ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[ericinmia]

It's so dead quiet around here... It really amazes me.

I think IDA really has potential to hit Cat1-2 before the Yucatan (Just my opinion). Once she hits the higher shear, we could either have a wilma scenario where it creates an outflow jet for IDA to maintain/intensify or the more likely scenario is that she begins to be ripped apart...

I wish I could "fast-forward" to see what the outcome would be...
-Eric

[cycloneye]

12z GFDL has a cat 2 in the central GOM and run ends as it moves east West of Tampa going slowly down in intensity.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

[maxx9512]

It does look like the center has now reached water. It also looks to have a slight ne motion (wobble) to it.
I guess now is when we will see what this storm has left to give. Does anyone see this?

[Aric Dunn]

yeah it has pick up speed for sure its nearly off the coast. if this keeps up it will emerge in the next 2 hours .. way before it was forecast and well east of the track. Convection already migrating back to the center.. hehe its almost like the convection is on the coast waiting there and celebrating the return of the center

[Ivanhater]

GFDL is doing a loop in the gulf. Looks like a large system spreading a lot of wind and rain to the northern Gulfcoast. GFDL shows a large lopsided system, with most of the wind and storms to the NW of the center..interesting

[hurricanefloyd5]

LOL It will come to florida for sure and I am wondering if IDA will regain Hurricane STATUS again and omove into florida and should I batten down the Hatches yet????!!!!LOL well I will keep on top of this Storm and to see if it will still head for us here in florida as a hurriane or not a hurricane but a TS!!!!!!!!

[Blown Away]

12z GFDL has a cat 2 in the central GOM and run ends as it moves east West of Tampa going slowly down in intensity.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

I think we are seeing a general consensus w/ Ida ultimately moving in the general area of Florida. Ultimately we might see a general Wilma type track (not intensity) and bring some gusty TS winds across Florida.

[cycloneye]

12z HWRF does a loop in the GOM and at the end targets Florida Penninsula.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation

[Ivanhater]

Yep HWRF shows a loop as well in the gulf, very near the northern Gulfcoast spreading tropical storm conditions for much of the north central gulfcoast before looping and weakening...I think we will see a loop in the gulf with this storm, the timing and speed of Ida will say where the loop will occur

[Ivanhater]

Again, the GFDL and HWRF are showing a loopsided system with most of the winds and storms to the Northwest, a loop will effect more people before weakening

[cycloneye]

If anyone was wondering,why there is no advisory at 1 PM EST is because there are no watches or warnings at this time.The nexy advisory will be at 4 PM EST.

[ozonepete]

If anyone was wondering,why there is no advisory at 1 PM EST is because there are no watches or warnings at this time.The nexy advisory will be at 4 PM EST.

thanks, cyclone!

[AdamFirst]

Looks like northern part of the LLC is starting to dip its feet in the Caribbean. Convection attempting to wrap around on the left side.

[ozonepete]

Yes it's coming off the coast now, and from the looks of that nasty convection deepening on the north and west, this may re-intensify really rapidly.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Yes it's coming off the coast now, and from the looks of that nasty convection deepening on the north and west, this may re-intensify really rapidly.

it very well could do that!!!!! Can anyone say Hurricane?

[Blown Away]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Am I close?

[Aric Dunn]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Am I close?

yeah pretty much ..

[HURAKAN]

Coming offshore

[Weatherboy1]

Yes, I agree that the circulation center is partially off the coast now. Next 4-8 hours will tell us if this thing can rapidly get her act together or if land has seriously disrupted her central core. My suspicion is that Ida will reintensify to a TS fairly quickly.

[tolakram]

20 kts of shear off shore, heading to 30 knots the further north Ida gets.



http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

Conditions are not improving.