WPAC: TS MORAKOT (0908/09W/PAGASA: KIKO)

[Cookie]

some videos

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0e1_WnHCjQw

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y8n50md6c2c

[HURAKAN]

WTPN32 PGTW 090300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 022
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 25.6N 119.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N 119.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 26.7N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 28.1N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 29.6N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 25.9N 119.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
090000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND
100300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (GONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

WWJP25 RJTD 090000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000.
WARNING VALID 100000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA
AT 26.3N 136.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 32.1N 134.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW
SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 139E 42N 142E
47N 153E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 34N 160E 33N 139E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 157E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA AT 18N 108E SOUTH SLOWLY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 35N 157E 35N 161E 36N 164E 35N
170E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0908 MORAKOT (0908) 975 HPA AT 26.1N 120.6E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[HURAKAN]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid= ... 3LtJvh678w

At least one dead and 29 missing in Taiwan

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2009/08/08/ ... 249778841/

At least 23 dead in the Philippines

[beaufort12]

Thanks for the links to the news articles. I was interested to read the final sentence in the Bloomberg article linking the drought in Taiwan to El Nino. I knew that El Nino could cause drought in Indonesia, but have not seen impacts listed for Taiwan or the mainland. Guess that's a topic for another forum!

[Typhoon Hunter]

Back safely in Hong Kong. Morakot was a wild ride. We positioned ourselves in Hualien where the eye passed over us at about 11.15pm on 7th August. There was quite a lot of flying debris and unfortunately we witnessed one woman getting struck and injured by a sign. We managed to give her first aid before the ambulance crew arrived. Here' s a full video of the action:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jTkUtUlogA

[HURAKAN]

WTPN32 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 023
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 26.3N 119.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 119.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 27.6N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 29.3N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 31.0N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 26.6N 119.9E. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT)
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED
NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH LIMITED DEEP
CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH UPSLOPE FLOW OVER LAND
AND THERE ARE STILL ISOLATED POCKETS NEAR THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS
TRACKING NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN CHINA ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AS IT MOVES OVER LAND, IT
WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE AND THE REMAINING ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME ABSORBED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
10W (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600.
WARNING VALID 100600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA
AT 27.2N 135.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 31.6N 134.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW
SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 140E 42N 141E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 160E 33N 140E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 158E EAST 15 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 150E TO 34N 155E 36N 158E 35N 165E 37N 170E
38N 173E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0908 MORAKOT (0908) 975 HPA AT 26.5N 120.6E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[HURAKAN]

WTPQ20 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0908 MORAKOT (0908)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 26.6N 120.4E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 400NM SOUTH 300NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100900UTC 30.1N 120.9E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 110600UTC 33.0N 122.0E 160NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 120600UTC 35.6N 125.8E 220NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[somethingfunny]

http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/weather/0 ... index.html

BEIJING, China (CNN) -- Authorities in eastern China evacuated almost a million people from two coastal provinces Sunday, as the country braced itself for Typhoon Morakot, which is expected to make landfall soon.

The storm is expected to make landfall later in the afternoon or evening in southeastern Fujian province or Zhejiang province, China's Xinhua news agency said.

As a precaution, authorities evacuated more than 953,000 people, the news agency said. Officials also called 35,440 ships back to port and closed several highways.

In Fujian province, about 8.4 million text messages had been sent to citizens warning them to prepare for the typhoon, Xinhua reported.

The typhoon is expected to weaken to a tropical storm before hitting the Chinese mainland, according to Xinhua.

The storm killed 10 people and injured 18 others in the Philippines, a spokeswoman for the National Disaster Coordinating Council told CNN.

In Taiwan the storm killed two people, injured 15 and cut off power to about 650,000 households, according to Hong Kong's Metro Radio.

Trading at the Taiwan Stock Exchange was postponed until Monday, the news agency reported.

[HURAKAN]

WTPN32 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 024
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 26.8N 119.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 119.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 28.4N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 30.0N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 27.2N 119.5E. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT)
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 689
WTPQ20 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0908 MORAKOT (0908)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 26.7N 120.1E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 400NM SOUTH 300NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 30.4N 120.4E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 111200UTC 33.3N 122.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 121200UTC 36.3N 128.8E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
NNNN

[senorpepr]

WTPQ20 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0908 MORAKOT (0908)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 26.8N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 400NM SOUTH 300NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 30.5N 120.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 111200UTC 33.3N 122.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 121200UTC 36.3N 128.8E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[Cookie]

From Jeff Masters (Wunderground):

"Typhoon Morakot hits China
Typhoon Morakot hit China this morning as a tropical storm, lashing the mainland with very heavy rain. Yesterday, Morakot hit Taiwan, dumping up to 80 inches of rain on the island over a 2-day period, according to news reports. The world 2-day rainfall record is 98.42", set at Reunion Island on March 15 - 17, 1952, so the Typhoon Morakot 2-day totals are some of the highest ever measured in the world. The highest 1-day rainfall total ever recorded on Taiwan occurred Saturday at Weiliao Mountain in Pingtung County, which recorded 1.403 meters (4.6 feet or 55 inches) or rain. Nine the ten highest one-day rainfall amounts in Taiwanese history were reached on Saturday, according to the Central Weather Bureau

[HURAKAN]

WTPN32 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 27.3N 119.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N 119.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 28.6N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 30.7N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 119.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (MORAKOT) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 09W HAS BEEN OVER LAND FOR THE PAST 06
HOURS, AND HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF RAPID WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH
LAND. SURFACE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY 35 KNOTS BUT WILL QUICKLY DECREASE
AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS TS 09W CONTINUES
TO TRACK OVER CHINA TO THE NORTHWEST, SHIFTING TO A NORTHWARD TRACK
AS IT IS ABSORBED INTO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN33
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 409
WTPQ20 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0908 MORAKOT (0908)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 28.2N 119.6E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 31.9N 120.6E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =
NNNN

[wyq614]

Some intense convection of Morakot is expected to confront a cold front, strong rainstorm may occur in my province...

[HurricaneBill]

Latest figures:

Taiwan: 14 dead, 51 missing.

China: 1 dead.

Philippines: 22 dead, 29 missing.

[CrazyC83]

Now reading that 400+ are missing in Taiwan.

[apocalypt-flyer]

Certainly one of the worst storms for Taiwan in recent years.

Morakot dumped an unbelievable amount of rainfall on Taiwan. It's a if you threw 2001's TS Allison's top rainfall amount and Cat. 2 winds into a blender. OUCH. Hope the amount of missing/dead people doesn't get any larger in the days to come.