ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[cycloneye]

OB 14

URNT15 KNHC 080448
AF306 0311A IDA HDOB 14 20091108
044030 2247N 08741W 5311 05389 0266 -028 -082 117007 009 025 002 03
044100 2245N 08742W 5573 05003 0091 -017 -049 125007 010 999 999 03
044130 2243N 08742W 5830 04631 0085 +004 -032 098012 012 026 002 00
044200 2240N 08743W 6075 04317 0104 +020 -034 100013 015 026 002 03
044230 2238N 08743W 6335 03977 0113 +041 -048 101017 018 999 999 03
044300 2236N 08744W 6591 03653 0114 +058 -034 107016 017 999 999 03
044330 2234N 08744W 6860 03321 0113 +079 -034 104016 017 999 999 03
044400 2232N 08745W 7163 02955 0116 +097 -064 094016 020 999 999 03
044430 2230N 08745W 7467 02609 0115 +117 -028 098021 022 999 999 03
044500 2228N 08743W 7717 02327 0117 +134 -100 102024 025 026 003 03
044530 2227N 08742W 7920 02116 0129 +134 -031 100023 026 026 004 00
044600 2226N 08740W 8153 01866 0135 +136 +006 098024 025 029 003 00
044630 2225N 08739W 8404 01607 0129 +153 +020 095024 025 027 004 00
044700 2224N 08737W 8445 01560 0118 +162 +029 096026 027 027 002 00
044730 2223N 08736W 8425 01579 0119 +156 +038 099026 028 026 003 00
044800 2222N 08735W 8430 01576 0118 +156 +047 095024 025 024 003 00
044830 2221N 08734W 8434 01571 0120 +155 +054 097025 025 025 002 00
044900 2220N 08733W 8425 01578 0119 +155 +059 094025 026 026 000 00
044930 2219N 08732W 8423 01582 0119 +155 +063 095026 027 023 003 00
045000 2218N 08730W 8428 01579 0122 +155 +067 096025 025 024 002 00

[Aric Dunn]

Ok so here is the radar out of Cuba... again still showing a well defined eye and deep convection ..

[Blown Away]

Sure looks like a WNW wobble? Also looks like it just hit the brakes, maybe just my eyes.

[Evil Jeremy]

And a slowdown in speed.

[Aric Dunn]

:uarrow: Sure looks like a WNW wobble?

I think you are seeing the convection wrapping around to the west side.. that makes it look that way.. try covering most that up .. or doing some center fixes and calculations.

[HURAKAN]

[Blown Away]

:uarrow: Sure looks like a WNW wobble?

I think you are seeing the convection wrapping around to the west side.. that makes it look that way.. try covering most that up .. or doing some center fixes and calculations.

I don't know looking at the IR Ida seems to slowed suddenly, probably some type of reorganization but it does appear to have slowed.

[cycloneye]

OB 15

URNT15 KNHC 080458
AF306 0311A IDA HDOB 15 20091108
045030 2217N 08729W 8430 01578 0120 +157 +069 099024 025 022 003 00
045100 2216N 08727W 8429 01579 0120 +159 +070 096024 025 023 003 00
045130 2215N 08726W 8430 01577 0117 +160 +072 095025 025 024 002 00
045200 2214N 08725W 8429 01577 0117 +160 +073 096024 024 020 003 00
045230 2213N 08723W 8432 01577 0119 +159 +075 092024 025 022 002 00
045300 2212N 08722W 8430 01576 0116 +159 +076 091024 024 020 003 00
045330 2211N 08721W 8428 01578 0118 +157 +077 093024 024 020 002 00
045400 2210N 08719W 8428 01580 0116 +159 +078 093024 024 020 003 00
045430 2208N 08718W 8430 01575 0116 +159 +079 093024 025 020 002 00
045500 2207N 08717W 8429 01577 0117 +159 +081 093023 024 019 002 00
045530 2206N 08715W 8430 01572 0113 +161 +082 090024 024 020 002 00
045600 2205N 08714W 8429 01577 0114 +158 +084 090024 024 018 003 00
045630 2204N 08712W 8430 01574 0114 +159 +085 090024 025 015 003 00
045700 2203N 08711W 8428 01574 0113 +160 +085 089023 023 013 002 00
045730 2202N 08710W 8429 01573 0110 +164 +084 088023 024 015 001 00
045800 2201N 08708W 8427 01576 0112 +161 +084 087024 025 014 003 00
045830 2200N 08707W 8429 01574 0112 +158 +086 090026 027 008 003 03
045900 2159N 08706W 8430 01571 0109 +163 +087 091027 027 014 000 00
045930 2158N 08704W 8430 01574 0110 +163 +087 089027 028 010 003 03
050000 2156N 08703W 8429 01574 0110 +160 +088 090028 029 004 003 00

[cycloneye]

How much is the reduction when they fly at 1500 feet?

[Aric Dunn]

How much is the reduction when they fly at 1500 feet?

not very much ... they will probably do 75% but could be up to 85 %

[cycloneye]

OB 16

URNT15 KNHC 080508
AF306 0311A IDA HDOB 16 20091108
050030 2155N 08702W 8429 01573 0109 +164 +088 091028 028 013 003 00
050100 2154N 08700W 8430 01572 0108 +164 +089 090027 027 015 002 00
050130 2153N 08659W 8428 01573 0109 +160 +090 088025 025 017 002 00
050200 2152N 08658W 8430 01571 0108 +162 +091 091024 024 017 001 00
050230 2151N 08656W 8430 01571 0108 +160 +092 091026 026 017 001 00
050300 2150N 08655W 8430 01566 0109 +160 +093 091025 026 019 001 00
050330 2149N 08654W 8429 01571 0107 +160 +094 091026 026 017 003 00
050400 2148N 08652W 8429 01572 0106 +165 +094 092026 027 020 002 00
050430 2147N 08651W 8432 01569 0104 +165 +095 091025 026 022 001 00
050500 2146N 08650W 8429 01571 0105 +166 +096 084026 026 022 002 00
050530 2145N 08648W 8430 01569 0106 +161 +098 080025 026 022 001 00
050600 2143N 08647W 8429 01569 0105 +162 +098 075024 025 020 002 00
050630 2142N 08645W 8430 01572 0105 +164 +099 080025 026 024 002 03
050700 2141N 08644W 8427 01571 0106 +161 +099 080027 027 023 003 00
050730 2140N 08643W 8430 01568 0105 +162 +100 078028 029 025 002 03
050800 2139N 08641W 8428 01571 0106 +158 +101 077027 027 024 001 03
050830 2138N 08640W 8430 01568 0102 +164 +101 078029 029 029 005 00
050900 2137N 08639W 8429 01567 0108 +152 +100 073028 028 036 014 03
050930 2136N 08637W 8424 01573 0119 +133 +099 071029 030 040 014 00
051000 2135N 08636W 8428 01567 0109 +150 +093 075027 027 032 010 00

[cycloneye]

How much is the reduction when they fly at 1500 feet?

not very much ... they will probably do 75% but could be up to 85 %

Thank you.Crunch time in a few minutes.

[Aric Dunn]

How much is the reduction when they fly at 1500 feet?

not very much ... they will probably do 75% but could be up to 85 %

Thank you.Crunch time in a few minutes.

where are all the google earth images..

[ROCK]

Ivan, with consensus like that its time for you to make some preps if you havent already done so....

[gatorcane]

Here comes the trough, you can see the low that will ride the southern axis of this trough organizing and passing near El Paso Texas. Nice H5 ridge between that low and the SE US....race is on folks!

Eastern US WV Loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html

[PTPatrick]

Ivan, can you link the website? the picture wont show for me.

[Sanibel]

Ida's rapid intensification (RI) burst form is back but it's too far north to pull it off.

[HURAKAN]

[Ivanhater]

you go Patrick.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

Yeah Rock, the forecast has sped up so much, it has caught a lot of people of guard.

[Blown Away]

Is Evil Jeremy and I the only ones that think Ida has slowed down in forward speed and is moving WNW?