ATL: MATTHEW - Ex-Tropical Storm - Discussion

[chargurl]

Matthew is kaput....big time going to be done....no worries.

MY PERSONAL OPINION AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY OFFICIAL FORECAST FROM THE NHC.

Saints, Are you saying CA/Nicaragua is not to worry and it's all gone? Or did mean for the U.S.?

[baitism]

Matthew is kaput....big time going to be done....no worries.

MY PERSONAL OPINION AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY OFFICIAL FORECAST FROM THE NHC.

Saints, Are you saying CA/Nicaragua is not to worry and it's all gone? Or did mean for the U.S.?

Obviously, he meant the US....

[Shuriken]

On the NHC's forecast plot, the remnant low will pop out right in the belly of the BoC: Opal Part Duex.

[Air Force Met]

On the NHC's forecast plot, the remnant low will pop out right in the belly of the BoC: Opal Part Duex.

Not going to happen. Please read previous discussions...

[SoupBone]

It certainly isn't "NEXT" for the people in CA and parts of Mexico for MANY days to come!!! This could be devastating for them so let's hold off on the "NEXT" talk for awhile and be a little more compassionate...

Eric

This does not need to be said every single time a storm hits. I DO CARE about CA, Mexico, PR, Cuba, etc. It's an implied thing here on these boards. We do not need to be reminded every single time to be compassionate. I haven't seen anyone be anything other than compassionate here. Jeeze...

[sfwx]

It certainly isn't "NEXT" for the people in CA and parts of Mexico for MANY days to come!!! This could be devastating for them so let's hold off on the "NEXT" talk for awhile and be a little more compassionate...

Eric

This does not need to be said every single time a storm hits. I DO CARE about CA, Mexico, PR, Cuba, etc. It's an implied thing here on these boards. We do not need to be reminded every single time to be compassionate. I haven't seen anyone be anything other than compassionate here. Jeeze...

Oh, OK then by all means, NEXT!!!!! :

[supercane]

Not that many available, but latest regional obs:

Puerto Lempira, Honduras: MHPL 242100Z 30024KT 9999 BKN015 OVC070 25/24 Q1009 PCPN TD HZ
Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua: MNPC 242100Z 26016KT 4000 RA FEW012CB BKN014 23/22 Q1004 CB/N/NE/E
Buoy 42057:

[Air Force Met]

It certainly isn't "NEXT" for the people in CA and parts of Mexico for MANY days to come!!! This could be devastating for them so let's hold off on the "NEXT" talk for awhile and be a little more compassionate...

Eric

This does not need to be said every single time a storm hits. I DO CARE about CA, Mexico, PR, Cuba, etc. It's an implied thing here on these boards. We do not need to be reminded every single time to be compassionate. I haven't seen anyone be anything other than compassionate here. Jeeze...

Oh, OK then by all means, NEXT!!!!! :

OK...everyone settle down. Soupbone has a point. People don't need a lecture about compassion unless they are being over the top uncompassionate. We see this everytime someone says "fish" or the like. Everyone use a little common sense...you know what people mean. You know they aren't disregarding their fellow man...

[GCANE]

Good concentration of overshooting tops in the outflow.

[Battlebrick]

I've never seen a storm with such dark blues before

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-wv.html

[ConvergenceZone]

That's true, CA is giong to get lots of rain from it...

Wow, what a shift south and west in the last 24 hours......I'm still not sold on Nicole developing. I mean, what's Nicole going to develop from now that Matthew is forecasted to be even further south and inland. What wave out there is going to become Nicole?

I'm wondering if MAYBE since Matthew shifted south in the track if tonight's model runs might start dropping the development of Nicole, since the moisture from Matthew will be further south and inland....

[tailgater]

Puerto Lempira is rerporting winds of 28 MPH out of the WNW , sounds like it's north of there to meee.


Current Weather Conditions:
Puerto Lempira, Honduras
(MHPL) 15-13N 083-48W 13M

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conditions at Sep 24, 2010 - 05:00 PM EDTSep 24, 2010 - 04:00 PM CDTSep 24, 2010 - 03:00 PM MDTSep 24, 2010 - 02:00 PM PDTSep 24, 2010 - 01:00 PM ADTSep 24, 2010 - 12:00 PM HDT
2010.09.24 2100 UTC
Wind from the WNW (300 degrees) at 28 MPH (24 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Temperature 77 F (25 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 94%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.80 in. Hg (1009 hPa)
ob MHPL 242100Z 30024KT 9999 BKN015 OVC070 25/24 Q1009 PCPN TD HZ

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 5 PM (21) Sep 24 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) WNW 28
4 PM (20) Sep 24 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.74 (1007) N 23
3 PM (19) Sep 24 82 (28) 77 (25) 29.74 (1007) N 16
2 PM (18) Sep 24 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.77 (1008) N 12
1 PM (17) Sep 24 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.80 (1009) N 8 drizzle
Noon (16) Sep 24 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) N 9
11 AM (15) Sep 24 77 (25) 77 (25) 29.80 (1009) N 7
10 AM (14) Sep 24 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) WNW 9 thunder
9 AM (13) Sep 24 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) WNW 8 rain with thunder
8 AM (12) No Data
7 AM (11) No Data
6 AM (10) No Data
5 AM (9) No Data

[baitism]

Still looks really good. The next two days will determine Matthew's fate.

[Windtalker1]

Is it me or has he moved more NNW the last few frames?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ft.html

[Normandy]

Puerto Lempira is rerporting winds of 28 MPH out of the WNW , sounds like it's north of there to meee.


Current Weather Conditions:
Puerto Lempira, Honduras
(MHPL) 15-13N 083-48W 13M

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conditions at Sep 24, 2010 - 05:00 PM EDTSep 24, 2010 - 04:00 PM CDTSep 24, 2010 - 03:00 PM MDTSep 24, 2010 - 02:00 PM PDTSep 24, 2010 - 01:00 PM ADTSep 24, 2010 - 12:00 PM HDT
2010.09.24 2100 UTC
Wind from the WNW (300 degrees) at 28 MPH (24 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Temperature 77 F (25 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 94%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.80 in. Hg (1009 hPa)
ob MHPL 242100Z 30024KT 9999 BKN015 OVC070 25/24 Q1009 PCPN TD HZ

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 5 PM (21) Sep 24 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) WNW 28
4 PM (20) Sep 24 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.74 (1007) N 23
3 PM (19) Sep 24 82 (28) 77 (25) 29.74 (1007) N 16
2 PM (18) Sep 24 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.77 (1008) N 12
1 PM (17) Sep 24 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.80 (1009) N 8 drizzle
Noon (16) Sep 24 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) N 9
11 AM (15) Sep 24 77 (25) 77 (25) 29.80 (1009) N 7
10 AM (14) Sep 24 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) WNW 9 thunder
9 AM (13) Sep 24 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) WNW 8 rain with thunder
8 AM (12) No Data
7 AM (11) No Data
6 AM (10) No Data
5 AM (9) No Data

This is the observation people need to look at right now IMO. The center of Matthew is sitting off to the NNE of this town (which is on the NE coast of Honduras). The shear is displacing most of the convection towards the SW which gives the appearance of Matthew being far inland. If a WNW motion from this point continues there is a good chance it gets back over water. Will be interesting to see unfold.

[Windtalker1]

I agree Normandy 100%

[tailgater]

Recon is heading back out there and should be able to tell if if it is on the coast or just inland.

[FLpanhandle91]

I really think this thing is moving a little more north of west as of late...

[Battlebrick]

I really think this thing is moving a little more north of west as of late...

It does look like a little bit of a northern turn in the last 2 frames, but it could just be the instability of the storm. We'll see.

[SouthDadeFish]

Why the heck is recon flying out to Matthew if its over land?