ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

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Evil Jeremy
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2401 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:44 am

Sanibel wrote:Cancun live radar:



http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?70


Also shows WNW and slowdown.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2402 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:44 am

67 kts at flight level,57 kts at SMFR

Not at eye yet but closing in.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA - Models

#2403 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:44 am

Lol Jin, If you think the words "preparing for the upcoming situation: is panic or throwing out memories if Ivan, then you have lost me. When it comes to preparing for a possible cat 1, the NHC wasnt calling for Ida to reach a hurricane in the gulf before either, guess what, now they do.

I respectfully disagree with your standing. When the models are showing a possible hurricane making landfall in 2 days, and Derek's forecast is for that as well that calls for "preparing for the upcoming situation"
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2404 Postby Blown Away » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:45 am

Sanibel wrote:Cancun live radar:
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?70


Great, they got their radar running again. Hard to deny WNW.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2405 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:45 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Cancun live radar:



http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?70


Also shows WNW and slowdown.


I dont see it much .. maybe down to 10mph

and no wnw motion..
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2406 Postby Sanibel » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:46 am

Don't think I can remember any hurricanes that increase in intensity in the Channel on this kind of pass.


This is cool!
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#2407 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:47 am

Image
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2408 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:49 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Cancun live radar:



http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?70


Also shows WNW and slowdown.


I dont see it much .. maybe down to 10mph

and no wnw motion..


I am likely reading to much into it lol. I need some sleep, but I will wait until after some good recon data comes in.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA - Models

#2409 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:49 am

00z gfdl

Image

Image
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#2410 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:51 am

Cat 2 at landfall it appears on this run from the GFDL
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#2411 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:52 am

holy crap we have nearly a cat two.. if not a cat 2

96 kt flight level.. !!
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2412 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:53 am

Looking at early data and the buoy comparison, I would guess 75 kt with a 985mb pressure right now.

EDIT: With Recon data, 80 kt.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA - Recon

#2413 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:53 am

OB 20

985 mbs

000
URNT15 KNHC 080548
AF306 0311A IDA HDOB 20 20091108
054030 2029N 08529W 8432 01488 0013 +160 +104 070068 069 061 006 00
054100 2028N 08529W 8426 01489 0005 +165 +102 074067 068 059 006 00
054130 2027N 08528W 8430 01480 9999 +169 +102 075072 074 058 007 00
054200 2026N 08527W 8427 01476 9993 +167 +101 074068 071 061 016 00
054230 2025N 08526W 8434 01468 0008 +134 +100 068063 064 062 023 00
054300 2024N 08525W 8428 01467 0003 +135 +096 065067 069 062 024 00
054330 2022N 08524W 8425 01461 9991 +136 +092 062073 074 068 032 00
054400 2021N 08523W 8432 01442 9979 +131 +090 060080 082 073 035 00
054430 2020N 08522W 8443 01411 9959 +137 +089 065086 091 076 036 00
054500 2019N 08521W 8424 01428 9945 +142 +089 069087 089 079 036 00
054530 2018N 08520W 8424 01414 9933 +144 +092 075089 091 081 030 00
054600 2017N 08520W 8436 01396 9920 +151 +096 084091 096 081 020 00
054630 2016N 08519W 8436 01397 9908 +168 +099 105068 077 086 011 03
054700 2015N 08518W 8431 01394 9893 +179 +103 105054 055 069 005 03
054730 2014N 08518W 8429 01376 9861 +210 +107 101041 048 066 003 00
054800 2012N 08518W 8438 01364 9853 +212 +113 109027 031 043 002 03
054830 2011N 08518W 8435 01364 9852 +209 +122 116020 025 029 004 03
054900 2009N 08519W 8427 01369 9851 +203 +130 108014 016 031 004 00
054930 2008N 08519W 8430 01362 9849 +197 +137 127009 012 028 001 03
055000 2006N 08520W 8418 01377 9855 +189 +142 096003 004 022 003 00
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#2414 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:54 am

well about 85 mph so far.. pressure 985mb .. so far Im on the money.. :P
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Re:

#2415 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:54 am

Aric Dunn wrote:holy crap we have nearly a cat two.. if not a cat 2

96 kt flight level.. !!


That is 77 kt at the surface. The highest unflagged SFMR is 81 kt - supports an 80 kt intensity.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2416 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:54 am

96kts flight level,81kts SFMR
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#2417 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:54 am

But the GFDL initializes at a very high wind speed (85kts) and a higher pressure than it is now. That seems odd to me.

Edit: Never mind on the high wind speed part, but the pressure is still wrong.
Last edited by JonathanBelles on Sun Nov 08, 2009 1:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#2418 Postby Sanibel » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:55 am

Last long wobble was definitely WNW.


That Atlantic ridge has some cool air in it.
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#2419 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:55 am

Image
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Re: Re:

#2420 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:56 am

CrazyC83 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:holy crap we have nearly a cat two.. if not a cat 2

96 kt flight level.. !!


That is 77 kt at the surface. The highest unflagged SFMR is 81 kt - supports an 80 kt intensity.


yep .. :) thats 93 mph.. according sfmr..
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