ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA (06L)

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Weatherboy1
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#2601 Postby Weatherboy1 » Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:51 pm

Looks like Erika's been hitting the cruise ship buffet here. Really bulking up in the past couple of hours. Yikes!
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Re: Re:

#2602 Postby RattleMan » Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:52 pm

I-wall wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:what really sucks.. is we only get one more image then we hit the eclipse.. :(


What is the purpose of the eclipse? Anyone know?

The eclipse occurs when the satellite is in Earth's shadow and unable to use its solar panels for power.

EDIT: Typo
Last edited by RattleMan on Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2603 Postby expat2carib » Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:56 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:i just feel like I need to keep saying this.. but seriously that is a massive convective burst slightly bigger than last night which i did not think would happen again..


I hear you..... It's huge :eek:
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2604 Postby banksmanforever » Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:58 pm

looks like a westward jog to me :cheesy:
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2605 Postby OURAGAN » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:00 pm

stationnary and the cloud mass expanding from st Lucia to 20N.
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2606 Postby David in FL » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:01 pm

With it being stationary right now will that affect erika's path? Will it give it time to strengthen and recurve? Just trying to figure things out
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#2607 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:02 pm

I said long ago just after it came off Africa that I had a feeling about this one for the NE Carib Islands and the CONUS!
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2608 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:05 pm

David in FL wrote:With it being stationary right now will that affect erika's path? Will it give it time to strengthen and recurve? Just trying to figure things out


Actually, it might allow more time for the ridge to build in. Or, it might allow time for another through to come. There are many unknowns with Erika. Last night we thought it would be sheared to bits by now, and here we are. This is a strange system.
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2609 Postby stormchazer » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:05 pm

David in FL wrote:With it being stationary right now will that affect erika's path? Will it give it time to strengthen and recurve? Just trying to figure things out


Yes. Maybe. Frankly things are probably fluid right now as it looks like the setup is a bit complex. We are all waiting for the models to get a grasp on the setup and give us some run-to-run consistency I think. Stay tuned.
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Re: Re:

#2610 Postby wxman57 » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:06 pm

RattleMan wrote:
I-wall wrote:What is the purpose of the eclipse? Anyone know?

The eclipse occurs when the satellite is in Earth's shadow and unable to use its solar panels for power.


Note that the next generation of GOES (GOES-R), scheduled for first launch in 2014, will have a backup power system to eliminate eclipse outages.
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2611 Postby Javlin » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:06 pm

I like to use the HamWeather site when I need views of more than a few hrs. I will have to say it looks almost due W to me at least as blob if I may.Just set it up 24 hrs also looks as the ULL lows are being absorbed into the front,Low Pressure lost means High Pressure gained??

http://mapcenter.hamweather.com/satelli ... ?s=640x480
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#2612 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:10 pm

Image

A lot of energy
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA - Computer Models

#2613 Postby otowntiger » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:10 pm

cycloneye wrote:18z GFDL is more west.Reaches cat 2 intensity.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

108 knotts is actually cat 3 isn't it?
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA (06L)

#2614 Postby OURAGAN » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:10 pm

The shear is very low to the south of it and slight stronger to it's north, may be it's why the cloud mass is expanding southward and westward
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA - Computer Models

#2615 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:11 pm

otowntiger wrote:
cycloneye wrote:18z GFDL is more west.Reaches cat 2 intensity.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

108 knotts is actually cat 3 isn't it?


The 108 knots are not at the surface, that's why Derek says Cat. 2.
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA - Computer Models

#2616 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:14 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
otowntiger wrote:
cycloneye wrote:18z GFDL is more west.Reaches cat 2 intensity.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

108 knotts is actually cat 3 isn't it?


The 108 knots are not at the surface, that's why Derek says Cat. 2.



Note at the bottom where it states these winds are at 35 meters at that link!
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA - Computer Models

#2617 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:15 pm

Wow these latest models have shifted quite a bit. SE US and east coast better keep and eye on this one!
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA - Computer Models

#2618 Postby wzrgirl1 » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:17 pm

which models?
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AdamFirst
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL STORM ERIKA - Computer Models

#2619 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:18 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:which models?


Pretty much all of them. :P
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#2620 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:18 pm

Is RECON going in tonight anytime?
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