Ex Invest 99L in Western Atlantic

[kpost]

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12

on this if you single step it, it seems that it is still from XXXL99 the front seems to be helping convection but what is there now never comes from the front and this loops comes up to about 15 minutes ago. and there seems to be a drier (not sure if that is the right description) barrier between the 2 areas. if i am not seeing this right i would like to know an explanation because i am trying to learn.
this one seems to show it too.
http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/satellite/satanim.cgi?res=4km&chnl=ir&domain=bah&size=large&period=720&incr=30&rr=900&satplat=goeseast&overlay=off

[tailgater]

Ex 99L looks like it's merging with the frontal boundry as of the latest Visible loop.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[Honeyko]

Y'all might check a current WV loop. 99L is gone. What you see ENE of the Bahamas are scattered thunderstorms associated with an upper-level low. That's all. No more 99L.

WV? That makes no sense -- you can't pick out surface-features on WV.

In any event, the LLC has developed is own convection again in recent hours. It's distorted now, but it's still there, and spin is still discernible on VIS loops:

[JonathanBelles]

Y'all might check a current WV loop. 99L is gone. What you see ENE of the Bahamas are scattered thunderstorms associated with an upper-level low. That's all. No more 99L.

WV? That makes no sense -- you can't pick out surface-features on WV.

In any event, the LLC has developed is own convection again in recent hours. It's distorted now, but it's still there, and spin is still discernible on VIS loops:

image omitted

hmmm

[Honeyko]

1715Z....a vigorous mid-level circulation has developed just to the east of the enlongated, frontal-ensnared low-level circulation. Most of the southerly inflow formerly associated with the LLC is now feeding the MLC, so it is reasonable to assume at this point that the LLC will die while the MLC persists (and perhaps forms a new LLC).

[Honeyko]

The mid-level circulation is developing surface features and drawing in the remnants of the nearby old LLC. It has a small anti-cyclone aloft relative to direction of movement.

0804 1930Z: 22N/62W. WNW heading.
0805 0845Z: 22.5N/66W. W/WNW heading continues.
0805 1705Z: 23N/68W...WNW
0806 0645Z: 23N/72W. due W heading.
0806 1645Z: 24.5N/74W...movement NW.
0806 2045Z: 24.75N/74.75W...movement WNW
0807 0415Z: 25/75W...drifting WNW.
0807 0815Z: 25.25N/76.75W...movement W.
0807 1515Z: 25.5N/77W...almost stationary.
0807 1815Z: 25.5N/77W...stationary.
0808 1000Z: 26N/76W...moving NE.

0808 1815Z: 27.5N/73W...moving NE.

[JonathanBelles]

Request for this thread to be locked. 99 has been long gone.

[SouthFloridawx]

But it is Titled:

"EX Invest 99L in Western Atlantic"

This would be an appropriate title for this thread. Thus meeting the requirements of your request... Plus this thread is too much fun to be locked.

[SouthFloridawx]

Perhaps you could rename the thread, "Ex remnants, of the remnants, of the remnants of Ex-99L and now a mid-level circulation Near the Bahamas."

[Honeyko]

Weak, sheared tropical entities frequently possess or develop decoupled low- and mid-level circulation centers within a degree or two of each other. They are not treated as disparate systems with other tropical invests, and I see no reason why this one should be considered differently. So, request denied (...not that I could anyway, however, as I didn't create the thread).

==//==

The MLC has now burrowed down the surface, and developed banding in recent frames.

[Category 5]

Request for this thread to be locked. 99 has been long gone.

I agree, it's not funny anymore.

[cycloneye]

Is a matter of not replying anymore to the thread and it will go down like a rock down the pages.

[Honeyko]

[funster]

There's something out there getting sheared.

[Mecklenburg]

Is a matter of not replying anymore to the thread and it will go down like a rock down the pages.

same here...

[Category 5]

If this develops I'll wear the S2K crow avatar until Gustav forms.

[Mecklenburg]

Request for this thread to be locked. 99 has been long gone.

I agree, it's not funny anymore.

fact789's suggestions can't be more appropriate... ... this thing is in hurricane heaven now...

[cycloneye]

And with that its over folks!.

[Honeyko]

Old thread. (Were the sat loops looked at before locking that thread? There was no reason to do that....if some people are not interested in tracking spinners across the ocean in a thread they could choose not to read if they didn't want to, why are they here in the first place? "Talkin' Tropics" is just that, ain't it?)

ex-99L has had to travel three-quarters of the way around the ocean to do it, but it's obviously a strengthening storm now with rapidly-developing banding and a tight circulation which is wrapping cold-top CBs around the center:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html

0804 1930Z: 22N/62W. WNW heading.
0805 0845Z: 22.5N/66W. W/WNW heading continues.
0805 1705Z: 23N/68W...WNW
0806 0645Z: 23N/72W. due W heading.
0806 1645Z: 24.5N/74W...movement NW.
0806 2045Z: 24.75N/74.75W...movement WNW
0807 0415Z: 25/75W...drifting WNW.
0807 0815Z: 25.25N/76.75W...movement W.
0807 1515Z: 25.5N/77W...almost stationary.
0807 1815Z: 25.5N/77W...stationary.
0808 1000Z: 26N/76W...moving NE.
0808 1815Z: 27.5N/73W...moving NE.

0808 2245Z: 28N/72W...moving NE.

[cpdaman]

i see dead people/...ehh rotations "goes" link won't work but shows up better there with decent convection.

and my gosh look at that digging trough for august (4 standard deviations) above normal

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html

honeyko what are your latest thoughts now that we are once again free at last to speaketh about this abomination.