WPAC:SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W/LABUYO)

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Chacor
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#21 Postby Chacor » Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:37 am

The typhoon ensemble from 06z doesn't see much coming from this either...

FXPQ20 RJTD 030600
RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST
NAME TD
PSTN 030600UTC 17.8N 128.4E
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 30KT
FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM
TIME PSTN PRES MXWD
(CHANGE FROM T=0)
T=006 18.1N 129.6E +002HPA -001KT
T=012 18.5N 130.7E 000HPA +001KT
T=018 19.0N 131.8E +001HPA +002KT
T=024 19.7N 133.3E -002HPA +003KT
T=030 20.6N 134.3E -001HPA +001KT
T=036 21.4N 135.1E -003HPA 000KT
T=042 22.2N 135.7E -002HPA -001KT
T=048 22.9N 136.5E -004HPA -001KT
T=054 23.7N 137.2E -003HPA -002KT
T=060 24.8N 137.7E -004HPA 000KT
T=066 25.8N 138.3E -002HPA 000KT
T=072 26.7N 139.1E -004HPA +001KT
T=078 27.9N 140.1E -001HPA +001KT
T=084 29.2N 141.3E -002HPA +001KT
T=090 30.5N 142.7E 000HPA +001KT
T=096 31.4N 144.0E -001HPA +001KT
T=102 31.9N 144.6E 000HPA +001KT
T=108 32.7N 145.3E -002HPA +002KT
T=114 33.8N 147.2E 000HPA +003KT
T=120 34.5N 149.2E -002HPA +003KT
T=126 34.9N 150.4E -001HPA +003KT
T=132 35.3N 152.6E -001HPA +003KT=
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (93W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#22 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 am

Image

WTPN31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021451Z SEP 09//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 17.0N 128.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 128.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 17.9N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 19.0N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 20.2N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 21.3N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.0N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 26.6N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.4N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 128.6E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560
NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 021500). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
031200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND
041500Z.//
NNNN
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#23 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:00 am

ZCZC 187
WTPQ20 RJTD 031200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031200UTC 16.9N 127.5E POOR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 041200UTC 18.9N 130.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =
NNNN
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#24 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:18 pm

ZCZC 069
WTPQ20 RJTD 031500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031500UTC 16.9N 127.7E POOR
MOVE SW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 041500UTC 19.1N 131.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#25 Postby P.K. » Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:23 pm

WTPQ20 RJTD 031800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0912 DUJUAN (0912) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031800UTC 17.1N 128.2E POOR
MOVE SSW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 041800UTC 19.5N 131.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 051800UTC 21.8N 133.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 061800UTC 25.3N 136.2E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

Image
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#26 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm

See now the last 2 storms the 4th track was completely different so lets I say the next track will be near OKinawa.
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#27 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:53 pm

WTPN31 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 17.2N 128.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 128.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 17.8N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 18.7N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 20.0N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.7N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.6N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.6N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 30.5N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 128.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550
NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TD 13W HAS SLOWLY TURNED TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS A NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE
EXTENSION BUILDS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT PGTW AND RJTD POSITION FIXES. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH REPORTING AGENCY
DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T=2.0 TO T=2.5 AND SCATTEROMETER DATA
SHOWING APPROXIMATELY 30 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
CENTER. TD 13W IS SITUATED SOUTH AND WEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTER IN AN AREA OF MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. AS TD 13W TRACKS GRADUALLY NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS,
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST. THIS SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT
THE INTENSIFICATION TO A SLOW RATE THROUGH THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER TAU 36, THE INFLUENCE OF A BUILDING
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST WILL TURN TD 13W INCREASINGLY
POLEWARD, WHILE DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IMPROVED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW WILL SUPPORT A HIGHER INTENSIFICATION RATE. BEYOND TAU 96,
TD 13W WILL BEGIN TO TURN EASTWARD AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING MID-
LATITUDE TROUGH. INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR COULD LIMIT FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION IN THE MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE, ALTHOUGH A MORE
FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN COULD ALLOW THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO
INTENSIFY MORE THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.//
NNNN

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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#28 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:08 pm

WTPN31 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 17.5N 129.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 129.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 18.4N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 19.8N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 21.7N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.0N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 26.2N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 28.5N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 30.6N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 129.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH
OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS, CONSOLIDATED AND
INTENSIFIED INTO ITS CURRENT STRENGTH FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. . MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
040000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND
050300Z.//
NNNN

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#29 Postby Chacor » Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:11 pm

40 kt:

WTPQ20 RJTD 040300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0912 DUJUAN (0912)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040300UTC 19.1N 129.4E POOR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 050300UTC 20.2N 131.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 060000UTC 22.7N 133.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 070000UTC 25.7N 135.3E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#30 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:19 pm

Have yo useen the radar lately. It starting to look really nice. Getting defined. And moving back to the west here it comes to Okinawa!
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#31 Postby Category 5 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 12:33 am

StormingB81 wrote:Have yo useen the radar lately. It starting to look really nice. Getting defined. And moving back to the west here it comes to Okinawa!


I've seen wishcasting, but this is ridiculous.
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#32 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 12:48 am

Man! your killing my buzz! LOL! always gotta get me down. I am the weather man! you just always try to find me huh?
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#33 Postby theavocado » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:31 am

StormingB81 wrote:Have yo useen the radar lately. It starting to look really nice. Getting defined. And moving back to the west here it comes to Okinawa!


Which RADAR site are you looking at? It's in the middle of the ocean!
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#34 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:58 am

Weather.com and the news site said out here it has changed course now moving northwest!
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#35 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 04, 2009 4:49 am

ZCZC 104
WTPQ20 RJTD 040600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0912 DUJUAN (0912)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040600UTC 19.0N 129.5E POOR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM
FORECAST
24HF 050600UTC 20.7N 131.4E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 060600UTC 23.9N 133.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 070600UTC 27.8N 135.3E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (0912/13W; PAGASA: LABUYO)

#36 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Fri Sep 04, 2009 5:10 am

Have yo useen the radar lately. It starting to look really nice. Getting defined. And moving back to the west here it comes to Okinawa!


There is no radar, as has been said, it's in the middle of the Pacific.

09z update from JMA has this moving NE slowly and according to them has not moved NW at all. And please can you justify all these "it's coming to Okinawa" type comments with some rational thoughts otherwise it just sounds like unsubstantiated wishcasting.
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#37 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 5:58 am

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingne ... la-Cagayan

So then this news agency must be wishcasting? And this storm has hit every single direction it can do. if you have looked at the weather from the day it has moved from the east to the west and everything inbetween.
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#38 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 04, 2009 6:10 am

Image

Continues to organize
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Re:

#39 Postby Chacor » Fri Sep 04, 2009 6:38 am

StormingB81 wrote:http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/regions/view/20090904-223478/Storm-Signal-No-1-up-over-Isabela-Cagayan

So then this news agency must be wishcasting? And this storm has hit every single direction it can do. if you have looked at the weather from the day it has moved from the east to the west and everything inbetween.


I don't even know where to begin, really. Don't think that even justifies an explanation. Look again at the advisories, not once has a NW motion been mentioned. It's not moving NW, get over it.
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#40 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 6:51 am

"Tropical storm Labuyo (international code name: Dujuan) has changed its course and is now moving northwestward"

Thats is the first sentance in the article look it the last 3 words......now moving northwestward. Thank you.
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