ATL : INVEST 93L

[Sanibel]

Swirl near 20.8-88.3 where they have the "L" marked.


Good example of a degraded open wave.

[brunota2003]

Anyone seen the LBAR???

[pojo]

Here are the drops on our training mission in the north central gulf today:


UZNT13 KNHC 281928
XXAA 78194 99284 70881 08188 99012 29450 27009 00107 28443 28010
92796 22622 29508 85529 18225 30006 70169 09456 00510 50590 02964
23503 40764 13374 18007 88999 77999
31313 09608 81911
61616 AF309 WXWXA 090628182541309 OB 03
62626 SPL 2840N08806W 1921 MBL WND 28010 AEV 20800 DLM WND 29504
011393 WL150 27510 076 REL 2841N08807W 191150 SPG 2840N08806W 192
123 =
XXBB 78198 99284 70881 08188 00012 29450 11961 25021 22850 18225
33704 09456 44673 08866 55656 07662 66623 06671 77612 06268 88575
03073 99567 02066 11540 00166 22530 01360 33523 01770 44480 05365
55469 05973 66461 06767 77455 07178 88430 09185 99408 11579 11393
15170
21212 00012 27009 11968 28011 22850 30006 33677 35010 44421 20012
55393 18507
31313 09608 81911
61616 AF309 WXWXA 090628182541309 OB 03
62626 SPL 2840N08806W 1921 MBL WND 28010 AEV 20800 DLM WND 29504
011393 WL150 27510 076 REL 2841N08807W 191150 SPG 2840N08806W 192
123 =
;

UZNT13 KNHC 281946
XXAA 78194 99280 70869 08186 99012 28842 28507 00110 27636 29007
92797 22025 31508 85529 18240 29505 70170 10046 31009 50590 03971
14502 40763 141// 24503 88999 77999
31313 09608 81928
61616 AF309 WXWXA 090628182541309 OB 05
62626 SPL 2803N08684W 1938 MBL WND 28507 AEV 20800 DLM WND 29005
012393 WL150 29007 081 REL 2804N08685W 192831 SPG 2803N08684W 193
801 =
XXBB 78198 99280 70869 08186 00012 28842 11954 23814 22880 19634
33865 18416 44850 18240 55742 11824 66635 06662 77626 05858 88602
04066 99583 02664 11568 02079 22536 00171 33530 00564 44518 01762
55469 06387 66429 09990 77393 155//
21212 00012 28507 11880 31008 22850 29505 33393 24504
31313 09608 81928
61616 AF309 WXWXA 090628182541309 OB 05
62626 SPL 2803N08684W 1938 MBL WND 28507 AEV 20800 DLM WND 29005
012393 WL150 29007 081 REL 2804N08685W 192831 SPG 2803N08684W 193
801 =
;

they were spaced roughty 60nm apart and the heights were consistent with the readings the ARWO was getting on the Hygrometer.

[wxman57]

I'm afraid that Florida might not get much rain at all from this. Not much of the vorticity center survived the shear today. It appears all that's left is a westward-moving tropical wave. May eventually bring some rain to Mexico after crossing the Bay of Campeche tomorrow. Development chances aren't zero, but they're probably not over 5% either.

Here's a surface analysis. Don't see any closed low, just an open wave.

[brunota2003]

The buoy just south of the words "wave axis" has a pressure of 1011.6 millibars, correct? try to read those...yeaaa

Can we have a tutorial made on how to read the surface obs like on that map?

[cycloneye]

The final epilog to the Invest.

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al932009.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200906290110
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 932009.ren
[/b]

The thread will remain here to allow for more comments for the next day or two.

[Bailey1777]

Hey Wxman will Tx get any of the moisture from this system?

[brunota2003]

that map up there sure does update quickly LOL! Already says no active storms.

[Sanibel]

I'd wait til it got back over water before a complete write-off.

[cycloneye]

Apart to allow comments for the next day or two,also the thread remains just in case NHC reactivates 93L as you never know what will occur as the tropics many times bring surprises.Personally,I dont expect reactivation.

brunota2003,the graphic above is automated.

[brunota2003]

I know, it is from a software program....just surprised at how quickly everything updates, and runs smoothly

[cycloneye]

That is why we are the best in the net.

[brunota2003]

I guess by now it shouldnt surprise me, huh?

[wxman57]

Hey Wxman will Tx get any of the moisture from this system?

Maybe not from this wave, but the ridge may break down in 6-7 days, allowing for daytime storms here.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Crazy feeling, next Invest in 3 or more weeks away.


Not official in any way.

Nor is my gut of a 5 to 7 storm season...

[Bailey1777]

Alright I waited to the last minute but it's time to bring the gong out!

****GONGGGGGGGG!!!!****

[MGC]

PoooooF......MGC

[brunota2003]

Crazy feeling, next Invest in 3 or more weeks away.


Not official in any way.

Nor is my gut of a 5 to 7 storm season...

if that is the case, the season cancel posts will start coming out of the wood work here soon!

Better luck next time, 93L!

[Bailey1777]

I think we may see a home brewed storm in about 7 days. GOM . Just an amatuer guess.

[vbhoutex]

I think we may see a home brewed storm in about 7 days. GOM . Just an amatuer guess.

Gotta give us more than this. Otherwise you're just a tease.