ATL INVEST 94L: Discussion

[cycloneye]

Best Track update at 00:00 UTC mantains 94L as Extratropical.

AL, 94, 2008092600, , BEST, 0, 334N, 782W, 55, 998, EX

[HURAKAN]

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL942008
A. 26/00:29:30Z
B. 33 deg 15 min N
078 deg 17 min W
C. 850 mb 1331 m
D. 51 kt
E. 352 deg 25 nm
F. 080 deg 58 kt
G. 352 deg 25 nm
H. 991 mb
I. 12 C / 1511 m
J. 19 C / 1525 m
K. 12 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 03GGA LOW OB 09
MAX FL WIND 58 KT NE QUAD 23:32:50Z

19C at 1525 m?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

7c temperature difference, this is not just subtropical but full on tropical. I'm angry at what I'm seeing.

[CrazyC83]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/hwr ... 512/6.html

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfd ... 518/2.html

Cyclone phase analysis.

[CrazyC83]

7c temperature difference, this is not just subtropical but full on tropical. I'm angry at what I'm seeing.

I agree, but given the circumstances it is not worth naming IMO.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

7c temperature difference, this is not just subtropical but full on tropical. I'm angry at what I'm seeing.

I agree, but given the circumstances it is not worth naming IMO.

I think every system should be named or at least noted.

[Stormavoider]

Does this prove it is warm core?

[Thunder44]

Does this prove it is warm core?

We know it's warm core already. The problem is that still appears to be associated with a coastal warm front that has moved inland across the Carolinas, based on surface obs:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SFCSE/sfcloop.html

[HURAKAN]

CLKN7 - MARITIME-buoy
Friday Sep. 26 - 0:00 UTC
Air Temperature: 77°F
Dewpoint: 70°F
Wind: 25 mph
gusting to 28
Pressure: 1007.2 mb

41035 - MARITIME-buoy
Friday Sep. 26 - 0:50 UTC
Air Temperature: 76°F
Dewpoint: 71°F
Wind: E at 25 mph
gusting to 31
Pressure: 1005.1 mb
Wave Height: 8 ft
Sea Surface Temp: 75°F

41036 - MARITIME-buoy
Friday Sep. 26 - 0:50 UTC
Air Temperature: 78°F
Dewpoint: 71°F
Wind: ESE at 36 mph
gusting to 47
Pressure: 1004 mb
Wave Height: 15 ft
Sea Surface Temp: 78.1°F

41013 - MARITIME-buoy
Friday Sep. 26 - 0:50 UTC
Air Temperature: 75°F
Wind: SSE at 42 mph
gusting to 54
Pressure: 995.3 mb
Wave Height: 13 ft
Sea Surface Temp: 77.2°F

[HURAKAN]

Kyle stands alone.

[CrazyC83]

Looks like the No-Name Storm is about to make landfall.

[HURAKAN]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like the No-Name Storm is about to make landfall.

Sad Let me just say I've seen many a system with a "weak" frontal like system to the north northeast of the LLC. It is amazing how a purely warm core system can be over looked like this in the record. I don't agree with it at all.

[SCHawkFan]

Funny, weather tonight in Myrtle Beach is much worse than it was a few weeks ago when Hannah blew through. I just hope my Dish Network signal stays strong for a few more hours.

[tolakram]

Wilmington:


Bald Head Island:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KNCBALDH2


Sunset Beach:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KNCSUNSE3

[HURAKAN]

[CrazyC83]

Still some deep convection firing near the center.

[george_r_1961]

Funny, weather tonight in Myrtle Beach is much worse than it was a few weeks ago when Hannah blew through. I just hope my Dish Network signal stays strong for a few more hours.

Ditto up here in VA. We have had heavy squalls rotating in off the ocean all day. Similar to what you would expect from an approaching tropical system.

And im not liking the looks of some of these cells. Some weak rotation evident and I wouldnt be surprised to see a tornado or two over SE VA overnight.

[HURAKAN]

URNT12 KNHC 260225
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL942008
A. 26/02:15:00Z
B. 33 deg 17 min N
078 deg 35 min W
C. 850 mb 1351 m
D. 39 kt
E. 119 deg 37 nm
F. 194 deg 47 kt
G. 115 deg 23 nm
H. EXTRAP 993 mb
I. 14 C / 1521 m
J. 18 C / 1522 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 03GGA LOW OB 13
MAX FL WIND 58 KT NE QUAD 23:32:50Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
MAX FL TEMP 18 C 114 / 7 NM FROM FL CNTR

Once again, 18C at 1522 m.

[Ed Mahmoud]

URNT12 KNHC 260225
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL942008
A. 26/02:15:00Z
B. 33 deg 17 min N
078 deg 35 min W
C. 850 mb 1351 m
D. 39 kt
E. 119 deg 37 nm
F. 194 deg 47 kt
G. 115 deg 23 nm
H. EXTRAP 993 mb
I. 14 C / 1521 m
J. 18 C / 1522 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 03GGA LOW OB 13
MAX FL WIND 58 KT NE QUAD 23:32:50Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
MAX FL TEMP 18 C 114 / 7 NM FROM FL CNTR

Once again, 18C at 1522 m.

Why bother when they already made up their mind that no evidence the airplane could find would change their minds.?