NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#121 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Jun 03, 2009 7:47 am

Hurricanes have winds of 74 mph (65 knots) or greater, this system had winds to maybe 60 mph (technically, 58 mph, or 50 knots). So therefore, even if it "was" a tropical system, it still would not be a hurricane.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139087
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#122 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 03, 2009 7:57 am

12 UTC Best Track

Winds are decreasing,now down to 35kts and pressure is rising to 997 mbs.

AL, 92, 2009060312, , BEST, 0, 447N, 256W, 35, 997, LO,
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#123 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 03, 2009 9:02 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5792
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#124 Postby MGC » Wed Jun 03, 2009 9:42 am

92L is not a TROPICAL system. Location, location, location. This thing is futher north than New York in early June....please...MGC
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#125 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 03, 2009 9:59 am

MGC wrote:92L is not a TROPICAL system. Location, location, location. This thing is futher north than New York in early June....please...MGC


Location ins't everything. If location was really important, then the Brazil hurricane was not tropical because a hurricane in that location is unheard of.

Even the NHC admitted that it had adquired some tropical characteristics, which doesn't mean it was tropical, but it was likely subtropical at some point. Remember that Epsilon intensified over very cool waters.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139087
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#126 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 03, 2009 10:43 am

Is hanging on almost stationary (maybe doing a mini loop) with little bursts of convection.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#127 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 03, 2009 11:01 am

Image

Image

Bye, bye!
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#128 Postby Chacor » Wed Jun 03, 2009 11:16 am

WONT50 LFPW 030844

A
SECURITE ON METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE,

WARNING NR 297 , WEDNESDAY 3 JUNE 2009 AT 0845 UTC

GENERAL SYNOPSIS, WEDNESDAY 3 AT 00 UTC
THUNDERY LOW 1001 46N24W MOVING SOUTHEAST, EXPECTED 1006 42N21W BY
04/12 UTC.

EAST OF FARADAY
CONTINUING TO 03/15 UTC
CYCLONIC, LOCALLY 8 NEAR LOW. SEVERE GUSTS.

EAST OF ALTAIR
CONTINUING TO 04/06UTC
CYCLONIC, LOCALLY 8 NEAR LOW. SEVERE GUSTS.=
0 likes   

User avatar
DanieleItalyRm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 486
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Sep 22, 2008 7:52 am
Location: Rome - Italy - Mediterranean sea

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#129 Postby DanieleItalyRm » Wed Jun 03, 2009 11:25 am

HURAKAN wrote:
MGC wrote:92L is not a TROPICAL system. Location, location, location. This thing is futher north than New York in early June....please...MGC


Location ins't everything. If location was really important, then the Brazil hurricane was not tropical because a hurricane in that location is unheard of.

Even the NHC admitted that it had adquired some tropical characteristics, which doesn't mean it was tropical, but it was likely subtropical at some point. Remember that Epsilon intensified over very cool waters.


MGC wrote:92L is not a TROPICAL system. Location, location, location. This thing is futher north than New York in early June....please...MGC


Hurricane Eight 1991..
became a Tropcial depression on 44° and in tropical storm on 43°..

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#130 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:14 pm

:uarrow: There are similarities with 92L and the perfect storm, but the perfect storm was over part of the Gulf Stream, it was October going into November, and it was close to the US which allows for RECON to fly.
0 likes   

User avatar
DanieleItalyRm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 486
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Sep 22, 2008 7:52 am
Location: Rome - Italy - Mediterranean sea

#131 Postby DanieleItalyRm » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:27 pm

Yes Hurakan, but MGC mentioned "Location"..
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#132 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:31 pm

advisories were never issued on Hurricane 8 as NHC felt it would confuse the public
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#133 Postby tolakram » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:32 pm

If SST matters in the definition of a tropical storm then this isn't one. It's a fun curiosity, but not something really tropical, at least using the current definition.

I notice movement has been south east and convection around the center is increasing. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#134 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:50 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 43
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#135 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:51 pm

the center of this is moving almost due southward could be headed back into waters that will slowly start warming up huh huh???????!!!!!!!!!!!!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html
Last edited by hurricanefloyd5 on Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139087
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#136 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 03, 2009 12:51 pm

246
ABNT20 KNHC 031737
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NON-TROPICAL
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
THE AZORES REMAINS LIMITED. THE LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE WINDS TO
GALE FORCE NEAR ITS CENTER...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES GENERALLY EASTWARD OVER COLD WATERS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG


0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 43
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#137 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Wed Jun 03, 2009 1:45 pm

there is from what I see is that there is a 2nd low just to the east of this invest and I think it's dragging this invest sse-southward
0 likes   

User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 34
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#138 Postby Category 5 » Wed Jun 03, 2009 1:49 pm

My feeling is if they havent upgraded it by now they're not going to at all.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139087
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#139 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 03, 2009 1:54 pm

18 UTC Best Track

It has moved southward from 44.7n at 12 UTC to 44.2n at 18 UTC,both at the same longitud.

AL, 92, 2009060318, , BEST, 0, 442N, 256W, 35, 1000, LO,
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: NE of Azores Islands : INVEST 92L

#140 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 03, 2009 2:06 pm

Category 5 wrote:My feeling is if they havent upgraded it by now they're not going to at all.


Unless intense convection develops, there is no chance.
0 likes   


Return to “2009”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 94 guests