URPA14 PGUA 151802
AF305 0115W TCSWAVE HDOB 09 20080815
175300 1407N 14755E 3442 08681 0456 -227 -227 042008 009 024 003 00
175330 1405N 14757E 3443 08686 0456 -228 -243 115004 006 021 002 00
175400 1405N 14800E 3441 08685 0458 -230 -246 103008 009 023 001 00
175430 1404N 14802E 3404 08776 0466 -236 -247 072011 012 025 000 00
175500 1403N 14805E 3428 08720 0463 -231 -245 065013 015 026 001 00
175530 1402N 14807E 3452 08672 0460 -229 -236 060014 014 020 002 03
175600 1400N 14808E 3496 08569 0453 -222 -226 051014 014 023 001 03
175630 1358N 14810E 3548 08462 0444 -216 -220 047014 016 999 999 03
175700 1355N 14810E 3629 08298 0431 -204 -210 039015 016 999 999 03
175730 1352N 14808E 3717 08115 0420 -193 -193 030017 018 999 999 03
175800 1350N 14807E 3823 07889 0391 -180 -180 032016 018 999 999 03
175830 1350N 14804E 3979 07587 0366 -163 -166 019011 012 026 001 03
175900 1350N 14801E 3996 07556 0364 -155 -173 009012 012 024 002 00
175930 1350N 14758E 4037 07478 0359 -153 -175 358007 010 025 002 00
180000 1350N 14755E 4137 07293 0346 -147 -186 329010 011 025 002 00
180030 1349N 14753E 4241 07103 0334 -130 -181 343008 010 025 001 00
180100 1349N 14750E 4344 06920 0323 -116 -142 353009 013 024 001 00
180130 1349N 14747E 4442 06744 0310 -109 -130 353014 017 024 001 00
180200 1349N 14745E 4466 06704 0307 -107 -118 005015 017 021 003 00
180230 1349N 14743E 4467 06706 0310 -109 -135 010007 009 022 002 00
$$
I'm not going to keep track, but that is interesting. It is in the WPAC and the link is http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ur ... .pgua..txt
WPAC: TY Nuri (0812/13W) E of Philippines
Moderator: S2k Moderators
There's something really nice building up there. WPac recon isn't dead, it's just not very common. There were JTWC flights into Linfa and Chan-hom in 2003... and this looks like a flight into this (maybe because this disturbance is threatening Guam). PGUA isn't NWS Guam though, PGUA is Andersen.
Last edited by Chacor on Fri Aug 15, 2008 8:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.8N 146.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH WIDESPREAD, FLARING DEEP CONVECTION AND WEAK CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION. A 160012Z METOP-A IMAGE INDICATES WEAK CONVECTIVE
BANDING WITH DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. A PARTIAL
160014Z ASCAT IMAGE HINTS AT A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR GUAM
WITH 10-15 KNOT WINDS. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM GUAM INDICATE
LIGHT WINDS AND THE GUAM RADAR DOES NOT INDICATE A DEFINED LLCC AT
THIS POINT AND SHOWS SHOWERS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL WITH
DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW SOUTHWEST OF AN ANTICYCLONE AND MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH WIDESPREAD, FLARING DEEP CONVECTION AND WEAK CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION. A 160012Z METOP-A IMAGE INDICATES WEAK CONVECTIVE
BANDING WITH DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. A PARTIAL
160014Z ASCAT IMAGE HINTS AT A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR GUAM
WITH 10-15 KNOT WINDS. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM GUAM INDICATE
LIGHT WINDS AND THE GUAM RADAR DOES NOT INDICATE A DEFINED LLCC AT
THIS POINT AND SHOWS SHOWERS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL WITH
DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW SOUTHWEST OF AN ANTICYCLONE AND MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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Typhoon Hunter
- WesternPacificWeather.com
- Posts: 1215
- Age: 40
- Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
- Location: Hong Kong
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: Invest 92W
Chacor wrote:Now TD13W. Andersen flew the disturbance again today.
Yep and they'll continue to fly missions into storms for the next couple of months which is fantastic. It's all part of Tropical Storm Structure 08 research project in which the Hurricane Hunters as flying recon out of Guam.
For more info visit this blog here - http://www.wunderground.com/blog/LRandyB/archive.html?tstamp=200807
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JTWC forecasting 110 kt at 120hours off Taiwan.
WTPN32 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 15.7N 138.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 138.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 16.8N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 17.7N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 18.1N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 18.5N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 19.4N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 20.9N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 22.8N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 138.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-NORTH-
WEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS. THE 17/00Z POSITION WAS RELOCATED ABOUT 65 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION BASED ON IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION AND
A BETTER DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN
RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. CONSEQUENTLY, THE TRACK ALSO SHIFTS WEST
DUE TO THE RELOCATION AS WELL AS A SHIFT IN THE AVAILABLE MODELS TO
A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH TAU 72. ADDITIONALLY, THE INTENSITY
FORECAST REFLECTS A 15 TO 25 KNOT INCREASE IN VALUES AT THE EXTENDED
TAUS DUE TO VERY FAVORABLE SST, AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z,
180300Z AND 180900Z.//
NNNN
WTPN32 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 15.7N 138.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 138.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 16.8N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 17.7N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 18.1N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 18.5N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 19.4N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 20.9N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 22.8N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 138.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-NORTH-
WEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS. THE 17/00Z POSITION WAS RELOCATED ABOUT 65 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION BASED ON IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION AND
A BETTER DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN
RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. CONSEQUENTLY, THE TRACK ALSO SHIFTS WEST
DUE TO THE RELOCATION AS WELL AS A SHIFT IN THE AVAILABLE MODELS TO
A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH TAU 72. ADDITIONALLY, THE INTENSITY
FORECAST REFLECTS A 15 TO 25 KNOT INCREASE IN VALUES AT THE EXTENDED
TAUS DUE TO VERY FAVORABLE SST, AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z,
180300Z AND 180900Z.//
NNNN
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alan1961
- Category 2
- Posts: 767
- Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2006 11:58 am
- Location: Derby, Derbyshire, England
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: Invest 92W
This is looking like a biggie..plenty of ocean in front of it if it gets going..NRL likes it this far out..Nuri the next name on the list.
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Recon thread : WPac : Typhoon NURI (0812/13W)
There's recon on WPac system Tropical Storm 13W thanks to a Tropical Cyclone Structure research project. HDOBs are under URPA14 PGUA.
URPA14 PGUA 180045
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 32 20080818
003600 1557N 13759E 4853 06156 0365 -070 -085 152028 030 021 001 00
003630 1556N 13801E 4855 06157 0365 -069 -087 158028 029 023 000 00
003700 1555N 13803E 4855 06157 0365 -069 -090 156028 029 024 000 00
003730 1555N 13805E 4855 06153 0364 -072 -088 158028 029 022 000 00
003800 1553N 13808E 4853 06155 0365 -073 -084 153026 028 023 000 00
003830 1553N 13810E 4855 06160 0366 -072 -083 153025 026 024 000 00
003900 1552N 13812E 4855 06160 0366 -072 -084 155026 028 024 000 00
003930 1551N 13814E 4853 06153 0364 -070 -086 156027 029 022 000 00
004000 1550N 13816E 4854 06153 0365 -067 -091 153023 024 021 001 00
004030 1549N 13819E 4854 06159 0365 -068 -088 154023 024 021 000 00
004100 1549N 13820E 4855 06153 0366 -070 -085 156023 024 021 000 00
004130 1548N 13823E 4855 06155 0365 -067 -089 153022 024 021 000 00
004200 1547N 13825E 4853 06156 0366 -068 -091 148025 026 021 000 00
004230 1546N 13827E 4854 06159 0365 -070 -089 142023 023 020 000 00
004300 1546N 13829E 4853 06156 0366 -070 -099 147025 027 022 000 00
004330 1544N 13832E 4854 06155 0366 -070 -104 150027 028 020 000 00
004400 1544N 13834E 4855 06157 0365 -069 -101 151025 026 023 000 00
004430 1543N 13836E 4853 06156 0367 -070 -093 152025 026 021 001 00
004500 1542N 13838E 4853 06157 0367 -070 -098 146024 025 022 000 00
004530 1541N 13840E 4853 06155 0367 -070 -108 139022 023 022 000 00
$$
URPA14 PGUA 180045
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 32 20080818
003600 1557N 13759E 4853 06156 0365 -070 -085 152028 030 021 001 00
003630 1556N 13801E 4855 06157 0365 -069 -087 158028 029 023 000 00
003700 1555N 13803E 4855 06157 0365 -069 -090 156028 029 024 000 00
003730 1555N 13805E 4855 06153 0364 -072 -088 158028 029 022 000 00
003800 1553N 13808E 4853 06155 0365 -073 -084 153026 028 023 000 00
003830 1553N 13810E 4855 06160 0366 -072 -083 153025 026 024 000 00
003900 1552N 13812E 4855 06160 0366 -072 -084 155026 028 024 000 00
003930 1551N 13814E 4853 06153 0364 -070 -086 156027 029 022 000 00
004000 1550N 13816E 4854 06153 0365 -067 -091 153023 024 021 001 00
004030 1549N 13819E 4854 06159 0365 -068 -088 154023 024 021 000 00
004100 1549N 13820E 4855 06153 0366 -070 -085 156023 024 021 000 00
004130 1548N 13823E 4855 06155 0365 -067 -089 153022 024 021 000 00
004200 1547N 13825E 4853 06156 0366 -068 -091 148025 026 021 000 00
004230 1546N 13827E 4854 06159 0365 -070 -089 142023 023 020 000 00
004300 1546N 13829E 4853 06156 0366 -070 -099 147025 027 022 000 00
004330 1544N 13832E 4854 06155 0366 -070 -104 150027 028 020 000 00
004400 1544N 13834E 4855 06157 0365 -069 -101 151025 026 023 000 00
004430 1543N 13836E 4853 06156 0367 -070 -093 152025 026 021 001 00
004500 1542N 13838E 4853 06157 0367 -070 -098 146024 025 022 000 00
004530 1541N 13840E 4853 06155 0367 -070 -108 139022 023 022 000 00
$$
Last edited by Chacor on Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:50 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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This VDM is about 2 hours old:
URPA12 PGUA 172300
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 17/22:33:10Z
B. 15 deg 46 min N
133 deg 37 min E
C. 700 mb 3046 m
D. 45 kt
E. 072 deg 51 nm
F. 180 deg 45 kt
G. 090 deg 50 nm
H. 994 mb
I. 14 C / 3048 m
J. 10 C / 3044 m
K. 5 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 0613W CYCLONE OB 09
MAX FL WIND 45 KT E QUAD 22:15:20Z
FC CNTR 257/07NM FROM FL CNTR
MAX SFC WND 45KT 072/51NM FROM FL CENTER
URPA12 PGUA 172300
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 17/22:33:10Z
B. 15 deg 46 min N
133 deg 37 min E
C. 700 mb 3046 m
D. 45 kt
E. 072 deg 51 nm
F. 180 deg 45 kt
G. 090 deg 50 nm
H. 994 mb
I. 14 C / 3048 m
J. 10 C / 3044 m
K. 5 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 0613W CYCLONE OB 09
MAX FL WIND 45 KT E QUAD 22:15:20Z
FC CNTR 257/07NM FROM FL CNTR
MAX SFC WND 45KT 072/51NM FROM FL CENTER
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WTPQ20 RJTD 180000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0812 NURI (0812) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180000UTC 15.8N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
24HF 190000UTC 18.0N 127.9E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200000UTC 19.5N 124.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 210000UTC 20.8N 122.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0812 NURI (0812) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180000UTC 15.8N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 130NM
FORECAST
24HF 190000UTC 18.0N 127.9E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200000UTC 19.5N 124.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 210000UTC 20.8N 122.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =
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URPA14 PGUA 180055
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 33 20080818
004600 1540N 13843E 4855 06160 0366 -070 -116 142021 022 023 000 00
004630 1540N 13844E 4853 06160 0366 -069 -131 148023 024 022 000 00
004700 1539N 13847E 4855 06158 0366 -067 -131 142022 022 022 000 00
004730 1538N 13849E 4853 06151 0366 -070 -127 138022 023 020 000 00
004800 1538N 13851E 4853 06157 0366 -070 -122 138021 022 022 000 00
004830 1537N 13853E 4853 06161 0366 -068 -120 139021 021 023 000 00
004900 1537N 13856E 4853 06159 0366 -070 -124 136022 023 023 000 00
004930 1536N 13858E 4854 06158 0365 -066 -118 138022 022 023 000 00
005000 1535N 13901E 4853 06155 0366 -068 -116 138022 022 021 000 00
005030 1535N 13903E 4853 06157 0367 -067 -119 138022 022 024 000 00
005100 1534N 13905E 4855 06157 0368 -065 -124 137023 023 023 000 00
005130 1534N 13907E 4855 06158 0369 -065 -133 135023 023 027 001 00
005200 1533N 13910E 4853 06162 0368 -065 -126 135022 023 028 002 00
005230 1532N 13912E 4853 06163 0368 -067 -129 139021 021 023 001 00
005300 1532N 13914E 4853 06158 0368 -066 -133 134023 024 019 001 00
005330 1531N 13916E 4854 06164 0368 -064 -137 130022 023 021 000 00
005400 1531N 13919E 4855 06151 0368 -063 -137 137022 022 025 004 00
005430 1530N 13921E 4852 06164 0369 -068 -134 138021 021 029 005 03
005500 1529N 13923E 4857 06151 0366 -067 -136 138018 019 023 001 03
005530 1528N 13925E 4853 06159 0367 -065 -130 138018 018 020 000 00
$$
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 33 20080818
004600 1540N 13843E 4855 06160 0366 -070 -116 142021 022 023 000 00
004630 1540N 13844E 4853 06160 0366 -069 -131 148023 024 022 000 00
004700 1539N 13847E 4855 06158 0366 -067 -131 142022 022 022 000 00
004730 1538N 13849E 4853 06151 0366 -070 -127 138022 023 020 000 00
004800 1538N 13851E 4853 06157 0366 -070 -122 138021 022 022 000 00
004830 1537N 13853E 4853 06161 0366 -068 -120 139021 021 023 000 00
004900 1537N 13856E 4853 06159 0366 -070 -124 136022 023 023 000 00
004930 1536N 13858E 4854 06158 0365 -066 -118 138022 022 023 000 00
005000 1535N 13901E 4853 06155 0366 -068 -116 138022 022 021 000 00
005030 1535N 13903E 4853 06157 0367 -067 -119 138022 022 024 000 00
005100 1534N 13905E 4855 06157 0368 -065 -124 137023 023 023 000 00
005130 1534N 13907E 4855 06158 0369 -065 -133 135023 023 027 001 00
005200 1533N 13910E 4853 06162 0368 -065 -126 135022 023 028 002 00
005230 1532N 13912E 4853 06163 0368 -067 -129 139021 021 023 001 00
005300 1532N 13914E 4853 06158 0368 -066 -133 134023 024 019 001 00
005330 1531N 13916E 4854 06164 0368 -064 -137 130022 023 021 000 00
005400 1531N 13919E 4855 06151 0368 -063 -137 137022 022 025 004 00
005430 1530N 13921E 4852 06164 0369 -068 -134 138021 021 029 005 03
005500 1529N 13923E 4857 06151 0366 -067 -136 138018 019 023 001 03
005530 1528N 13925E 4853 06159 0367 -065 -130 138018 018 020 000 00
$$
0 likes
559
URPA14 PGUA 180125
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 36 20080818
011600 1450N 14052E 4855 06155 0365 -073 -128 118020 021 019 000 00
011630 1450N 14054E 4853 06157 0365 -074 -127 120018 018 017 000 00
011700 1449N 14056E 4856 06155 0365 -074 -118 116018 018 019 000 00
011730 1449N 14058E 4851 06161 0365 -075 -134 104018 018 018 000 00
011800 1448N 14101E 4855 06154 0365 -071 -142 106018 018 019 000 00
011830 1447N 14103E 4855 06155 0363 -073 -145 104018 018 018 000 00
011900 1447N 14105E 4853 06158 0364 -070 -145 103017 017 018 000 00
011930 1446N 14107E 4852 06152 0363 -070 -156 103017 018 015 000 00
012000 1445N 14110E 4855 06153 0364 -070 -154 104018 019 015 000 00
012030 1444N 14111E 4855 06157 0363 -070 -159 104018 019 017 000 00
012100 1444N 14114E 4853 06156 0364 -070 -150 104018 018 016 000 00
012130 1443N 14116E 4853 06156 0364 -071 -146 106018 018 018 000 00
012200 1443N 14118E 4855 06154 0363 -075 -156 108016 016 016 000 00
012230 1442N 14120E 4853 06154 0362 -075 -138 117016 017 018 000 00
012300 1441N 14123E 4855 06157 0363 -070 -147 118017 018 017 000 00
012330 1441N 14125E 4853 06156 0365 -070 -147 119016 017 019 000 00
012400 1440N 14127E 4855 06154 0363 -070 -144 121017 018 017 000 00
012430 1440N 14129E 4853 06158 0364 -070 -141 117019 019 019 000 00
012500 1438N 14131E 4855 06151 0363 -070 -138 109018 019 020 000 00
012530 1438N 14134E 4853 06162 0363 -073 -123 115019 020 020 000 00
$$
URPA14 PGUA 180125
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 36 20080818
011600 1450N 14052E 4855 06155 0365 -073 -128 118020 021 019 000 00
011630 1450N 14054E 4853 06157 0365 -074 -127 120018 018 017 000 00
011700 1449N 14056E 4856 06155 0365 -074 -118 116018 018 019 000 00
011730 1449N 14058E 4851 06161 0365 -075 -134 104018 018 018 000 00
011800 1448N 14101E 4855 06154 0365 -071 -142 106018 018 019 000 00
011830 1447N 14103E 4855 06155 0363 -073 -145 104018 018 018 000 00
011900 1447N 14105E 4853 06158 0364 -070 -145 103017 017 018 000 00
011930 1446N 14107E 4852 06152 0363 -070 -156 103017 018 015 000 00
012000 1445N 14110E 4855 06153 0364 -070 -154 104018 019 015 000 00
012030 1444N 14111E 4855 06157 0363 -070 -159 104018 019 017 000 00
012100 1444N 14114E 4853 06156 0364 -070 -150 104018 018 016 000 00
012130 1443N 14116E 4853 06156 0364 -071 -146 106018 018 018 000 00
012200 1443N 14118E 4855 06154 0363 -075 -156 108016 016 016 000 00
012230 1442N 14120E 4853 06154 0362 -075 -138 117016 017 018 000 00
012300 1441N 14123E 4855 06157 0363 -070 -147 118017 018 017 000 00
012330 1441N 14125E 4853 06156 0365 -070 -147 119016 017 019 000 00
012400 1440N 14127E 4855 06154 0363 -070 -144 121017 018 017 000 00
012430 1440N 14129E 4853 06158 0364 -070 -141 117019 019 019 000 00
012500 1438N 14131E 4855 06151 0363 -070 -138 109018 019 020 000 00
012530 1438N 14134E 4853 06162 0363 -073 -123 115019 020 020 000 00
$$
0 likes
URPA14 PGUA 180145
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 38 20080818
013600 1423N 14219E 4855 06145 0354 -073 -144 118017 018 018 002 00
013630 1423N 14221E 4853 06144 0353 -078 -115 118017 018 018 004 00
013700 1422N 14223E 4855 06140 0353 -080 -100 121017 018 020 000 00
013730 1421N 14226E 4856 06142 0356 -077 -102 113017 018 017 000 03
013800 1421N 14228E 4854 06147 0357 -075 -093 104019 021 022 001 00
013830 1422N 14230E 4855 06149 0358 -075 -106 114021 022 027 002 00
013900 1422N 14232E 4853 06149 0359 -071 -127 107019 019 031 005 00
013930 1422N 14235E 4855 06144 0357 -071 -121 101015 017 030 007 03
014000 1422N 14237E 4853 06149 0358 -071 -100 106018 018 023 001 00
014030 1423N 14240E 4849 06165 0362 -070 -141 104017 019 999 999 03
014100 1422N 14241E 4857 06142 0356 -070 -135 098011 012 019 002 03
014130 1419N 14243E 4851 06156 0357 -071 -120 080009 010 024 001 00
014200 1417N 14244E 4851 06150 0356 -070 -151 078011 012 023 000 00
014230 1416N 14245E 4855 06147 0357 -070 -159 082013 013 022 000 00
014300 1414N 14246E 4853 06153 0358 -070 -154 089012 013 022 000 00
014330 1411N 14247E 4855 06144 0356 -075 -126 081012 014 018 001 03
014400 1410N 14249E 4852 06150 0356 -075 -118 081013 014 019 000 03
014430 1408N 14251E 4853 06147 0355 -075 -140 085014 015 012 001 03
014500 1407N 14253E 4855 06146 0352 -075 -153 092010 010 018 000 00
014530 1406N 14255E 4855 06137 0352 -075 -170 094012 012 016 000 03
$$
They're now issuing HDOBs over an hour late...
AF306 0613W CYCLONE HDOB 38 20080818
013600 1423N 14219E 4855 06145 0354 -073 -144 118017 018 018 002 00
013630 1423N 14221E 4853 06144 0353 -078 -115 118017 018 018 004 00
013700 1422N 14223E 4855 06140 0353 -080 -100 121017 018 020 000 00
013730 1421N 14226E 4856 06142 0356 -077 -102 113017 018 017 000 03
013800 1421N 14228E 4854 06147 0357 -075 -093 104019 021 022 001 00
013830 1422N 14230E 4855 06149 0358 -075 -106 114021 022 027 002 00
013900 1422N 14232E 4853 06149 0359 -071 -127 107019 019 031 005 00
013930 1422N 14235E 4855 06144 0357 -071 -121 101015 017 030 007 03
014000 1422N 14237E 4853 06149 0358 -071 -100 106018 018 023 001 00
014030 1423N 14240E 4849 06165 0362 -070 -141 104017 019 999 999 03
014100 1422N 14241E 4857 06142 0356 -070 -135 098011 012 019 002 03
014130 1419N 14243E 4851 06156 0357 -071 -120 080009 010 024 001 00
014200 1417N 14244E 4851 06150 0356 -070 -151 078011 012 023 000 00
014230 1416N 14245E 4855 06147 0357 -070 -159 082013 013 022 000 00
014300 1414N 14246E 4853 06153 0358 -070 -154 089012 013 022 000 00
014330 1411N 14247E 4855 06144 0356 -075 -126 081012 014 018 001 03
014400 1410N 14249E 4852 06150 0356 -075 -118 081013 014 019 000 03
014430 1408N 14251E 4853 06147 0355 -075 -140 085014 015 012 001 03
014500 1407N 14253E 4855 06146 0352 -075 -153 092010 010 018 000 00
014530 1406N 14255E 4855 06137 0352 -075 -170 094012 012 016 000 03
$$
They're now issuing HDOBs over an hour late...
0 likes
-
Typhoon Hunter
- WesternPacificWeather.com
- Posts: 1215
- Age: 40
- Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
- Location: Hong Kong
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: TS Nuri (0812/13W) E of Philippines
Up to 45kts now from JMA and looking better and better over the course of the day. Nuri is heading over an area of very little OHC so that might slow things up a bit.
Watch out northern Luzon and southern Taiwan.
Watch out northern Luzon and southern Taiwan.
0 likes
-
Harry Cane
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 33
- Joined: Tue Aug 21, 2007 11:23 pm
- Location: Asia
- Contact:
Interesting, JTWC says it will recurve toward Taiwan. It's going at 2000 miles an hour against Luzon...And Luzon is a well known spoiler.
Check out the loop, amazing.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscolw.html
Check out the loop, amazing.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscolw.html
0 likes
WTPQ20 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0812 NURI (0812)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180600UTC 16.0N 131.7E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 200NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 190600UTC 18.0N 125.7E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 200600UTC 19.3N 122.7E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 210600UTC 20.8N 121.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0812 NURI (0812)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180600UTC 16.0N 131.7E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 200NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 190600UTC 18.0N 125.7E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 200600UTC 19.3N 122.7E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 210600UTC 20.8N 121.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =
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