South Indian Ocean: ex. FAMÉ (TC 13S)

[Coredesat]

LLC is becoming exposed.

[Crostorm]

[HURAKAN]

A burst of convection over the LLC. Fish, beware!!!

[HurricaneRobert]

Still dueling cyclones

If they were stronger we probably would've declared a winner already.

[Crostorm]

[Crostorm]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 JAN 2008 Time : 223000 UTC
Lat : 22:35:15 S Lon : 52:42:45 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.4 / 985.9mb/ 53.0kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.5mb

Center Temp : -70.3C Cloud Region Temp : -71.0C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

****************************************************

[Coredesat]

Appears to have taken a turn for a worse; this imagery seems to suggest that Fame and Gula are interacting (note the dark blues in the 85GHz image):

[Squarethecircle]

Now it looks completely destroyed.

[Coredesat]

Extratropical, though there's practically nothing left anyway, it's been completely absorbed.

WTIO22 FMEE 010623
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2008 AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 029/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 01/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-FAME) 996 HPA
POSITION: 23.4S / 56.0E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 18 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY AND FAR FROM THE CENTER .

BELT OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT LOCALLY 35KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS BETWEEN 30 NM AND 100 NM, IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANTS.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/01 AT 18 UTC:
27.3S / 56.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2008/02/02 AT 06 UTC:
31.7S / 56.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM SHAWS NOW AN EXTRA-TROIPICAL STRUCTURE.
STRONG WINDS ARE MAINLY LOCATED WITHIN A BELT FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE
NORTHEASTREN QUADRANT DUE TO THE SPEED OF DEPLACEMENT, AND IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIANT.
THERE IS NO ORGANIZED ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTOM OR HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE SYSTEM IS MAKING A LOOP TOWARDS THE TROPICAL STORM GULA, WHICH IS
TRACKING QUIKCLY SOUTHWARDS. IT SHOULD EVACUATE SOUTHWARDS RAPIDLY AND
DISSIPATE IN THE TROUGH OF GULA.

[Coredesat]

WTXS31 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (FAME) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 22.8S 54.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8S 54.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 25.2S 55.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 23.4S 54.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13S (FAME) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME
DIFFICULT TO IDENTIFY ON RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, AND
APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN ABSORBED INTO TC 14S. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY A
311426Z QUIKSCAT PASS, WHICH SHOWS A BROAD AND ELONGATED LLCC WITH
20-25 KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS. TC 14S IS THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION AND
IS TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARD THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. SOME UNCERTAINTY
DOES EXIST AS BOTH TC 13S AND 14S ARE NOW WEAK SYSTEMS AND UNDER
SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 14S (GULA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.