ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

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IvanSurvivor
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#141 Postby IvanSurvivor » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:49 am

What time is recon?
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cycloneye
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Re:

#142 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:51 am

IvanSurvivor wrote:What time is recon?


Its a long flight as it departs around 11:15 AM EST from Biloxi and will arrive near the system around 4 PM EST.
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#143 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:53 am

watch out for tremondous flooding on Provedencia and surrounding Columbian Islands
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IvanSurvivor
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Re: Re:

#144 Postby IvanSurvivor » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:53 am

cycloneye wrote:
IvanSurvivor wrote:What time is recon?


Its a long flight as it departs around 11:15 EST from Biloxi and will arrive near the system around 4 PM EST.


Wow! Didn't realize it would take that long. Thanks Cycloneye!
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Re: Re:

#145 Postby ROCK » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:54 am

cycloneye wrote:
IvanSurvivor wrote:What time is recon?


Its a long flight as it departs around 11:15 AM EST from Biloxi and will arrive near the system around 4 PM EST.


Isnt ST Croix closer than MS? sheesh....

we need more RECON!!
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#146 Postby IvanSurvivor » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:55 am

Exciting day for recon...they must be bored out of their minds! Till now...
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Re: ATL : INVEST 97L

#147 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:56 am

Wow. Mississippi? I suppose its the best option. This flight was scheduled on very short notice. I hope the NHC does not wait for recon confirm to upgrade though. This is already likely a TD, perhaps a TS.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 97L

#148 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:59 am

They did not wait for recon to upgrade!

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972009_al112009.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200911041354
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

AL, 11, 2009110412, , BEST, 0, 115N, 819W, 30, 1006, TD


ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 112009.ren
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Re: ATL : INVEST 97L=First advisory at 10 AM EST

#149 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:04 am

*cracks knuckles* Its been a long time since there has been a credible tropical threat to land on this side of the ocean. So, what do you all think the NHC will do for track and intensity predictions?
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#150 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:07 am

We had to wait until November to see development in the Caribbean Sea. WOW.
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#151 Postby cyclonic chronic » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:10 am

http://amsu.ssec.wisc.edu/archive/2009/ ... ensity.txt
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Re: ATL : INVEST 97L

#152 Postby wxman57 » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:12 am

Here's the 00Z GFS 96hr steering flow (400-700mb). With any luck, it'll eventually move into the Yucatan and die this weekend. Wind shear does increase significantly across the central and northern Gulf, so a hurricane hit on the U.S. would seem unlikely. My coworker reminds me that only 4 hurricanes have hit the U.S. in November, and all 4 hit Florida.

Image
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Re:

#153 Postby ozonepete » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:12 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Nice loop


Hi Hurakan, yes very nice loop. Where'd you get it?
Last edited by ozonepete on Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 97L

#154 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:13 am

For the members who may be asking,where is 97L in our storm2k graphic above.As it will be upgraded shortly,it went away as this is automated but it will appear as soon the advisory is out with the L and a track.
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Re: Re:

#155 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:16 am

ozonepete wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

Nice loop


Hi Hurakan, yes very nice loop. Where'd you get it?


http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=1369
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#156 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:16 am

Image

TD 11 or TS Ida? Good question!!
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Re:

#157 Postby ozonepete » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:22 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

TD 11 or TS Ida? Good question!!


Looking at that, I'd go with Ida.
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#158 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:23 am

:uarrow: I agree. Looks like it's organizing and fast.
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Evil Jeremy
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#159 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:51 am

Is the advisory scheduled to come out at 10 AM or 11 AM? I know the TWO's have moved their schedule an hour up with the time change, but do the advisory packages stick with the 5/11 AM/PM schedule?
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Re:

#160 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 04, 2009 9:54 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:Is the advisory scheduled to come out at 10 AM or 11 AM? I know the TWO's have moved their schedule an hour up with the time change, but do the advisory packages stick with the 5/11 AM/PM schedule?


Advisories should now be at 4 10 4 10
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