WPAC: TS MORAKOT (0908/09W/PAGASA: KIKO)

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#121 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 07, 2009 10:53 am

ZCZC 146
WTPQ20 RJTD 070900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0908 MORAKOT (0908)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070900UTC 23.4N 121.7E FAIR
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 120NM
30KT 350NM
FORECAST
24HF 080900UTC 25.3N 120.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 090600UTC 26.2N 118.8E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 100600UTC 27.7N 117.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =
NNNN


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#122 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 07, 2009 2:56 pm

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NRL: 55 knots
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Re: WPAC: TY MORAKOT (0908/09W/PAGASA: KIKO)

#123 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 07, 2009 3:42 pm

WTPN32 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 017
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 24.1N 121.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N 121.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 24.9N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 25.7N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.5N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 27.7N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 121.0E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RADAR
INDICATE THAT TS 09W MADE LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN AT APPROXIMATELY
071500Z AND HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
BASED ON LAND INTERACTION. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS SHIFTED
SOUTHWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON FIXES CONTINUING TO
SHOW A WESTWARD TRACK OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TS 09W
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER THE REMAINDER OF TAIWAN,
AND WILL BRIEFLY INTENSIFY BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24 AS IT REORGANIZES
IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TS 09W
WILL REMAIN IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL MAINTAIN GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.//
NNNN

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#124 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 07, 2009 5:16 pm

It seems to be well inland now. My guess for the landfall intensity was 70 kt (pressure around 957mb). Probably peaked at 80 kt (1-min winds) - since it never had a great eyewall, I can't see it having been much stronger.
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#125 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 07, 2009 8:29 pm

Image

Image

Land, oh land.
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#126 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 07, 2009 8:29 pm

WTPN32 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 017
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 24.1N 121.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N 121.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 24.9N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 25.7N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.5N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 27.7N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 121.0E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RADAR
INDICATE THAT TS 09W MADE LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN AT APPROXIMATELY
071500Z AND HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
BASED ON LAND INTERACTION. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS SHIFTED
SOUTHWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON FIXES CONTINUING TO
SHOW A WESTWARD TRACK OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TS 09W
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER THE REMAINDER OF TAIWAN,
AND WILL BRIEFLY INTENSIFY BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24 AS IT REORGANIZES
IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TS 09W
WILL REMAIN IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL MAINTAIN GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.//
NNNN
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#127 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 07, 2009 9:16 pm

Image

WTPN32 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 18
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 24.5N 120.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N 120.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 25.4N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 26.4N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 27.4N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 24.7N 120.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTHWEST
OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER TAIWAN AND
IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT CROSSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT
BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA AND DISSIPATING.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM
08W (GONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 10W (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN
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#128 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 12:17 am

08/0230 UTC 24.5N 120.4E T2.0/2.0 MORAKOT -- West Pacific

Morakot really took a beating
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Re: WPAC: TY MORAKOT (0908/09W/PAGASA: KIKO)

#129 Postby beaufort12 » Sat Aug 08, 2009 2:15 am

Wow, Taiwan really did a job on Morakot. Hope the reverse isn't true.
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#130 Postby Harry Cane » Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:24 am

James has uploaded a raw video on you tube. Eye of the typhonn and people driving around, power on, business as usual..Got to love Taiwan! :ggreen:
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#131 Postby wyq614 » Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:34 am

Station Code C0R10 of Taiwan: 1,015mm rain in 16 hours
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Re:

#132 Postby senorpepr » Sat Aug 08, 2009 7:12 am

wyq614 wrote:Station Code C0R10 of Taiwan: 1,015mm rain in 16 hours


Wow! (For those who aren't kosher w/ the metric system: that's nearly 40 inches of rain)
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Re: WPAC: TY MORAKOT (0908/09W/PAGASA: KIKO)

#133 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 7:54 am

Image

WTPN32 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 019
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 24.8N 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 25.5N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.4N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 27.6N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 25.0N 120.6E. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT)
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS
TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A DRAMATIC DROP IN THE
CENTRAL CONVECTION FOR 09W AS IT MOVES OFF TAIWAN AND BACK OVER
WATER. THE CENTER HAS LOST A LOT OF STRUCTURE PASSING OVER LAND, BUT
WINDS REMAIN HIGH AS EVIDENT IN A 080203Z ASCAT PASS THAT SHOWS
UNFLAGGED 40 TO 45KT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING IS STILL EVIDENT TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM,
ALONG WITH STRONG EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW. POSITION CONFIDENCE IS POOR,
AS THE CENTER IS ILL DEFINED, AND POSITION IS BASED ON FIXES FROM
RJTD AND PGTW. TRACK IS BASED ON A GOOD OBJECTIVE AIDS PACKAGE.
AGREEMENT IS STRONG THROUGH 24 HOURS BUT THE MODELS EXHIBIT A FAIR
DEGREE OF SPREAD AFTER THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL IN EASTERN CHINA
WITH DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHERE THE REMNANT LOW LEVEL WILL TRACK. THE
FIRST SOLUTION IS FOR IT TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND, AND THE SECOND SOLUTION IS FOR THE LOW TO
RECURVE AND BECOME ABSORBED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH.
THIS FORECAST FAVORS THE FIRST SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z,
090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (GONI)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN
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#134 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 8:05 am

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Impacting Taiwan is never a good thing for intensification!
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#135 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 8:44 am

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Weird track
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#136 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 8:53 am

Image

WTPN32 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 020
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 24.8N 120.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N 120.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 25.3N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.2N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 27.6N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 29.0N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 120.4E. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT)
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 55 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
08W (GONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN
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#137 Postby senorpepr » Sat Aug 08, 2009 9:26 am

WWJP25 RJTD 081200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA
AT 24.5N 138.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 990 HPA
AT 18.3N 107.6E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING SOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 47N 152E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 32N 163E 32N 150E 32N 140E 35N 140E 41N 142E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 148E ESE 15 KT.
LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 154E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 994 HPA AT 54N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 176E NE 20 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 141E TO 37N 144E 37N 148E 36N 152E 36N 154E 35N 157E 35N 160E 35N 163E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 0908 MORAKOT (0908) 970 HPA AT 24.7N 120.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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Re:

#138 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Aug 08, 2009 11:21 am

Harry Cane wrote:James has uploaded a raw video on you tube. Eye of the typhonn and people driving around, power on, business as usual..Got to love Taiwan! :ggreen:

Can you link it for us?
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#139 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 4:03 pm

Image

WTPN32 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 021
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 25.1N 119.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 119.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 26.0N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 27.1N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 28.5N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 119.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST OF
TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH
THE DEEPEST PORTION OF CONVECTION LOCATED ON THE NORTHEASTERN
QUADRANT OF TS 09W. OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THE LLCC STRUCTURE HAS
BECOME LESS ORGANIZED, WITH AN ELONGATION IN THE NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST
AXIS, MAKING IDENTIFICATION DIFFICULT. THE CURRENT FORECAST
INDICATES THAT TS 09W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO MAINLAND CHINA,
BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND AT TAU 12, WITH COMPLETE DISSIPATION BY
TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 08W (GONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
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#140 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 4:03 pm

WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA
AT 25.7N 136.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 992 HPA
AT 17.8N 107.9E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW
SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 32N 180E 32N 160E 32N 140E 35N
140E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 148E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 156E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY.
LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 179E ENE 15 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 42N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 36N 145E 37N 148E 35N 152E 36N 156E
35N 159E 35N 162E 35N 163E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0908 MORAKOT (0908) 970 HPA AT 24.9N 120.1E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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