Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139083
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#81 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:04 pm

Plane at operational altitud.
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#82 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:11 pm

1000.9 mb extrapolated.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31390
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#83 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:15 pm

Yep lower then this morning but flight level winds no higher then they were some hours ago to be honest yet...
0 likes   
Top
kurtpage
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 228
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:16 pm
Location: Texas

Re:

#84 Postby kurtpage » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:21 pm

KWT wrote:Yep lower then this morning but flight level winds no higher then they were some hours ago to be honest yet...



171130 2801N 09106W 8456 01511 0077 +142 +142 315026 030 056 022 00
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#85 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:25 pm

Flight level winds are mostly in the 30's ....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31390
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#86 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:27 pm

Yep dwg71 pressure is down a little bit but thus far winds haven't responded at all.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5534
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re:

#87 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:29 pm

KWT wrote:Yep dwg71 pressure is down a little bit but thus far winds haven't responded at all.

Yeah its usually hard when the area lacks convection. Its improving, but it still has a bit to go. Once convection really picks up and surrounds the center, I expect winds to begin increasing and pressure to start decreasing at a decent rate.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#88 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:29 pm

Latest dropsonde suggests a pressure of 1000mb (1001 splashed into 12 kt winds).
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#89 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:31 pm

Overall, a slow deepening trend is definitely occurring as expected.
0 likes   
Top
kurtpage
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 228
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:16 pm
Location: Texas

Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#90 Postby kurtpage » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:31 pm

172530 2729N 09142W 8413 01593 0130 +129 +129 316027 032 042 021 00
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#91 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:33 pm

those SFMR winds are likely bogus.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31390
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#92 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:36 pm

Agreed the system is deepening at a slow pace according to recon but the winds don't seem to have really responded from the looks of thing at the moment.
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#93 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:39 pm

I believe they leave it at 40Kts for now...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

Re:

#94 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:42 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:those SFMR winds are likely bogus.


Why?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#95 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 2:02 pm

I'd say that those winds were not bogus now. Plenty of Surface Obs to show that those winds could be accurate. I was wondering why you thought they were bogus?

You would know more about it than I would, and I'd like to know what to look for with recon data and how you can tell if it's questionable.
0 likes   
Top
kurtpage
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 228
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:16 pm
Location: Texas

Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#96 Postby kurtpage » Mon Aug 04, 2008 2:25 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:I'd say that those winds were not bogus now. Plenty of Surface Obs to show that those winds could be accurate. I was wondering why you thought they were bogus?

You would know more about it than I would, and I'd like to know what to look for with recon data and how you can tell if it's questionable.



I asked the same question....It is because of Rain Contamination
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#97 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 2:26 pm

kurtpage wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:I'd say that those winds were not bogus now. Plenty of Surface Obs to show that those winds could be accurate. I was wondering why you thought they were bogus?
You would know more about it than I would, and I'd like to know what to look for with recon data and how you can tell if it's questionable.

I asked the same question....It is because of Rain Contamination


Ahhh... Thank you :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139083
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#98 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2008 4:25 pm

RADAR INDICATES CIRCULAR BANDING CONSISTENT WITH FIX ON EAST SIDE, 25 PERCENT COMPLETE.

Very interesting remark from the Vortex Message.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#99 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 04, 2008 4:26 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#100 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 4:33 pm

Pressure now down to 998mb (999/11 kt), but still only supporting 40 kt.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 123 guests