CPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA (01C)

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CPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA (01C)

#1 Postby RL3AO » Sat Aug 08, 2009 9:01 pm

Image

2. An area of thunderstorms centered about 625 miles south southwest of Hilo, Hawaii is moving west northwest around 15 mph. Slow development is possible over the next two days
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 08, 2009 10:12 pm

Image

Looks like your El Niño at work
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#3 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Aug 09, 2009 10:44 am

Looks pretty decent. Wonder what reaction, if any, this will have with Felicia.
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#4 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 09, 2009 2:52 pm

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_cp922009.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200908090936
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 92C

#5 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 09, 2009 2:59 pm

:uarrow: That was quick :)
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#6 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 09, 2009 5:20 pm

Image

Looks like it has a legit mite chance to make a turn back to the island's chain
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 92C

#7 Postby hawaiigirl » Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:09 pm

looks like its a busy season for the islands...i wonder if this one will come close to us
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#8 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:15 pm

Invest reactivated, special TWO issued.

2. Visible imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 925 miles southwest of the Hawaiian islands has become better organized during the past few hours. Conditions appear favorable for additional development, and this system could become a tropical depression later today or tonight as it moves westward at about 15 mph.
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 92C

#9 Postby clfenwi » Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:16 pm

10/2100 UTC 13.2N 169.7W T1.5/1.5 92C -- Central Pacific
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Re:

#10 Postby Cookie » Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:19 pm

RL3AO wrote:Invest reactivated, special TWO issued.

2. Visible imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 925 miles southwest of the Hawaiian islands has become better organized during the past few hours. Conditions appear favorable for additional development, and this system could become a tropical depression later today or tonight as it moves westward at about 15 mph.


how do you mean reactivated?

their was nothing in here saying that it was taken off at any time?
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Re: Re:

#11 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:21 pm

Cookie wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Invest reactivated, special TWO issued.

2. Visible imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 925 miles southwest of the Hawaiian islands has become better organized during the past few hours. Conditions appear favorable for additional development, and this system could become a tropical depression later today or tonight as it moves westward at about 15 mph.


how do you mean reactivated?

their was nothing in here saying that it was taken off at any time?


Six posts up.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?p=1899622#p1899622
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#12 Postby Cookie » Mon Aug 10, 2009 6:24 pm

man, sorry its late, I completely missed that, ( half asleep)
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#13 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 10, 2009 7:32 pm

Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold= 75% is 6.6 times the sample mean(11.5%)
Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 52% is 6.7 times the sample mean( 7.7%)
Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold= 33% is 6.3 times the sample mean( 5.2%)


:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#14 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:04 pm

11/0000 UTC 13.7N 170.3W T2.0/2.0 92C -- Central Pacific

Image

That was fast!
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 92C

#15 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:06 pm

1200 PM HST MON AUG 10 2009

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

This special tropical weather outlook is being issued to provide updated information on the system located 925 miles southwest of the Hawaiian islands.

1. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center is issuing bulletins on tropical storm Felicia, currently about 270 miles east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii and moving west about 10 mph. Public bulletins are being issued under AWIPS header TCPCP2 and WMO header WTPA32.

2. Visible imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 925 miles southwest of the Hawaiian islands has become better organized during the past few hours. Conditions appear favorable for additional development, and this system could become a tropical depression later today or tonight as it moves westward at about 15 mph.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Wednesday morning.

Image
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 92C

#16 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:13 pm

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_cp922009_cp022009.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200908101444
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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#17 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:14 pm

Image

Image

Looking good in the visible but the convection is weak
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 92C

#18 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:17 pm

RL3AO wrote:BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_cp922009_cp022009.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200908101444
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END


Why 02? Lana was a EPAC system that crossed into the CPAC.
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:19 pm

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_cp012009.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200908101500
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
ONE, CP, C, , , , , 01, 2009, DB, O, 2009080818, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , CP012009
CP, 01, 2009080818, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1590W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 01, 2009080900, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1602W, 15, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 01, 2009080906, , BEST, 0, 112N, 1614W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 0, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
CP, 01, 2009080912, , BEST, 0, 117N, 1625W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 50, 0, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
CP, 01, 2009080918, , BEST, 0, 120N, 1637W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 01, 2009081000, , BEST, 0, 123N, 1650W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 01, 2009081006, , BEST, 0, 125N, 1663W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 01, 2009081012, , BEST, 0, 128N, 1676W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 01, 2009081018, , BEST, 0, 131N, 1688W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 25, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
CP, 01, 2009081100, , BEST, 0, 135N, 1700W, 30, 1007, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 25, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, ONE, D,


CP 01. It makes more sense now.
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#20 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:38 pm

Image It looks like it will turn back to the states... Why is this?

Edit: Also looks like it will be a pretty powerful storm.

Image
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