WPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C

[clfenwi]

29/0600 UTC 15.2N 177.7W T2.0/2.0 02C -- Central Pacific
CP, 02, 2009082906, , BEST, 0, 149N, 1777W, 30, 1007, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 125, 30, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, TWO, M,

[cycloneye]

TCDCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022009
1100 PM HST FRI AUG 28 2009

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C CONTINUES OVER THE FAR WESTERN EDGE OF THE
NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE.
EARLY EVENING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE MTSAT INDICATED THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE SLIGHTLY DISPLACED FROM THE CLOUD
SYSTEM CENTER. THEREFORE...SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE CURRENT
LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER AT THIS TIME. MICROWAVE DATA
FROM 0606 UTC AMSU AND 0625 UTC SSMI PASSES APPEAR TO INDICATE THE
LLCC MIGHT BE SLIGHTLY WEST OF THE 0600 UTC POSITION USED FOR THIS
PACKAGE. THE LATEST UW-CIMSS ESTIMATE OF ENVIRONMENTAL VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF TWO-C WAS ABOUT 8 KT FROM DUE SOUTH. THIS
WOULD SUPPORT THE FACT THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION APPEARED TO BE
DISPLACED TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC IN THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. NOTE
THAT BOTH MICROWAVE IMAGES APPEAR TO HAVE A TRANSIENT HOLE IN THE
IMAGERY THAT IS NORTHEAST OF THE ACTUAL LLCC.

DESPITE THE ACTUAL LOCATION OF TWO-C/S CENTER...THE OVERALL
APPEARANCE OF THE SYSTEM IN SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE
IT IS A VIABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME. DEEP CONVECTION WITH
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD TOPS IN EXCESS OF 50 THOUSAND FEET CONTINUES THIS
EVENING. THE OUTFLOW ALOFT DENOTED BY THE CIRRUS WAS ALSO INDICATIVE
OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE SYSTEM. WITH THE PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION...THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS
RANGED FROM 1.5 TO 2.0. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT
AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

THE PRESENT MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO BE SLOWLY
WESTWARD...OR 280/6. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW AROUND
A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH AND NORTHEAST. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS A BREAK IN THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE
RIDGE JUST WEST OF THE DATELINE. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP TWO-C MOVING
AT APPROXIMATELY THE SAME TRANSLATION SPEED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE
GLOBAL MODELS ARE FORECASTING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO DROP DOWN FROM
THE NORTH ALONG THE DATELINE. THE LATEST OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO GENERALLY AGREE ON A GRADUAL NORTHWARD TURN OF TWO-C BY
DAY 2 OR 3. HOWEVER...THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNIFICANT SPREAD IN
THE FORECAST TRACKS AT THAT TIME. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS
CLOSELY THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE THROUGH 36 HOURS. THE LATEST TRACK WAS
SHIFTED TO THE LEFT...WHICH WAS NUDGED TOWARD THE CONSENSUS OF THE
MODELS. AGAIN...AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...THIS PRESUMES THE
SYSTEM WILL NOT BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO QUICKLY RECURVE.

TWO-C REMAINS OVER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF ABOUT 28 CELSIUS. THE
LATEST OCEAN HEAT CONTENT ANALYSIS FROM CIRA INDICATES THE FORECAST
TRACK IS ALSO OVER RELATIVELY DEEP WARM WATER. THE ATMOSPHERIC
ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF TWO-C IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION
FOR AT LEAST 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME...IT IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE DEEP-LAYER LOW
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. THEREFORE...WE FOLLOWED THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST INTENSITY THROUGH DAY 4...BUT KEPT THE SYSTEM A TROPICAL
STORM ON DAY 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0900Z 15.0N 178.1W 30 KT
12HR VT 29/1800Z 15.1N 179.3W 30 KT
24HR VT 30/0600Z 15.4N 179.1E 35 KT
36HR VT 30/1800Z 15.8N 177.7E 40 KT
48HR VT 31/0600Z 16.5N 176.2E 40 KT
72HR VT 01/0600Z 17.9N 174.7E 35 KT
96HR VT 02/0600Z 19.9N 174.7E 35 KT
120HR VT 03/0600Z 22.3N 175.7E 35 KT

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON

[Iune]

[Macrocane]

I find kind of funny that this season we've had several storms that could have been named in one basin or another.

[CrazyC83]

I find kind of funny that this season we've had several storms that could have been named in one basin or another.

What happens if this in the working BT becomes a TS at, say, 179.5W, but doesn't in an advisory until crossing 180 three hours later? Is there consultation with the CPHC and JMA?

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022009
500 AM HST SAT AUG 29 2009

DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C HAS
PERSISTED...WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY...OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...ITS SATELLITE SIGNATURE HAS NOT IMPROVED ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY
INTENSIFICATION TO A TROPICAL STORM AT THIS TIME. THE ESTIMATED
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD TOPS WERE IN EXCESS OF 50 THOUSAND FEET. THE
OUTFLOW ALOFT DENOTED BY THE CIRRUS WAS ALSO INDICATIVE OF AN
UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE SYSTEM. THE LATEST UW-CIMSS
ESTIMATE OF ENVIRONMENTAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF
TWO-C WAS ABOUT 12 KT FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS RANGED FROM 2.0 TO 2.5. THEREFORE...TWO-C/S
INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

TWO-C CONTINUES OVER THE FAR WESTERN EDGE OF THE CENTRAL NORTH
PACIFIC OCEAN JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE. THERE HAS
BEEN CONFLICTING INFORMATION ON THE ACTUAL LOCATION OF THE LLCC.
MOST FIX AGENCIES APPEAR TO BE FOLLOWING A CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER.
HOWEVER...LOOPS OF MTSAT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM LAST
EVENING...A QUIKSCAT SWATH AROUND 0630 UTC AND A 0917 UTC AMSU PASS
INDICATED THE LLCC WAS DISPLACED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST OF
MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE UW-CIMSS SHEAR
ESTIMATE DESCRIBED IN THE PREVIOUS PARAGRAPH.

THE PRESENT MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO BE SLOWLY
WESTWARD...OR 270/6. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW AROUND
A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE ALONG LATITUDE 16N. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP
TWO-C MOVING AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO DEPICT A BREAK IN THE RIDGE JUST WEST OF
THE DATELINE. THEREFORE...TWO-C IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD
MOTION WITH A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BY LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE FORECASTING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO DROP
DOWN FROM THE NORTH ALONG THE DATELINE FROM MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO GENERALLY
AGREE ON A GRADUAL NORTHWARD TURN OF TWO-C BY MONDAY. HOWEVER...
THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNIFICANT SPREAD IN THE FORECAST TRACKS AT
THAT TIME. THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS THE
PREVIOUS PACKAGE THROUGH 36 HOURS...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT ACCELERATION
AND SHIFT TO THE LEFT. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SLOWING OF THE FORWARD
MOTION BY DAY 2...WHEN THE NORTHWARD TURN IS FORECAST TO TAKE PLACE.
THE GUIDANCE NOW STRONGLY SUGGESTS THERE WILL BE AN ACCELERATION OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST FROM DAY 4 TO 5...SO
HAVE MOVED THE SYSTEM A LITTLE FASTER AT THAT TIME. NOTE THAT EVEN
IF TWO-C EVENTUALLY BECOMES A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LLCC...THE BAMS
AND BAMM INDICATE THE RECURVATURE WILL STILL OCCUR BY DAY 3 OR 4.

TWO-C REMAINS OVER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF ABOUT 28 CELSIUS. THE
LATEST OCEAN HEAT CONTENT ANALYSIS FROM CIRA INDICATES THE FORECAST
TRACK IS ALSO OVER RELATIVELY DEEP WARM WATER. THE ATMOSPHERIC
ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF TWO-C APPEARS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR SLIGHT
INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME...
TWO-C IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE
SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. BASED ON
THE LATEST INTENSITY GUIDANCE...HAVE ONLY ALLOWED THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM THROUGH DAY 5. NOTE
THAT THE GFDL MODEL HINTS TWO-C MAY ACTUALLY INTENSIFY AFTER
RECURVATURE. THEREFORE...CONFIDENCE IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST
REMAINS VERY LOW...ESPECIALLY IN THE LATER PERIODS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/1500Z 14.5N 179.1W 30 KT
12HR VT 30/0000Z 14.8N 179.4E 35 KT
24HR VT 30/1200Z 15.2N 177.6E 35 KT
36HR VT 31/0000Z 15.8N 175.9E 35 KT
48HR VT 31/1200Z 16.6N 174.9E 35 KT
72HR VT 01/1200Z 18.2N 174.2E 35 KT
96HR VT 02/1200Z 21.2N 175.2E 35 KT
120HR VT 03/1200Z 25.8N 176.4E 35 KT

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON

[CrazyC83]

With that, barring a special advisory, it will probably cross 180 as a TD.

[CrazyC83]

With that, barring a special advisory, it will probably cross 180 as a TD.

If it does, and becomes a tropical storm across the border, would it be Neki (CPAC name) or Dujuan (WPAC name)

Dujuan, as it would be under JMA responsibility.

[clfenwi]

29/1730 UTC 15.3N 178.7W T2.5/2.5 02C -- Central Pacific

[CrazyC83]

Still in the CPAC, so Neki it should be.

[P.K.]

First advisory from the JMA (Not quite crossed over into their AOR yet).

WTPQ21 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 15.4N 178.7W FAIR
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 15.0N 177.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

[HURAKAN]

CP, 02, 2009082918, , BEST, 0, 146N, 1794W, 30, 1007, TD

Still TD

[CrazyC83]

Next advisory should be the last one for the CPHC.

[HURAKAN]

262
WTPA31 PHFO 292043
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022009
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 29 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE...

AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.8 WEST
OR ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND AND ABOUT 1510 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...
AND IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TWO-C WILL CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE
INTO THE NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.7N 179.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CRAIG


189
WTPA41 PHFO 292111
TCDCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022009
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 29 2009

SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS SHOWS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
IN APPEARANCE OF TWO-C....WITH DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTENT NORTHEAST
OF THE ESTIMATED CIRCULATION CENTER. A 1742Z QUIKSCAT PASS REPORTS
THAT TWO-C HAS MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 KT IN THE NORTH QUADRANT.
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM JTWC SAB AND PHFO RANGE
FROM 2.0 TO 2.5 WHICH IS NO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY
ESTIMATES. TWO-C WILL BE KEPT AT 30 KT TAKING INTO ACCOUNT ALL OF
THE ABOVE.

TWO-C/S COURSE HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT WITH THE SYSTEM NOW
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 285/08KT. THE SYSTEM...WHICH
IS BEING STEERED BY A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL TO ITS NORTH...SHOULD
MAINTAIN THIS COURSE FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS. FROM 24 TO 48 HOURS...
TWO-C IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH TOWARDS A
WEAKNESS IN THE SURFACE RIDGE. THE BREAK IN THE RIDGE CAN BE
ATTRIBUTED TO EROSION FROM ABOVE BY A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST MID-
TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. BEYOND 48 HOURS...TWO-C IS FORECAST TO TURN
TO NORTH-NORTHEAST TOWARD AN UPPER LOW DROPPING SOUTHWESTWARD DOWN
THE TROUGH TO A POSITION NORTH OF TWO-C. THE OBJECTIVE AIDS AGREE
ON THIS SCENARIO...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TRACK. HAVE STUCK WITH
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...EXCEPT SLIGHTLY FASTER ON DAYS 4 AND
5.

LATEST SHEAR ANALYSIS OUT OF UW-CIMMS SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE
IN SHEAR OF ABOUT 30 KT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST ACROSS TWO-C. THIS
SEEMS A BIT ODD CONSIDERING THE RELATIVELY SYMMETRIC CIRRUS OUTFLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE SITUATED ABOVE TWO-C.
WILL WAIT AND SEE IF THE ESTIMATED SHEAR IS CORRECT...BY STICKING
WITH THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST WHICH SHOWS NO STRENGTHEN OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTENSITY GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN TWO-C
AFTER 72 HOURS AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTH. AM NOT TOO SURE ABOUT THIS
EITHER...TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE POSSIBILITY OF INCREASING SHEAR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW FORECAST TO BE NORTH OF TWO-C.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS LOW.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/2100Z 14.7N 179.8W 30 KT
12HR VT 30/0600Z 15.0N 179.0E 35 KT
24HR VT 30/1800Z 15.5N 177.3E 35 KT
36HR VT 31/0600Z 16.1N 176.0E 35 KT
48HR VT 31/1800Z 16.9N 175.1E 35 KT
72HR VT 01/1800Z 19.0N 175.0E 35 KT
96HR VT 02/1800Z 23.0N 177.0E 35 KT
120HR VT 03/1800Z 29.0N 179.2E 35 KT

$$
FORECASTER CRAIG

[Iune]

Will become Dujuan, not Neki, first JMA Advisory:

WTPQ21 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 15.4N 178.7W FAIR
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 15.0N 177.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

[masaji79]

Hmm looks like a sheared mess tonight. The LLC is separating from the convection. It actually looks a little like Danny.

[Chacor]

It appears the JMA has dropped 02C as a TD capable of reaching TS strength within 24 hours, as of 06Z.

[Chacor]

WWJP25 RJTD 300600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600.
WARNING VALID 310600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA
AT 59N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 144E 48N 158E
60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 38N 164E 37N 144E.
SUMMARY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 15N 178E WEST 15 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 18N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 115E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 133E ESE 15 KT.
HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 40N 149E 43N 155E 46N 161E 47N
165E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0911 KROVANH (0911) 980 HPA AT 31.1N 141.0E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[Chacor]

JTWC has killed 02C:

WTPN32 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (TWO) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 15.3N 177.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N 177.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 16.0N 175.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 16.9N 173.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 177.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (TWO) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 670 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BECOMING FULLY
EXPOSED AND SHEARED FROM DEEP CONVECTION IN EXCESS OF 60 NM. THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING IN THE PRESENCE OF WEAK TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE NEAR
EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 12W
(KROVANH) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

[HURAKAN]

Poof!