most businesses were closing, but we have been told to report to work as normal. I don't have a problem with that, but 40-50 mph winds could be affecting the area in the afternoon and I don't want to be stuck at work when I could be home!

I guess it's hard for them to call of work when we have people from Rockport and Galveston TX as well as Creole all riding the storm out in New Iberia.

[TSmith274]

I hope all of you doubting Ike's current strengthening and eyewall formation heard what Dr Steve Lyons just said. I posted it a few posts up.

[CronkPSU]

CNN basically just called this THE STORM and read the NHC low lying warning of death and then 20 foot surge and 50 foot rogue waves possible

[Sean in New Orleans]

I hate to hear about people not evacuating. It's concerning. The bigger concern with this system, right now, is storm surge and I really hope people have gotten out of the way of the surge. It's going to be much bigger than normal than what we would expect from a Cat. 2 or Cat. 3 due to the storms size. I hope that the Houston media is attempting to get this message to people in harms way.

[HouTXmetro]

Dolly, Gustav and Fay got WAY more coverage than Ike

[PTrackerLA]

One question I have to ask, where is all the rain? You would think by looking at IR that there would be alot of rain not far offshore.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php ... Z&loop=yes

Could this be a rather "dry" system?

[Rod Hagen]

I dunno if this is temporary strengthening or not, but hes looking like hes about to get busy.

He also continues to track to the south of the forecast path. ( http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html )

[Stormcenter]

I hope all of you doubting Ike's current strengthening and eyewall formation heard what Dr Steve Lyons just said. I posted it a few posts up.

Was it just his opinion or that of the NHC?

[Stormcenter]

I dunno if this is temporary strengthening or not, but hes looking like hes about to get busy.

He also continues to track to the south of the forecast path. ( http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html )

Yes he's missing his forecast points but it may be on only a wobble.

[sponger]

Western outflow has improved dramatically! Looks like Ike is going to make a run for Cat 3 tonight.

Here is Mexico beach this afternoon.

http://www.mrsurfs.com/surf_report.php

[TSmith274]

I hope all of you doubting Ike's current strengthening and eyewall formation heard what Dr Steve Lyons just said. I posted it a few posts up.

Was it just his opinion or that of the NHC?

He didn't specify the origin of his anaysis

[Portastorm]

I dunno if this is temporary strengthening or not, but hes looking like hes about to get busy.

He also continues to track to the south of the forecast path. ( http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html )

Yes he's missing his forecast points but it may be on only a wobble.

I saw that, too, but figured it was close enough to the NHC points that maybe I was just seeing things! But the track does look a bit south ... a bit.

[Rod Hagen]

[
Yes he's missing his forecast points but it may be on only a wobble.

When does a "wobble" become a "turn"? He's been to the south side of the forecast track for a couple of hours now.

Cheers

Rod

[green eyed girl]

it appears that this will be a storm surge problem. I think if it stays a 2, and can get in east of the bay Houston will be able to recover quickly. I actually think a direct hit on Galveston is better than on about 20 miles west.

Im in Pasadena, riding it out with my family. We are in well constructed home. Please keep us in your thoughts. I know I can be testy at times, but I have learned so much from all of you and value the time spent here. Its all in good fun.

Im scared, and Im a 36 year old man.


Darryl

All of you in Texas are in our prayers. We understand your fears and hope that you and your family stay safe.

[Sihara]

Don't mean for this to be insensitive or cruel. But maybe something good can come out of Ike if it gives people second thoughts about building or living on the coast. I cannot for the life of me understand why people take these kinds of risks when these kind of storms can cause such havoc. Maybe there is a silver lining of sorts if govts rethink their illogical building policies.

Ports will always require a coastal workforce. Those workers support numerous other industries which also require a local workforce. You will NEVER get rid of coastal communities, unless we find a way to teleport supplies from overseas and down the coast.

Now when it comes to people building huge second homes in vulnerable areas.... well, I have less understanding for that.

My sentiments exactly!

Re: Ike vs. Katrina - Ike seems to be a lot larger. And it doesn't have to be a 4 to do terrible damage. Thoughts and prayers go out to those who, for whatever reason, are staying in the path. The statement from the Houston NWS Office is frightening.

[Derek Ortt]

I hope all of you doubting Ike's current strengthening and eyewall formation heard what Dr Steve Lyons just said. I posted it a few posts up.

Was it just his opinion or that of the NHC?

please stop your denial... if you act in this manner, it may cost you your life. Take this storm seriously, stormcenter

[Txdivermom]

Dolly, Gustav and Fay got WAY more coverage than Ike

I totally disagree with this comment. There has been NOTHING at all on TV today on 13ABC, 11CBS, and 2NBC all day long. Additionally, 740 radio has had nothing else on either. Most radio stations have had MANY updates all day. CNN has played it often as well. If someone didn't watch TV and listened to their ipod all day, maybe they'd not know. But if you went out in public and talked to anyone, someone mentioned the storm.

[Raider Power]

I hope all of you doubting Ike's current strengthening and eyewall formation heard what Dr Steve Lyons just said. I posted it a few posts up.

Was it just his opinion or that of the NHC?

please stop your denial... if you act in this manner, it may cost you your life. Take this storm seriously, stormcenter

Plus, isn't Dr. Steve Lyons considered a very good authority on tropical weather. I have never found him to be outlandish in his comments. Very measured and informative.

[Weatherfreak000]

Ike most certainly is not south of the forecast points by a wide margin...WNW motion is definite. He appears to be right on track..for the first time ever i'd say.