hurricanetrack wrote:What if predictions like this continue to come true in the future. In other words, are we finally in an era when they can say with pretty good accuracy that a season will be active or not. And if it is forecast to be a "stinker" will people eventually just not care to look since they pretty much know the outcome? Barring the once in a long shot "it only takes one" storm, why even bother with a hurricane season like this if the experts pretty much know ahead of time that very little will ever develop? Kind of like watching the Detroit Lions this year. Why bother? You know they will win 2 games at most.
Curious....
to be honest, I see a general estimate of a season's activity as a negligible part of the tropical cyclone problem. Someone can tease out statistical patterns and probably do a decent job of doing that. Perhaps if we could accurately determine an accurate seasonal probability of landfall, that would be something. But even then, there are so many questions that govern these storms - so many intricacies and peculiarities about individual cyclones that we'll have plenty to keep ourselves busy, at least in the foreseeable future.
DESTRUCTION5 wrote::uarrow:
No Im not seeing ANYTHING flat in that pic...
Tim Tebow does not approve of your post
so you can open a new thread about what you see 
?!
