Ex Invest 96L Model Runs

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Ex Invest 96L Model Runs

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 28, 2008 9:33 am

Models run here.
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cycloneye
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Re: BOC: Invest 96L Model Runs

#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 28, 2008 2:48 pm

WHXX01 KWBC 281934
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1934 UTC THU AUG 28 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962008) 20080828 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080828 1800 080829 0600 080829 1800 080830 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 19.4N 95.6W 20.1N 97.3W 20.9N 98.9W 21.5N 101.1W
BAMD 19.4N 95.6W 19.4N 97.0W 19.3N 98.6W 19.3N 100.4W
BAMM 19.4N 95.6W 20.0N 97.2W 20.5N 98.9W 21.0N 100.7W
LBAR 19.4N 95.6W 19.7N 97.7W 20.0N 99.8W 20.4N 102.3W
SHIP 25KTS 32KTS 39KTS 46KTS
DSHP 25KTS 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080830 1800 080831 1800 080901 1800 080902 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 22.7N 103.0W 25.4N 105.6W 28.6N 106.2W 30.1N 106.0W
BAMD 19.4N 102.3W 20.8N 106.2W 23.8N 109.0W 27.9N 110.4W
BAMM 21.9N 102.6W 24.9N 105.2W 29.0N 105.8W 31.8N 104.2W
LBAR 21.1N 104.9W 23.5N 108.5W 29.3N 110.2W 36.4N 105.4W
SHIP 55KTS 69KTS 75KTS 74KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 19.4N LONCUR = 95.6W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 19.4N LONM12 = 92.6W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 19.4N LONM24 = 89.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 28, 2008 2:57 pm

SHIPS seems to like this - also initiating at 25 kt is already off as a buoy report supports 35 kt.
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 28, 2008 3:01 pm

Image

Do you have extra time? 96L needs it!
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RL3AO
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Re:

#5 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 28, 2008 3:04 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:SHIPS seems to like this - also initiating at 25 kt is already off as a buoy report supports 35 kt.


Thats because ships doesn't take land into account. It assumes it will be over water for the next 5 days.
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Re: BOC: Invest 96L Model Runs

#6 Postby Storm Contractor » Thu Aug 28, 2008 3:06 pm

Reminds me of the old Dr John song.."I been in the right place but it must have been the wrong time".
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