SPO : INVEST 92P

[Sheronz]

[Sheronz]

ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZMAR2010//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.5S 165.5W,
APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION AS
WELL AS THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). A 060409Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DOES SHOW WEAK
CONVECTIVE BANDING, INDICATING LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION WITHIN AN AREA
OF STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH POINT-SOURCE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
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